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The Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES) are the two most popular risk measures in banking and insurance regulation. To bridge between the two regulatory risk measures, the Probability Equivalent Level of VaR-ES (PELVE) was…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-30 Hirbod Assa , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

Motivated by applications in model-free finance and quantitative risk management, we consider Fr\'echet classes of multivariate distribution functions where additional information on the joint distribution is assumed, while uncertainty in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Daniel Bartl , Michael Kupper , Thibaut Lux , Antonis Papapantoleon , Stephan Eckstein

We consider a collection of derivatives that depend on the price of an underlying asset at expiration or maturity. The absence of arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral probability distribution on the price; in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-09 Shane Barratt , Jonathan Tuck , Stephen Boyd

In this paper, we consider the nonconvex minimization problem of the value-at-risk (VaR) that arises from financial risk analysis. By considering this problem as a special linear program with linear complementarity constraints (a bilevel…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Jong-Shi Pang , Sven Leyffer

We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Ashish Cherukuri , Ashish R. Hota

Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is one of the most commonly used approaches in finance for measuring the downside risk of investment portfolios, especially during financial crises. In this paper, we propose a novel approach based on EVT called…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-16 Hamidreza Arian , Hossein Poorvasei , Azin Sharifi , Shiva Zamani

In this paper, we investigate the Lambda Value-at-Risk ($\Lambda$VaR) under ambiguity, where the ambiguity is represented by a family of probability measures. We establish that for increasing Lambda functions, the robust (i.e., worst-case)…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 Peng Liu , Alexander Schied

A new risk bound is presented for the problem of convex/concave function estimation, using the least squares estimator. The best known risk bound, as had appeared in \citet{GSvex}, scaled like $\log(en) n^{-4/5}$ under the mean squared…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-11 Sabyasachi Chatterjee

PAC generalization bounds on the risk, when expressed in terms of the expected loss, are often insufficient to capture imbalances between subgroups in the data. To overcome this limitation, we introduce a new family of risk measures, called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-09 Hind Atbir , Farah Cherfaoui , Guillaume Metzler , Emilie Morvant , Paul Viallard

We propose a new approach, termed Realized Risk Measures (RRM), to estimate Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) using high-frequency financial data. It extends the Realized Quantile (RQ) approach proposed by Dimitriadis and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Federico Gatta , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

In this paper, we introduce two alternative extensions of the classical univariate Value-at-Risk (VaR) in a multivariate setting. The two proposed multivariate VaR are vector-valued measures with the same dimension as the underlying risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-05 Areski Cousin , Elena Di Bernadino

The debate of what quantitative risk measure to choose in practice has mainly focused on the dichotomy between Value at Risk (VaR) -- a quantile -- and Expected Shortfall (ES) -- a tail expectation. Range Value at Risk (RVaR) is a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Tobias Fissler , Johanna F. Ziegel

We establish the zero-diffusion limit for both continuous and discrete aggregation models over convex and bounded domains. Compared with a similar zero-diffusion limit derived in [44], our approach is different and relies on a coupling…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Razvan C. Fetecau , Hui Huang , Daniel Messenger , Weiran Sun

The Fr\'echet regression is a useful method for modeling random objects in a general metric space given Euclidean covariates. However, the conventional approach could be sensitive to outlying objects in the sense that the distance from the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-21 Hao Li , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shota Katayama

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

In this paper we discuss a general methodology to compute the market risk measure over long time horizons and at extreme percentiles, which are the typical conditions needed for estimating Economic Capital. The proposed approach extends the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-12 Luca Spadafora , Marco Dubrovich , Marcello Terraneo

In this paper, we study the risk sharing problem among multiple agents using Lambda Value-at-Risk as their preference functional, under heterogeneous beliefs, where beliefs are represented by several probability measures. We obtain…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Peng Liu , Andreas Tsanakas , Yunran Wei

In this paper, we propose the multivariate range Value-at-Risk (MRVaR) and the multivariate range covariance (MRCov) as two risk measures and explore their desirable properties in risk management. In particular, we explain that such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Baishuai Zuo , Chuancun Yin , Jing Yao

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

To achieve robustness of risk across different assets, risk parity investing rules, a particular state of risk contributions, have grown in popularity over the previous few decades. To generalize the concept of risk contribution from the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-22 Mengjin Zhao , Guangyan Jia