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We study the optimal portfolio allocation problem from a Bayesian perspective using value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) as risk measures. By applying the posterior predictive distribution for the future portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-04 Taras Bodnar , Mathias Lindholm , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

It is important for a portfolio manager to estimate and analyze recent portfolio volatility to keep the portfolio's risk within limit. Though the number of financial instruments in the portfolio can be very large, sometimes more than…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-18 Sourish Das , Aritra Halder , Dipak K. Dey

This paper characterises optimal incentive schemes for ESG disclosure in a continuous-time principal-agent setting. We model a risk-averse principal (e.g., a platform or standard-setter) contracting with a team of heterogeneous agents whose…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-28 Imen Ben Tahar , Dylan Possamaï , Xiaolu Tan

We use a replica approach to deal with portfolio optimization problems. A given risk measure is minimized using empirical estimates of asset values correlations. We study the phase transition which happens when the time series is too short…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Stefano Ciliberti , Marc Mezard

Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et al (2008). The required high-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Li , Ke Yu

In portfolio optimization problems, the minimum expected investment risk is not always smaller than the expected minimal investment risk. That is, using a well-known approach from operations research, it is possible to derive a strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato

We provide analytical results for a static portfolio optimization problem with two coherent risk measures. The use of two risk measures is motivated by joint decision-making for portfolio selection where the risk perception of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Tahsin Deniz Aktürk , Çağın Ararat

In this study we suggest a portfolio selection framework based on option-implied information and multivariate non-Gaussian models. The proposed models incorporate skewness, kurtosis and more complex dependence structures among stocks…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-28 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Gian Luca Tassinari

The econometric challenge of finding sparse mean reverting portfolios based on a subset of a large number of assets is well known. Many current state-of-the-art approaches fall into the field of co-integration theory, where the problem is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Théophile Griveau-Billion , Ben Calderhead

This work proposes a unified framework for portfolio allocation, covering both asset selection and optimization, based on a multiple-hypothesis predict-then-optimize approach. The portfolio is modeled as a structured ensemble, where each…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez , Muhammad Shahzad , Xia Hong

Portfolio optimization constitutes a cornerstone of risk management by quantifying the risk-return trade-off. Since it inherently depends on accurate parameter estimation under conditions of future uncertainty, the selection of appropriate…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-15 Juchan Kim , Inwoo Tae , Yongjae Lee

We study the problem of optimal portfolio selection under stochastic volatility within a continuous time reinforcement learning framework with portfolio constraints. Exploration is modeled through entropy-regularized relaxed controls, where…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-27 Thai Nguyen , Pertiny Nkuize

We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Szilard Pafka , Marc Potters , Imre Kondor

This paper introduces a novel family of generalized exponentiated gradient (EG) updates derived from an Alpha-Beta divergence regularization function. Collectively referred to as EGAB, the proposed updates belong to the category of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Andrzej Cichocki , Sergio Cruces , Auxiliadora Sarmiento , Toshihisa Tanaka

Conventional momentum strategies, despite their proven efficacy in generating alpha, frequently suffer from the "Winner's Curse", a structural vulnerability in which high performing assets exhibit clustered volatility and severe drawdowns…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Arya Chakraborty , Randhir Singh

Sustainable finance, which integrates environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria on financial decisions rests on the fact that money should be used for good purposes. Thus, the financial sector is also expected to play a more…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-23 A. Hilario-Caballero , A. Garcia-Bernabeu , J. V. Salcedo , M. Vercher

We propose a distributionally robust index tracking model with the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) penalty. The model combines the idea of distributionally robust optimization for data uncertainty and the CVaR penalty to avoid large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Ruyu Wang , Yaozhong Hu , Chao Zhang

We present a novel black box optimization algorithm called Hessian Estimation Evolution Strategy. The algorithm updates the covariance matrix of its sampling distribution by directly estimating the curvature of the objective function. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Tobias Glasmachers , Oswin Krause

Evolution Strategy (ES) is a powerful black-box optimization technique based on the idea of natural evolution. In each of its iterations, a key step entails ranking candidate solutions based on some fitness score. For an ES method in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Eshwar S R , Shishir Kolathaya , Gugan Thoppe
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