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We present differentiable predictive control (DPC), a method for learning constrained neural control policies for linear systems with probabilistic performance guarantees. We employ automatic differentiation to obtain direct policy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-28 Jan Drgona , Aaron Tuor , Draguna Vrabie

Recently, several direct Data-Driven Predictive Control (DDPC) methods have been proposed, advocating the possibility of designing predictive controllers from historical input-output trajectories without the need to identify a model. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Per Mattsson , Fabio Bonassi , Valentina Breschi , Thomas B. Schön

Direct data-driven control methods are known to be vulnerable to uncertainty in stochastic systems. In this paper, we propose a new robust data-driven predictive control (DDPC) framework. By analyzing non-unique solutions to behavioral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Yibo Wang , Qingyuan Liu , Chao Shang

We develop a novel form of differentiable predictive control (DPC) with safety and robustness guarantees based on control barrier functions. DPC is an unsupervised learning-based method for obtaining approximate solutions to explicit model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-05 Wenceslao Shaw Cortez , Jan Drgona , Aaron Tuor , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Draguna Vrabie

Deep neural network predictions are notoriously difficult to interpret. Feature attribution methods aim to explain these predictions by identifying the contribution of each input feature. Faithfulness, often evaluated using the area over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Joakim Edin , Andreas Geert Motzfeldt , Casper L. Christensen , Tuukka Ruotsalo , Lars Maaløe , Maria Maistro

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a powerful method for complex system regulation, but its reliance on an accurate model poses many limitations in real-world applications. Data-driven predictive control (DDPC) aims at overcoming this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Alessandro Chiuso , Marco Fabris , Valentina Breschi , Simone Formentin

Background and objective: Uncertainty quantification is a pivotal field that contributes to realizing reliable and robust systems. It becomes instrumental in fortifying safe decisions by providing complementary information, particularly…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Jamil Fayyad , Shadi Alijani , Homayoun Najjaran

Data-Driven Predictive Control (DDPC) has been recently proposed as an effective alternative to traditional Model Predictive Control (MPC), in that the same constrained optimization problem can be addressed without the need to explicitly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-14 Valentina Breschi , Marco Fabris , Simone Formentin , Alessandro Chiuso

We consider the core reinforcement-learning problem of on-policy value function approximation from a batch of trajectory data, and focus on various issues of Temporal Difference (TD) learning and Monte Carlo (MC) policy evaluation. The two…

Data-driven predictive control (DPC), using linear combinations of recorded trajectory data, has recently emerged as a popular alternative to traditional model predictive control (MPC). Without an explicitly enforced prediction model, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-31 Manuel Klädtke , Moritz Schulze Darup

The success of deep learning sparked interest in whether the brain learns by using similar techniques for assigning credit to each synaptic weight for its contribution to the network output. However, the majority of current attempts at…

We present differentiable predictive control (DPC) as a deep learning-based alternative to the explicit model predictive control (MPC) for unknown nonlinear systems. In the DPC framework, a neural state-space model is learned from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-27 Jan Drgona , Karol Kis , Aaron Tuor , Draguna Vrabie , Martin Klauco

Data attribution methods aim to answer useful counterfactual questions like "what would a ML model's prediction be if it were trained on a different dataset?" However, estimation of data attribution models through techniques like empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Ari Karchmer , Martin Pawelczyk , Seth Neel

Data Enabled Predictive Control (DeePC) is an established model free approach to predictive control, but it faces two open challenges: computational complexity that scales cubically with dataset size and performance degradation when data…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Jiachen Li , Shihao Li , Jian Chu , Dongmei Chen

Model predictive control (MPC) is an effective method for control of constrained systems but is susceptible to the external disturbances and modeling error often encountered in real-world applications. To address these issues, techniques…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-24 Savva Morozov , Parker C. Lusk , Brett T. Lopez , Jonathan P. How

We present Distribution-aware Conformal Prediction (DCP), a unified framework integrating probabilistic predictors like Monte Carlo dropout, deep ensembles, and quantile regression with score-agnostic conformal calibration to produce valid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Daniel Schweizer , Peter Kuhn , Jayant Sharma , Shivali Dubey , Malte von Ramin , Christoph Brockt-Haßauer

Deterministic model predictive control (MPC), while powerful, is often insufficient for effectively controlling autonomous systems in the real-world. Factors such as environmental noise and model error can cause deviations from the expected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Alex Oshin , Hassan Almubarak , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Traditional Evidence Deep Learning (EDL) methods rely on static hyperparameter for uncertainty calibration, limiting their adaptability in dynamic data distributions, which results in poor calibration and generalization in high-risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Zhen Yang , Yansong Ma , Lei Chen

The problem of model selection is inevitable in an increasingly large number of applications involving partial theoretical knowledge and vast amounts of information, like in medicine, biology or economics. The associated techniques are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-17 Stephane Guerrier , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

In the realm of control systems, model predictive control (MPC) has exhibited remarkable potential; however, its reliance on accurate models and substantial computational resources has hindered its broader application, especially within…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Amin Vahidi-Moghaddam , Kaian Chen , Kaixiang Zhang , Zhaojian Li , Yan Wang , Kai Wu
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