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The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth's strongest climate fluctuation on inter-annual time-scales and has global impacts although originating in the tropical Pacific. Many point indices have been developed to describe ENSO…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-06-27 A. Mazzarella , A. Giuliacci , N. Scafetta

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

We explore the use of deep neural networks for nonlinear dimensionality reduction in climate applications. We train convolutional autoencoders (CAEs) to encode two temperature field datasets from pre-industrial control runs in the CMIP5…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-06 J. A. Saenz , N. Lubbers , N. M. Urban

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Predictions on subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) timescales--ranging from two weeks to two month--are crucial for early warning systems but remain challenging owing to chaos in the climate system. Teleconnections, such as the stratospheric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Philine L. Bommer , Marlene Kretschmer , Fiona R. Spuler , Kirill Bykov , Marina M. -C. Höhne

Ensemble smoother (ES) has been widely used in various research fields to reduce the uncertainty of the system-of-interest. However, the commonly-adopted ES method that employs the Kalman formula, that is, ES$_\text{(K)}$, does not perform…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Jiangjiang Zhang , Qiang Zheng , Laosheng Wu , Lingzao Zeng

Numerical models are widely used to simulate the earth system, but they are computationally expensive and often depend on many uncertain input parameters. Their effective use requires calibration and uncertainty quantification, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Tristan Contant , Yawen Guan , Ander Wilson , Adrian K. Turner , Deborah Sulsky

Snow is a crucial element of the sea ice system, affecting sea ice growth and decay due to its low thermal conductivity and high albedo. Despite its importance, present-day climate models have an idealized representation of snow, often…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-13 Ayush Prasad , Ioanna Merkouriadi , Aleksi Nummelin

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are two dominant modes of tropical climate variability, each with profound global weather impacts. While their individual dynamics have been widely studied,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Yinling Zhang , Nan Chen , Charlotte Moser

Atomistic simulations of electrochemical interfaces remain challenging due to the long time scales required to adequately sample the structure of the electric double layer. The emergence of efficient, short-range machine learning…

Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang

One of the fundamental challenges in the prediction of dynamic agents is robustness. Usually, most predictions are deterministic estimates of future states which are over-confident and prone to error. Recently, few works have addressed…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph , Prasenjit Ghorai

The escalating climate crisis and ecosystem degradation demand intelligent, low-cost sensors capable of robust, long-term monitoring in real-world environments. Absolute dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration is a key parameter for predicting…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Nikolaos Salaris , Adrien Desjardins , Manish K. Tiwari

An exciting and promising frontier for Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) is its application to real-world robotic systems. While modern DRL approaches achieved remarkable successes in many robotic scenarios (including mobile robotics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Davide Corsi , Davide Camponogara , Alessandro Farinelli

Real-world systems, from aerospace to railway engineering, are modeled with partial differential equations (PDEs) describing the physics of the system. Estimating robust solutions for such problems is essential. Deep learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Taniya Kapoor , Abhishek Chandra , Anastasios Stamou , Stephen J Roberts

Accurate modeling of infrasound transmission losses (TLs) is essential to assess the performance of the global International Monitoring System infrasound network. Among existing propagation modeling tools, parabolic equation (PE) method…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Alexis Le Pichon , Alice Janela Cameijo , Samir Aknine , Youcef Sklab , Souhila Arib , Quentin Brissaud , Sven Peter Naesholm

A deep latent variable model is a powerful method for capturing complex distributions. These models assume that underlying structures, but unobserved, are present within the data. In this dissertation, we explore high-dimensional problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Khuong Vo

Satellites, crewed spacecraft and stations in low-Earth orbit (LEO) are very sensitive to atmospheric drag. A satellite's lifetime and orbital tracking become increasingly inaccurate or uncertain during magnetic storms. Given the planned…

Charged particle dynamics under the influence of electromagnetic fields is a challenging spatiotemporal problem. Many high performance physics-based simulators for predicting behavior in a charged particle beam are computationally…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2025-02-27 Mahindra Rautela , Alan Williams , Alexander Scheinker

Simulating water from first principles remains a significant computational challenge due to the slow dynamics of the underlying system. Although machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLPs) can accelerate these simulations, they often fail…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-01-30 Tobias Hilpert , Georg Kresse