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State-space models are dynamical systems defined by a latent and an observed process. In ecology, stochastic state-space models in discrete time are most often used to describe the imperfectly observed dynamics of population sizes or animal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Frederic Barraquand , Julien Gibaud

The celebrated Takens' embedding theorem provides a theoretical foundation for reconstructing the full state of a dynamical system from partial observations. However, the classical theorem assumes that the underlying system is deterministic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Jonah Botvinick-Greenhouse , Maria Oprea , Romit Maulik , Yunan Yang

The development of efficient and robust dynamic models is fundamental in the field of systems and control engineering. In this paper, a new formulation for the dynamic model of nonlinear mechanical systems, that can be applied to different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-09 Davide Tebaldi , Roberto Zanasi

This paper addresses the synthesis of interval observers for partially unknown nonlinear systems subject to bounded noise, aiming to simultaneously estimate system states and learn a model of the unknown dynamics. Our approach leverages…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-15 Mohammad Khajenejad , Zeyuan Jin

We develop and analyze a highly efficient, second-order time-marching scheme for infinite-dimensional nonlinear geophysical fluid models, designed to accurately approximate invariant measures-that is, the stationary statistical properties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Daozhi Han , Xiaoming Wang

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

A theoretical approach for characterising the influence of asymmetry of noise distribution on the escape rate of a multi-stable system is presented. This was carried out via the estimation of an action, which is defined as an exponential…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2014-02-26 I. A. Khovanov , N. A. Khovanova

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

The basic strategy underlying models of spontaneous wave function collapse (collapse models) is to modify the Schroedinger equation by including nonlinear stochastic terms, which tend to localize wave functions in space in a dynamical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 A. Bassi , H. Ulbricht

The importance of modelling temperature fields goes beyond the need to understand a region's climate and serves too as a starting point for understanding their socioeconomic, and health consequences. The topography of the study region…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-05 Camila M. Casquilho-Resende , Nhu D. Le , James V. Zidek

This paper introduces a novel stochastic model for credit spreads. The stochastic approach leverages the diffusion of default intensities via a CIR++ model and is formulated within a risk-neutral probability space. Our research primarily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Djibril Sarr

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

Many robotic systems require extended deployments in complex, dynamic environments. In such deployments, parts of the environment may change between subsequent robot observations. Most robotic mapping or environment modeling algorithms are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Miguel Saavedra-Ruiz , Samer B. Nashed , Charlie Gauthier , Liam Paull

There is a lack of quantitative measures to evaluate the progression of topics through time in dynamic topic models (DTMs). Filling this gap, we propose a novel evaluation measure for DTMs that analyzes the changes in the quality of each…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charu James , Mayank Nagda , Nooshin Haji Ghassemi , Marius Kloft , Sophie Fellenz

This paper investigates the modeling of an important class of degradation data, which are collected from a spatial domain over time; for example, the surface quality degradation. Like many existing time-dependent stochastic degradation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Jayant Kalagnanam

We introduce a nonlinear stochastic model reduction technique for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems that have a low-dimensional invariant effective manifold with slow dynamics, and high-dimensional, large fast modes. Given only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Felix X. -F. Ye , Sichen Yang , Mauro Maggioni

We consider the problem of modeling, estimating, and controlling the latent state of a spatiotemporally evolving continuous function using very few sensor measurements and actuator locations. Our solution to the problem consists of two…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Hassan A. Kingravi , Harshal Maske , Girish Chowdhary