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Response-adaptive randomization has recently attracted a lot of attention in the literature. In this paper, we propose a new and simple family of response-adaptive randomization procedures that attain the Cramer--Rao lower bounds on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Feifang Hu , Li-Xin Zhang , Xuming He

We study online learning in adversarial nonstationary environments. Since the future can be very different from the past, a critical challenge is to gracefully forget the history while new data comes in. To formalize this intuition, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Zhiyu Zhang , David Bombara , Heng Yang

Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL) is a powerful framework for various online learning problems. By designing its regularizer and learning rate to be adaptive to past observations, FTRL is known to work adaptively to various properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Taira Tsuchiya , Shinji Ito

We investigate online convex optimization in non-stationary environments and choose dynamic regret as the performance measure, defined as the difference between cumulative loss incurred by the online algorithm and that of any feasible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Peng Zhao , Yu-Jie Zhang , Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

In the setting of multi-armed trials, adaptive designs are a popular way to increase estimation efficiency, identify optimal treatments, or maximize rewards to individuals. Recent work has considered the case of estimating the effects of K…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Kristen B. Hunter

We consider the non-parametric Poisson regression problem where the integer valued response $Y$ is the realization of a Poisson random variable with parameter $\lambda(X)$. The aim is to estimate the functional parameter $\lambda$ from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-14 Martin Kroll

Adaptive randomized experiments update treatment probabilities as data accrue, but still require an end-of-study interval for the average treatment effect (ATE) at a prespecified horizon. Under adaptive assignment, propensities can keep…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Gabriel Saco

Regret minimization is a powerful method for finding Nash equilibria in Normal-Form Games (NFGs) and Extensive-Form Games (EFGs), but it typically guarantees convergence only for the average strategy. However, computing the average strategy…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Hang Ren , Yulin Wu , Shuhan Qi , Jiajia Zhang , Xiaozhen Sun , Tianzi Ma , Xuan Wang

In contemporary statistical learning, covariate shift correction plays an important role in transfer learning when distribution of the testing data is shifted from the training data. Importance weighting, as a natural and principle strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Molei Liu , Yi Zhang , Katherine P Liao , Tianxi Cai

We investigate online convex optimization in changing environments, and choose the adaptive regret as the performance measure. The goal is to achieve a small regret over every interval so that the comparator is allowed to change over time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Lijun Zhang , Tie-Yan Liu , Zhi-Hua Zhou

This paper proposes a novel non-parametric multidimensional convex regression estimator which is designed to be robust to adversarial perturbations in the empirical measure. We minimize over convex functions the maximum (over Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Jun Yan , Zhengqing Zhou

In randomized clinical trials, adjusting for baseline covariates can improve credibility and efficiency for demonstrating and quantifying treatment effects. This article studies the augmented inverse propensity weighted (AIPW) estimator,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Marlena S. Bannick , Jun Shao , Jingyi Liu , Yu Du , Yanyao Yi , Ting Ye

In this work, we consider the problem of regret minimization in adaptive minimum variance and linear quadratic control problems. Regret minimization has been extensively studied in the literature for both types of adaptive control problems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Kévin Colin , Håkan Hjalmarsson , Xavier Bombois

Adaptive experimental designs have gained popularity in clinical trials and online experiments. Unlike traditional, fixed experimental designs, adaptive designs can dynamically adjust treatment randomization probabilities and other design…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Wenxin Zhang , Mark van der Laan

We study online linear optimization with matrix variables constrained by the operator norm, a setting where the geometry renders designing data-dependent and efficient adaptive algorithms challenging. The best-known adaptive regret bounds…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Ruichen Jiang , Zakaria Mhammedi , Mehryar Mohri , Aryan Mokhtari

We study clustered multitask learning in a semiparametric setting where tasks share a latent cluster structure in their target parameters but exhibit heterogeneous, potentially infinite-dimensional nuisance components. Such heterogeneity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Hanxiao Chen , Debarghya Mukherjee

Estimating the mean counterfactual outcome under a treatment rule is a central problem in causal inference and policy evaluation. Standard estimators, including inverse probability weighting (IPW), augmented IPW (AIPW), and targeted maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Yichen Xu , Mark J. van der Laan

We study dynamic pricing of a product with an unknown demand distribution over a finite horizon. Departing from the standard no-regret learning environment in which prices can be adjusted at any time, we restrict price changes to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Parshan Pakiman , Boxiao Chen , Selvaprabu Nadarajah , Stefanus Jasin

In randomized experiments, regression adjustment can improve the precision of average treatment effect (ATE) estimation using covariates without requiring a correctly specified outcome model. Although well studied in low-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Dogyoon Song

We present tools for the analysis of Follow-The-Regularized-Leader (FTRL), Dual Averaging, and Mirror Descent algorithms when the regularizer (equivalently, prox-function or learning rate schedule) is chosen adaptively based on the data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-10 H. Brendan McMahan