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Stock price prediction is a challenging task, but machine learning methods have recently been used successfully for this purpose. In this paper, we extract over 270 hand-crafted features (factors) inspired by technical and quantitative…

We introduce Conformal Interquantile Regression (CIR), a conformal regression method that efficiently constructs near-minimal prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. CIR leverages black-box machine learning models to estimate outcome…

This paper develops a matrix-variate adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology for Bayesian Cointegrated Vector Auto Regressions (CVAR). We replace the popular approach to sampling Bayesian CVAR models, involving griddy Gibbs,…

This paper addresses feature subset selection for Support Vector Machines (SVMs) based on the cross-validation criterion. Unlike statistical criteria such as the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian information criterion…

Effective model selection is critical in symbolic regression (SR) to identify mathematical expressions that balance accuracy and complexity, and have low expected error on unseen data. Many modern implementations of genetic programming (GP)…

We present a model selection framework for the extraction of the CKM matrix element $|V_{cb}|$ from exclusive $B \to D^* l \nu$ decays. By framing the truncation of the Boyd-Grinstein-Lebed (BGL) parameterization as a model selection task,…

For linear models with a diverging number of parameters, it has recently been shown that modified versions of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) can identify the true model consistently. However, in many cases there is little…

Cylindrical algebraic decomposition(CAD) is a key tool in computational algebraic geometry, particularly for quantifier elimination over real-closed fields. When using CAD, there is often a choice for the ordering placed on the variables.…

Integer-valued time series are widely present in many fields, such as finance, economics, disease transmission, and traffic flow. With data dimensions surging, the traditional multivariate generalized integer autoregressive (MGINAR) model…

Collaborative filtering-based recommender systems that rely on a single type of behavior often encounter serious sparsity issues in real-world applications, leading to unsatisfactory performance. Multi-behavior Recommendation (MBR) is a…

A cross-benchmark has been done on three critical aspects, data imputing, feature selection and regression algorithms, for machine learning based chemical vapor deposition (CVD) virtual metrology (VM). The result reveals that linear feature…

In this paper, we consider a Bayesian bi-level variable selection problem in high-dimensional regressions. In many practical situations, it is natural to assign group membership to each predictor. Examples include that genetic variants can…

The statistical analysis of measurement data has become a key component of many quantum engineering experiments. As standard full state tomography becomes unfeasible for large dimensional quantum systems, one needs to exploit prior…

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a model selection criterion widely used in practical applications. The AIC is an estimator of the log-likelihood expected value, and measures the discrepancy between the true model and the estimated…

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

We introduce a novel method to simultaneously perform variable selection and estimation in the joint frailty model of recurrent and terminal events using the Broken Adaptive Ridge Regression penalty. The BAR penalty can be summarized as an…

We consider batch size selection for a general class of multivariate batch means variance estimators, which are computationally viable for high-dimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. We derive the asymptotic mean squared error…

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

High-dimensional panels of time series often arise in finance and macroeconomics, where co-movements within groups of panel components occur. Extracting these groupings from the data provides a coarse-grained description of the complex…

Regression is a fundamental tool in scientific research. Ordinary least squares (OLS), one of the most widely used regression methods, enjoys several desirable properties, including the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) property. It is…