English
Related papers

Related papers: Forecasting AI Time Horizon Under Compute Slowdown…

200 papers

Increased adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) systems into scientific workflows will result in an increasing technical debt as the distance between the data scientists and engineers who develop AI system components and scientists,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Iain Barclay , Harrison Taylor , Alun Preece , Ian Taylor , Dinesh Verma , Geeth de Mel

Generative AI's rapid advancement sparks interest in its cognitive abilities, especially given its capacity for tasks like language understanding and code generation. This study explores how several recent GenAI models perform on the Clock…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Isaac R. Galatzer-Levy , Jed McGiffin , David Munday , Xin Liu , Danny Karmon , Ilia Labzovsky , Rivka Moroshko , Amir Zait , Daniel McDuff

AI agent inference is driving an inference heavy datacenter future and exposes bottlenecks beyond compute - especially memory capacity, memory bandwidth and high-speed interconnect. We introduce two metrics - Operational Intensity (OI) and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Yiren Zhao , Junyi Liu

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly integrated into modern healthcare, offering powerful support for clinical decision-making. However, in real-world settings, AI systems may experience performance degradation over time, due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Hao Guan , David Bates , Li Zhou

The way heuristic optimizers are designed has evolved over the decades, as computing power has increased. Such has been the case for the Linear Ordering Problem (LOP), a field in which trajectory-based strategies led the way during the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Lázaro Lugo , Carlos Segura , Gara Miranda

The progress of some AI paradigms such as deep learning is said to be linked to an exponential growth in the number of parameters. There are many studies corroborating these trends, but does this translate into an exponential increase in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Radosvet Desislavov , Fernando Martínez-Plumed , José Hernández-Orallo

As AI capabilities continue to grow exponentially on economically relevant human expert tasks, with task completion horizons doubling every 7 months according to the Model Evaluation and Threat Research (METR), we are interested in how this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Allen G Hart

Do leading LLM developers possess a proprietary ``secret sauce'', or is LLM performance driven by scaling up compute? Using training and benchmark data for 809 models released between 2022 and 2025, we estimate scaling-law regressions with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Matthias Mertens , Natalia Fischl-Lanzoni , Neil Thompson

We currently witness the spectacular success of artificial intelligence in both science and public life. However, the development of a rigorous mathematical foundation is still at an early stage. In this survey article, which is based on an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Gitta Kutyniok

Over the Eight decades, computing paradigms have shifted from large, centralized systems to compact, distributed architectures, leading to the rise of the Distributed Computing Continuum (DCC). In this model, multiple layers such as cloud,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Praveen Kumar Donta , Qiyang Zhang , Schahram Dustdar

We reframe the analysis of progress in AI by incorporating into an overall framework both the task performance of a system, and the time and resource costs incurred in the development and deployment of the system. These costs include: data,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Fernando Martínez-Plumed , Shahar Avin , Miles Brundage , Allan Dafoe , Sean Ó hÉigeartaigh , José Hernández-Orallo

The pursuit of artificial general intelligence necessitates robust methods for evaluating the cognitive capabilities of models beyond narrow task performance. Here, we introduce a psychometric framework to assess the cognitive profiles of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Isaac Galatzer-Levy , Daniel McDuff , Xin Liu , Jed McGiffin

We develop horizon-aware anytime-valid tests and confidence sequences for bounded means under a strict deadline $N$. Using the betting/e-process framework, we cast horizon-aware betting as a finite-horizon optimal control problem with state…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Ege Onur Taga , Samet Oymak , Shubhanshu Shekhar

How does the amount of compute available to a reinforcement learning (RL) policy affect its learning? Can policies using a fixed amount of parameters, still benefit from additional compute? The standard RL framework does not provide a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Raj Ghugare , Michał Bortkiewicz , Alicja Ziarko , Benjamin Eysenbach

The focus of AI development has shifted from academic research to practical applications. However, AI development faces numerous challenges at various levels. This article will attempt to analyze the opportunities and challenges of AI from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Bor-Sung Liang

Since the publication of the first International AI Safety Report, AI capabilities have continued to improve across key domains. New training techniques that teach AI systems to reason step-by-step and inference-time enhancements have…

The rise of Artificial Intelligence (AI) will bring with it an ever-increasing willingness to cede decision-making to machines. But rather than just giving machines the power to make decisions that affect us, we need ways to work…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Elisa Bertino , Finale Doshi-Velez , Maria Gini , Daniel Lopresti , David Parkes

In the context of capacity planning, forecasting the evolution of informatics servers usage enables companies to better manage their computational resources. We address this problem by collecting key indicator time series and propose to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Colin Leverger , Vincent Lemaire , Simon Malinowski , Thomas Guyet , Laurence Rozé

In the context of Markov decision processes running in continuous time, one of the most intriguing challenges is the efficient approximation of finite horizon reachability objectives. A multitude of sophisticated model checking algorithms…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-03 Yuliya Butkova , Hassan Hatefi , Holger Hermanns , Jan Krcal

This study examines the impact of GitHub Copilot on a large sample of Copilot users (n=934,533). The analysis shows that users on average accept nearly 30% of the suggested code, leading to increased productivity. Furthermore, our research…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-28 Thomas Dohmke , Marco Iansiti , Greg Richards