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Prognostic Health Management (PHM) systems monitor and predict equipment health. A key task is Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation, which predicts how long a component, such as a rolling element bearing, will operate before failure. Many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Waleed Razzaq , Yun-Bo Zhao

Rotating machinery is essential to modern life, from power generation to transportation and a host of other industrial applications. Since such equipment generally operates under challenging working conditions, which can lead to untimely…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-27 Zhaoyi Xu , Yanjie Guo , Joseph Homer Saleh

Accurate prediction of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) is essential for enabling timely maintenance of lithium-ion batteries, impacting the operational efficiency of electric applications that rely on them. This paper proposes a RUL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Khoa Tran , Tri Le , Bao Huynh , Hung-Cuong Trinh , Vy-Rin Nguyen , T. Nguyen-Thoi , Vin Nguyen-Thai

This paper presents the data-driven techniques and methodologies used to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of a fleet of aircraft engines that can suffer failures of diverse nature. The solution presented is based on two Deep…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-25 David Solis-Martin , Juan Galan-Paez , Joaquin Borrego-Diaz

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

In the era of industrial big data, prognostics and health management is essential to improve the prediction of future failures to minimize inventory, maintenance, and human costs. Used for the 2021 PHM Data Challenge, the new Commercial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Joseph Cohen , Xun Huan , Jun Ni

This paper is aimed at using the newly developing field of physics informed machine learning (PIML) to develop models for predicting the remaining useful lifetime (RUL) aircraft engines. We consider the well-known benchmark NASA Commercial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Sriram Nagaraj , Truman Hickok

Deep-space habitats (DSHs) are safety-critical systems that must operate autonomously for long periods, often beyond the reach of ground-based maintenance or expert intervention. Monitoring system health and anticipating failures are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-03 Benjamin Peters , Ayush Mohanty , Xiaolei Fang , Stephen K. Robinson , Nagi Gebraeel

The main objective of Prognostics and Health Management is to estimate the Remaining Useful Lifetime (RUL), namely, the time that a system or a piece of equipment is still in working order before starting to function incorrectly. In recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Alireza Javanmardi , Eyke Hüllermeier

This paper presents a framework for estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) of mechanical systems. The framework consists of a multi-layer perceptron and an evolutionary algorithm for optimizing the data-related parameters. The framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 David Laredo , Zhaoyin Chen , Oliver Schütze , Jian-Qiao Sun

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has emerged as a promising approach for developing more intelligent autonomous vehicles (AVs). A typical DRL application on AVs is to train a neural network-based driving policy. However, the black-box…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Weitao Zhou , Zhong Cao , Nanshan Deng , Kun Jiang , Diange Yang

Accurately estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a battery is essential for determining its lifespan and recharge requirements. In this work, we develop machine learning-based models to predict and classify battery RUL. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Biplov Paneru , Bipul Thapa , Durga Prasad Mainali , Bishwash Paneru , Krishna Bikram Shah

Accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is a key requirement for effective Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) in safety-critical systems such as aero-engines. Existing deep learning approaches, particularly LSTM-based models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Rafi Hassan Chowdhury , Nabil Daiyan , Faria Ahmed , Md Redwan Iqbal , Morsalin Sheikh

Estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of mechanical systems is pivotal in Prognostics and Health Management (PHM). Rolling-element bearings are among the most frequent causes of machinery failure, highlighting the need for robust RUL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Waleed Razzaq , Yun-Bo Zhao

Robust control of mechanical systems with multiple uncertainties remains a fundamental challenge, particularly when nonlinear dynamics and operating-condition variations are intricately intertwined. Although deep reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Heisei Yonezawa , Ansei Yonezawa , Itsuro Kajiwara

Assessing the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks is crucial for safety-related applications of deep learning. Although Bayesian deep learning offers a principled framework for estimating model uncertainty, the common approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Yookoon Park , David M. Blei

Reward models (RMs) are essential for aligning large language models (LLM) with human expectations. However, existing RMs struggle to capture the stochastic and uncertain nature of human preferences and fail to assess the reliability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Xingzhou Lou , Dong Yan , Wei Shen , Yuzi Yan , Jian Xie , Junge Zhang

In industrial applications, nearly half the failures of motors are caused by the degradation of rolling element bearings (REBs). Therefore, accurately estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) for REBs are of crucial importance to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Cheng Cheng , Guijun Ma , Yong Zhang , Mingyang Sun , Fei Teng , Han Ding , Ye Yuan

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainties by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Sujay Thakur , Cooper Lorsung , Yaniv Yacoby , Finale Doshi-Velez , Weiwei Pan

Precise estimation of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of rolling bearings is an important consideration to avoid unexpected failures, reduce downtime, and promote safety and efficiency in industrial systems. Complications in degradation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Ali Mohajerzarrinkelk , Maryam Ahang , Mehran Zoravar , Mostafa Abbasi , Homayoun Najjaran