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Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is an increasingly popular technique for uncertainty propagation and quantification in systems and control. Based on the theory of Hilbert spaces and orthogonal polynomials, PCE allows for a unifying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Frederik Zahn , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

This paper demonstrates how certified computational tools can be used to address various problems in control theory. In particular, we introduce PACE.jl, a Julia package that implements symbolic elimination techniques, including (among…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Alexander Demin , Christina Katsamaki , Fabrice Rouillier

Stochastic dominance is a fundamental concept in decision-making under uncertainty and quantitative finance, yet its practical application is hindered by computational intractability due to infinitely many constraints. We introduce the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Rajmadan Lakshmanan , Alois Pichler

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz

Polynomial Chaos Expansions represent a powerful tool to simulate stochastic models of dynamical systems. Yet, deriving the expansion's coefficients for complex systems might require a significant and non-trivial manipulation of the model,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-13 Lorenzo Fagiano , Mustafa Khammash

This paper introduces a new generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) comprising measure-consistent multivariate orthonormal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike existing PCEs, whether classical or generalized, no…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Sharif Rahman

This article is devoted to providing a review of mathematical formulations in which Polynomial Chaos Theory (PCT) has been incorporated into stochastic model predictive control (SMPC). In the past decade, PCT has been shown to provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-18 Prabhat K. Mishra , Joel A. Paulson , Richard D. Braatz

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

We introduce PoCET: a free and open-scource Polynomial Chaos Expansion Toolbox for Matlab, featuring the automatic generation of polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) for linear and nonlinear dynamic systems with time-invariant stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-13 Felix Petzke , Ali Mesbah , Stefan Streif

HarmonicBalance.jl is a publicly available Julia package designed to simplify and solve systems of periodic time-dependent nonlinear ordinary differential equations. Time dependence of the system parameters is treated with the harmonic…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2022-05-18 Jan Košata , Javier del Pino , Toni L. Heugel , Oded Zilberberg

The intermittent nature of renewable power availability is one of the major sources of uncertainty in power systems. While markets can guarantee that the demand is covered by the available generation, transmission system operators have to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Oleksii Molodchyk , Hendrik Drögehorn , Martin Lindner , Mario Kendziorski , Timm Faulwasser

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

Growing uncertainty from renewable energy integration and distributed energy resources motivate the need for advanced tools to quantify the effect of uncertainty and assess the risks it poses to secure system operation. Polynomial chaos…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-16 David Métivier , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra

Building surrogate models with uncertainty quantification capabilities is essential for many engineering applications where randomness, such as variability in material properties, is unavoidable. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is widely…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Bahador Bahmani , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

This paper presents a method for performing Uncertainty Quantification in high-dimensional uncertain spaces by combining arbitrary polynomial chaos with a recently proposed scheme for sensitivity enhancement (1). Including available…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Nick Pepper , Francesco Montomoli , Kyriakos Kantarakias

POCP is a new Matlab package running jointly with GloptiPoly 3 and, optionally, YALMIP. It is aimed at nonlinear optimal control problems for which all the problem data are polynomial, and provides an approximation of the optimal value as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-09-29 Didier Henrion , Jean-Bernard Lasserre , Carlo Savorgnan

In this paper we present BilevelJuMP, a new Julia package to support bilevel optimization within the JuMP framework. The package is a Julia library that enables the user to describe both upper and lower-level optimization problems using the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Guilherme Bodin , Alexandre Street

Many optimization problems in power transmission networks can be formulated as polynomial problems with complex variables. A polynomial optimization problem with complex variables consists in optimizing a real-valued polynomial whose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-19 Julie Sliwak , Manuel Ruiz , Miguel F. Anjos , Lucas Létocart , Emiliano Traversi

Mathematical models of natural and man-made systems often have many adjustable parameters that must be estimated from multiple, potentially conflicting datasets. Rather than reporting a single best-fit parameter vector, it is often more…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-01 Jeffrey D. Varner
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