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The standard vector autoregressive (VAR) models suffer from overparameterization which is a serious issue for high-dimensional time series data as it restricts the number of variables and lags that can be incorporated into the model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 S. Yaser Samadi , Wiranthe B. Herath

We improve upon the two-stage sparse vector autoregression (sVAR) method in Davis et al. (2016) by proposing an alternative two-stage modified sVAR method which relies on time series graphical lasso to estimate sparse inverse spectral…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-06 Aramayis Dallakyan , Rakheon Kim , Mohsen Pourahmadi

The central problem we address in this work is estimation of the parameter support set S, the set of indices corresponding to nonzero parameters, in the context of a sparse parametric likelihood model for discrete multivariate time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Trevor D. Ruiz , Sharmodeep Bhattacharyya , Sarah C. Emerson

This paper aims to decompose a large dimensional vector autoregessive (VAR) model into two components, the first one being generated by a small-scale VAR and the second one being a white noise sequence. Hence, a reduced number of common…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-22 Gianluca Cubadda , Alain Hecq

Tensors are becoming prevalent in modern applications such as medical imaging and digital marketing. In this paper, we propose a sparse tensor additive regression (STAR) that models a scalar response as a flexible nonparametric function of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-08 Botao Hao , Boxiang Wang , Pengyuan Wang , Jingfei Zhang , Jian Yang , Will Wei Sun

Some applied researchers hesitate to use nonparametric methods, worrying that they will lose power in small samples or overfit the data when simpler models are sufficient. We argue that at least some of these concerns are unfounded when…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Antonio R. Linero

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

In data science, vector autoregression (VAR) models are popular in modeling multivariate time series in the environmental sciences and other applications. However, these models are computationally complex with the number of parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Zhihao Hu , Shyam Ranganathan , Yang Shao , Xinwei Deng

We discuss the issue of estimating large-scale vector autoregressive (VAR) models with stochastic volatility in real-time situations where data are sampled at different frequencies. In the case of a large VAR with stochastic volatility, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-06 Sebastian Ankargren , Paulina Jonéus

We consider the problem of non-parametric regression with a potentially large number of covariates. We propose a convex, penalized estimation framework that is particularly well-suited for high-dimensional sparse additive models. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-19 Asad Haris , Ali Shojaie , Noah Simon

The additive partially linear model (APLM) combines the flexibility of nonparametric regression with the parsimony of regression models, and has been widely used as a popular tool in multivariate nonparametric regression to alleviate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Xinyi Li , Li Wang , Dan Nettleton

High-dimensional time series data exist in numerous areas such as finance, genomics, healthcare, and neuroscience. An unavoidable aspect of all such datasets is missing data, and dealing with this issue has been an important focus in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Amin Jalali , Rebecca Willett

The method of instrumental variables provides a fundamental and practical tool for causal inference in many empirical studies where unmeasured confounding between the treatments and the outcome is present. Modern data such as the genetical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Ziang Niu , Yuwen Gu , Wei Li

We introduce a new algorithm, called adaptive sparse backfitting algorithm, for solving high dimensional Sparse Additive Model (SpAM) utilizing symmetric, non-negative definite smoothers. Unlike the previous sparse backfitting algorithm,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-13 Yan Li

Variable selection is an important statistical problem. This problem becomes more challenging when the candidate predictors are of mixed type (e.g. continuous and binary) and impact the response variable in nonlinear and/or non-additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Chuji Luo , Michael J. Daniels

The shocks which hit macroeconomic models such as Vector Autoregressions (VARs) have the potential to be non-Gaussian, exhibiting asymmetries and fat tails. This consideration motivates the VAR developed in this paper which uses a Dirichlet…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-29 Florian Huber , Gary Koop

This paper introduces a Factor Augmented Sparse Throughput (FAST) model that utilizes both latent factors and sparse idiosyncratic components for nonparametric regression. The FAST model bridges factor models on one end and sparse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Jianqing Fan , Yihong Gu

We study sparse principal component analysis for high dimensional vector autoregressive time series under a doubly asymptotic framework, which allows the dimension $d$ to scale with the series length $T$. We treat the transition matrix of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 Zhaoran Wang , Fang Han , Han Liu

BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) has become increasingly popular as a flexible and scalable nonparametric regression approach for modern applied statistics problems. For the practitioner dealing with large and complex nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Matthew Pratola , Hugh Chipman , Edward George , Robert McCulloch

Conditions are obtained for a Gaussian vector autoregressive time series of order $k$, VAR($k$), to have univariate margins that are autoregressive of order $k$ or lower-dimensional margins that are also VAR($k$). This can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Lin Zhang , Harry Joe , Natalia Nolde
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