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Time-series forecasting is a critical task across many domains, from engineering to economics, where accurate predictions drive strategic decisions. However, applying advanced deep learning models in challenging, volatile domains like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Andrzej Podobiński , Jarosław A. Chudziak

This study explores the potential of zero-shot time series forecasting, an innovative approach leveraging pre-trained foundation models, to forecast mortality rates without task-specific fine-tuning. We evaluate two state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Gabor Petnehazi , Laith Al Shaggah , Jozsef Gall , Bernadett Aradi

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Effective utilization of time series data is often constrained by the scarcity of data quantity that reflects complex dynamics, especially under the condition of distributional shifts. Existing datasets may not encompass the full range of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Haibei Zhu , Yousef El-Laham , Elizabeth Fons , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Is bigger always better for time series foundation models? With the question in mind, we explore an alternative to training a single, large monolithic model: building a portfolio of smaller, pretrained forecasting models. By applying…

Temporal data, notably time series and spatio-temporal data, are prevalent in real-world applications. They capture dynamic system measurements and are produced in vast quantities by both physical and virtual sensors. Analyzing these data…

Electricity market prices exhibit extreme volatility, nonlinearity, and non-stationarity, making accurate forecasting a significant challenge. While cutting-edge time series foundation models (TSFMs) effectively capture temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yunzhong Qiu , Binzhu Li , Hao Wei , Shenglin Weng , Chen Wang , Zhongyi Pei , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang

Although the pre-training followed by fine-tuning paradigm is used extensively in many fields, there is still some controversy surrounding the impact of pre-training on the fine-tuning process. Currently, experimental findings based on text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Jiashu Pu , Shiwei Zhao , Ling Cheng , Yongzhu Chang , Runze Wu , Tangjie Lv , Rongsheng Zhang

The industry is rich in cases when we are required to make forecasting for large amounts of time series at once. However, we might be in a situation where we can not afford to train a separate model for each of them. Such issue in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Kseniia Kuvshinova , Olga Tsymboi , Alina Kostromina , Dmitry Simakov , Elizaveta Kovtun

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song

Spatio-Temporal (ST) data science, which includes sensing, managing, and mining large-scale data across space and time, is fundamental to understanding complex systems in domains such as urban computing, climate science, and intelligent…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Yuxuan Liang , Haomin Wen , Yutong Xia , Ming Jin , Bin Yang , Flora Salim , Qingsong Wen , Shirui Pan , Gao Cong

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have borrowed the long context paradigm from natural language processing under the premise that feeding more history into the model improves forecast quality. But in stochastic domains, distant history…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Rishi Ahuja , Kumar Prateek , Simranjit Singh , Vijay Kumar

Financial sentiment analysis plays a crucial role in uncovering latent patterns and detecting emerging trends, enabling individuals to make well-informed decisions that may yield substantial advantages within the constantly changing realm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Sorouralsadat Fatemi , Yuheng Hu

Recent advances in Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) promise zero-shot forecasting capabilities with minimal task-specific training. While these models have shown strong performance across generic benchmarks, their applicability in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Chi Bui , Maria Margarida Mascarenhas , Arnaud Verstraeten , Hussain Kazmi

Foundation models have revolutionized artificial intelligence, setting new benchmarks in performance and enabling transformative capabilities across a wide range of vision and language tasks. However, despite the prevalence of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Adam Goodge , Wee Siong Ng , Bryan Hooi , See Kiong Ng

Time series foundation models excel at diverse time series forecasting tasks, but their capacity for continuous improvement through incremental learning remains unexplored. We present the first comprehensive study investigating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Jia Liu , Cheng Jinguo , Xia Fang , Zhenyuan Ma , Yuankai Wu

Unlike traditional time-series forecasting methods that require extensive in-task data for training, zero-shot forecasting can directly predict future values given a target time series without additional training data. Current zero-shot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Ting-Ji Huang , Xu-Yang Chen , Han-Jia Ye

This paper explores the potential of large language models (LLMs) to generate financial reports from time series data. We propose a framework encompassing prompt engineering, model selection, and evaluation. We introduce an automated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Elizabeth Fons , Elena Kochkina , Rachneet Kaur , Zhen Zeng , Berowne Hlavaty , Charese Smiley , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Manuela Veloso

Behavioral Foundation Models (BFMs) proved successful in producing policies for arbitrary tasks in a zero-shot manner, requiring no test-time training or task-specific fine-tuning. Among the most promising BFMs are the ones that estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Maksim Bobrin , Ilya Zisman , Alexander Nikulin , Vladislav Kurenkov , Dmitry Dylov

Transformer-based foundation models have emerged as a dominant paradigm in time series analysis, offering unprecedented capabilities in tasks such as forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, trend analysis and many more time series…