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Related papers: Conformal Prediction for Compositional Data

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This paper introduces a conformal inference method to evaluate uncertainty in classification by generating prediction sets with valid coverage conditional on adaptively chosen features. These features are carefully selected to reflect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yanfei Zhou , Matteo Sesia

Supervised graph prediction addresses regression problems where the outputs are structured graphs. Although several approaches exist for graph-valued prediction, principled uncertainty quantification remains limited. We propose a conformal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Gabriel Melo , Thibaut de Saivre , Anna Calissano , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Compositional data, such as human gut microbiomes, consist of non-negative variables whose only the relative values to other variables are available. Analyzing compositional data such as human gut microbiomes needs a careful treatment of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-04 Binglin Li , Jeongyoun Ahn

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular framework for constructing prediction bands with valid coverage in finite samples, while being free of any distributional assumption. A well-known limitation of conformal prediction is the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Louis Allain , Sébastien da Veiga , Brian Staber

Conditional generative models map input variables to complex, high-dimensional distributions, enabling realistic sample generation in a diverse set of domains. A critical challenge with these models is the absence of calibrated uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Qidong Yang , Qianyu Julie Zhu , Jonathan Giezendanner , Youssef Marzouk , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

While we would like to predict exact values, available incomplete information is rarely sufficient - usually allowing only to predict conditional probability distributions. This article discusses hierarchical correlation reconstruction…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Jarosław Duda , Robert Syrek , Henryk Gurgul

Motivated by the pressing request of methods able to create prediction sets in a general regression framework for a multivariate functional response and pushed by new methodological advancements in non-parametric prediction for functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-04 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free and model-agnostic uncertainty-quantification method that provides finite-sample prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. In this work, for the first time, we apply conformal-prediction to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-02-02 Habib Yousefi Dezdarani , Ryan Curry , Alexandros Gezerlis

Machine learning has become an effective tool for automatically annotating unstructured data (e.g., images) with structured labels (e.g., object detections). As a result, a new programming paradigm called neurosymbolic programming has…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ramya Ramalingam , Sangdon Park , Osbert Bastani

Among the variety of statistical intervals, highest-density regions (HDRs) stand out for their ability to effectively summarize a distribution or sample, unveiling its distinctive and salient features. An HDR represents the minimum size set…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Nina Deliu , Brunero Liseo

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

We present a new method for generating confidence sets within the split conformal prediction framework. Our method performs a trainable transformation of any given conformity score to improve conditional coverage while ensuring exact…

We propose a robust method for constructing conditionally valid prediction intervals based on models for conditional distributions such as quantile and distribution regression. Our approach can be applied to important prediction problems…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wüthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Recently, Cella and Martin proved how, under an assumption called consonance, a credal set (i.e. a closed and convex set of probabilities) can be derived from the conformal transducer associated with transductive conformal prediction. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-21 Michele Caprio , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Identifying relevant factors that influence the multinomial counts in compositional data is difficult in high dimensional settings due to the complex associations and overdispersion. Multivariate count models such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Alysha Cooper , Zeny Feng , Ayesha Ali , Tim Arciszewski , Lorna Deeth

We present a novel framework for variable selection in Fr\'echet regression with responses in general metric spaces, a setting increasingly relevant for analyzing non-Euclidean data such as probability distributions and covariance matrices.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Haoyi Yang , Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Lingzhou Xue , Bing Li

This paper investigates the theoretical properties of Dirichlet kernel density estimators for compositional data supported on simplices, for the first time addressing scenarios involving time-dependent observations characterized by strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Hanen Daayeb , Salah Khardani , Frédéric Ouimet

High-dimensional compositional data arise naturally in many applications such as metagenomic data analysis. The observed data lie in a high-dimensional simplex, and conventional statistical methods often fail to produce sensible results due…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-19 Yuanpei Cao , Wei Lin , Hongzhe Li

It is of importance to develop statistical techniques to analyze high-dimensional data in the presence of both complex dependence and possible outliers in real-world applications such as imaging data analyses. We propose a new robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-01 Bingyuan Liu , Qi Zhang , Lingzhou Xue , Peter X. K. Song , Jian Kang

We propose a conformal prediction method for constructing tight simultaneous prediction intervals for multiple, potentially related, numerical outputs given a single input. This method can be combined with any multi-target regression model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Yunjie Fan , Matteo Sesia
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