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This paper presents an efficient surrogate modeling strategy for the uncertainty quantification and Bayesian calibration of a hydrological model. In particular, a process-based dynamical urban drainage simulator that predicts the discharge…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-14 Joseph B. Nagel , Jörg Rieckermann , Bruno Sudret

Electricity systems are experiencing increased effects of randomness and variability due to emerging stochastic assets. The increased effects introduce new uncertainties into power systems that can impact system operability and reliability.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-10 Naeem Turner-Bandele , Amritanshu Pandey , Larry Pileggi

Traditional algorithm analysis treats all basic operations as equally costly, which hides significant differences in time, energy consumption, and cost between different types of computations on modern processors. We propose a…

Performance · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Sergii Kavun

Battery management systems may rely on mathematical models to provide higher performance than standard charging protocols. Electrochemical models allow us to capture the phenomena occurring inside a lithium-ion cell and therefore, could be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Andrea Pozzi , Xiangzhong Xie , Davide M Raimondo , René Schenkendorf

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

In general, electric motor design procedures for automotive applications go through expensive trial-and-error processes or use simplified models that linearly stretch the efficiency map. In this paper, we explore the possibility of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Olaf Borsboom , Martijn Lokker , Mauro Salazar , Theo Hofman

Integrating advanced communication protocols in production has accelerated the adoption of data-driven predictive quality methods, notably machine learning (ML) models. However, ML models in image classification often face significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Lukas Bahr , Lucas Poßner , Konstantin Weise , Sophie Gröger , Rüdiger Daub

Power system expansion models are a widely used tool for planning powersystems, especially considering the integration of large shares of renewableresources. The backbone of these models is an optimization problem, whichdepends on a number…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-26 Bruno U. Schyska , Alexander Kies , Markus Schlott , Lueder von Bremen , Wided Medjroubi

Sensitivity analysis in probabilistic discrete graphical models is usually conducted by varying one probability value at a time and observing how this affects output probabilities of interest. When one probability is varied then others are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Manuele Leonelli , Eva Riccomagno

Many optimization problems in electrical engineering consider a large number of design parameters. A sensitivity analysis identifies the design parameters with the strongest influence on the problem of interest. This paper introduces the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-07 M. Greta Ruppert , Yvonne Späck-Leigsnering , Julian Buschbaum , Herbert De Gersem

Causal graphs may inform covariate adjustment for estimating causal effects and improve estimation efficiency by exploiting the graphical structure. In many applications, however, the target causal parameter may not be point-identified due…

Electrospinning is a highly sensitive fabrication process in which small variations in operating parameters can significantly influence fiber morphology and material performance. Machine learning (ML) methods are increasingly employed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Mehrab Mahdian , Ferenc Ender , Tamas Pardy

Engineering design problems are often modeled as multi-objective optimization tasks in which a scalarized utility function selects an optimal design from the Pareto set. In practice, preferences are imperfectly known, so uncertainty in the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-01 Chia-Ruei Liu , Yongjia Song , Qiong Zhang , Cameron Turner

Engineering risk is concerned with the likelihood of failure and the scenarios when it occurs. The sensitivity of failure probability to change in system parameters is relevant to risk-informed decision making. Computing sensitivity is at…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Siu-Kui Au , Zi-Jun Cao

It is well-known that Sobol indices, which count among the most popular sensitivity indices, are based on the Sobol decomposition. Here we challenge this construction by redefining Sobol indices without the Sobol decomposition. In fact, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Gildas Mazo

Global sensitivity analysis aims at quantifying the impact of input variability onto the variation of the response of a computational model. It has been widely applied to deterministic simulators, for which a set of input parameters has a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-01 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

The sensitivity parameter is widely used for quantifying fine tuning. However, examples show it fails to give correct results under certain circumstances. We argue that these problems only occur when calculating the sensitivity of a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-10-24 Su Yan

This paper presents a method for performing Uncertainty Quantification in high-dimensional uncertain spaces by combining arbitrary polynomial chaos with a recently proposed scheme for sensitivity enhancement (1). Including available…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Nick Pepper , Francesco Montomoli , Kyriakos Kantarakias

As a physical fact, randomness is an inherent and ineliminable aspect in all physical measurements and engineering production. As a consequence, material parameters, serving as input data, are only known in a stochastic sense and thus, also…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Hendrik Geisler , Cem Erdogan , Jan Nagel , Philipp Junker