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The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals, and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Cesar A. Hidalgo , Ljupco Kocarev

We present a series of SIR-network models, extended with a game-theoretic treatment of imitation dynamics which result from regular population mobility across residential and work areas and the ensuing interactions. Each considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-14 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Mikhail Prokopenko

We present a model for the growth of West Nile virus in mosquito and bird populations based on observations of the initial epidemic in the U.S. Increase of bird mortality as a result of infection, which is a feature of the epidemic, is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 V. M. Kenkre , R. R. Parmenter , I. D. Peixoto , L. Sadasiv

Human mobility, contact patterns, and their interplay are key aspects of our social behavior that shape the spread of infectious diseases across different regions. In the light of new evidence and data sets about these two elements,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Wesley Cota , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Silvio C. Ferreira , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Contact networks can significantly change the course of epidemics, affecting the rate of new infections and the mean size of an outbreak. Despite this dependence, some characteristics of epidemics are not contingent on the contact network…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Alexander Gutfraind

Infectious pathogens often propagate by superspreading, which focusses onward transmission on disproportionately few infected individuals. At the same time, infector-infectee pairs tend to have more similar transmission potentials than…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-22 Noah Silva de Leonardi , Benjamin D. Dalziel

We present a systematic review of some basic results on the derivation of classical epidemiological models from simple agent-based dynamics. The evolution of large populations is coupled with the dynamics of the contact distribution,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-14 Mattia Zanella

Epidemics-inspired techniques have received huge attention in recent years from the distributed systems and networking communities. These algorithms and protocols rely on probabilistic message replication and redundancy to ensure reliable…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-11-20 Salvatore Scellato , Cecilia Mascolo , Mirco Musolesi , Vito Latora

Infectious diseases often spread faster near their peak than would be predicted given early data on transmission. Despite the commonality of this phenomena, there are no known general mechanisms able to cause an exponentially spreading dis-…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-06 Samuel V. Scarpino , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hebert-Dufresne

Malaria is one of the most common mosquito-borne diseases widespread in tropical and subtropical regions, causing thousands of deaths every year in the world. In a previous paper, we formulated an age-structured model containing three…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-24 Quentin Richard , Marc Choisy , Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse , Thierry Lefèvre

The spread of new ideas, behaviors or technologies has been extensively studied using epidemic models. Here we consider a model of diffusion where the individuals' behavior is the result of a strategic choice. We study a simple coordination…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Marc Lelarge

Host mobility plays a fundamental role in the spatial spread of infectious diseases. Previous theoretical works based on the integration of network theory into the metapopulation framework have shown that the heterogeneities that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-26 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

Even as the incidence of mosquito-borne diseases like West Nile Virus (WNV) in North America has risen over the past decade, effectively modelling mosquito population density or, the abundance has proven to be a persistent challenge. It is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-19 Suman Bhowmick , Patrick Irwin , Kristina Lopez , Megan Lindsay Fritz , Rebecca Lee Smith

In this paper we study some mathematical models describing evolution of population density and spread of epidemics in population systems in which spatial movement of individuals depends only on the departure and arrival locations and does…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Shangbin Cui , Meng Bai

We investigate the dynamics of a simple epidemiological model for the invasion by a pathogen strain of a population where another strain circulates. We assume that reinfection by the same strain is possible but occurs at a reduced rate due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 A. Nunes , M. M. Telo da Gama , M. G. M. Gomes

Understanding mosquitoes life cycle is of great interest presently because of the increasing impact of vector borne diseases in several countries. There is evidence of oscillations in mosquito populations independent of seasonality, still…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Martin Strugarek , Laetitia Dufour , Nicolas Vauchelet , Luis Almeida , Benoît Perthame , Daniel Villela

By incorporating delayed epidemic information and self-restricted travel behavior into the SIS model, we have investigated the coupled effects of timely and accurate epidemic information and people's sensitivity to the epidemic information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-16 Wen-Juan Xu , Chen-Yang Zhong , Hui-Fen Ye , Rong-Da Chen , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Li-Xin Zhong

When an epidemic spreads in a population, individuals may adaptively change the structure of their social contact network to reduce risk of infection. Here we study the spread of an epidemic on an adaptive network with community structure.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-14 Ilker Tunc , Leah B. Shaw

Interactions among multiple infectious agents are increasingly recognized as a fundamental issue in the understanding of key questions in public health, regarding pathogen emergence, maintenance, and evolution. The full description of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-21 Chiara Poletto , Sandro Meloni , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling