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Countless applications depend on accurate predictions with reliable confidence estimates from modern object detectors. It is well known, however, that neural networks including object detectors produce miscalibrated confidence estimates.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Johannes Gilg , Torben Teepe , Fabian Herzog , Gerhard Rigoll

Purpose: To develop neural network (NN)-based quantitative MRI parameter estimators with minimal bias and a variance close to the Cram\'er-Rao bound. Theory and Methods: We generalize the mean squared error loss to control the bias and…

Medical Physics · Physics 2024-05-07 Andrew Mao , Sebastian Flassbeck , Jakob Assländer

Estimating the kernel mean in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space is a critical component in many kernel learning algorithms. Given a finite sample, the standard estimate of the target kernel mean is the empirical average. Previous works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Xiaobo Xia , Shuo Shan , Mingming Gong , Nannan Wang , Fei Gao , Haikun Wei , Tongliang Liu

In this paper we consider an extension of the beta regression model proposed by Ferrari and Cribari-Neto (2004). We extend their model in two different ways, first, we let the regression structure be nonlinear, second, we allow a regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-24 Alexandre B. Simas , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Andréa V. Rocha

We estimate the derivative of a probability density function defined on $[0,\infty)$. For this purpose, we choose the class of kernel estimators with asymmetric gamma kernel functions. The use of gamma kernels is fruitful due to the fact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 L. A. Markovich

Estimating some mathematical expectations from partially observed data and in particular missing outcomes is a central problem encountered in numerous fields such as transfer learning, counterfactual analysis or causal inference. Matching…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Simon Viel , Lionel Truquet , Ikko Yamane

Estimating linear regression using least squares and reporting robust standard errors is very common in financial economics, and indeed, much of the social sciences and elsewhere. For thick tailed predictors under heteroskedasticity this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Neil Shephard

The reasoning performance of large language models (LLMs) can be substantially improved by training them with reinforcement learning (RL). The RL objective for LLM training involves a regularization term, which is the reverse…

We construct an efficient estimator for the error distribution function of the nonparametric regression model Y = r(Z) + e. Our estimator is a kernel smoothed empirical distribution function based on residuals from an under-smoothed local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-26 Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

Regression adjustments are often made to experimental data. Since randomization does not justify the models, bias is likely; nor are the usual variance calculations to be trusted. Here, we evaluate regression adjustments using Neyman's…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 David A. Freedman

Distributed learning is an effective way to analyze big data. In distributed regression, a typical approach is to divide the big data into multiple blocks, apply a base regression algorithm on each of them, and then simply average the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Zhengchu Guo , Lei Shi , Qiang Wu

We address the estimation of conditional quantiles when the covariate is functional and when the order of the quantiles converges to one as the sample size increases. In a first time, we investigate to what extent these large conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-26 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression function for a situation where precisely measured predictors are used to estimate the regression curve for coarsened, that is, less precise or contaminated predictors. Specifically, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Hans-Georg Müller

In this paper we consider the problems of supervised classification and regression in the case where attributes and labels are functions: a data is represented by a set of functions, and the label is also a function. We focus on the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Hachem Kadri , Emmanuel Duflos , Philippe Preux , Stéphane Canu , Alain Rakotomamonjy , Julien Audiffren

In this paper, we investigate the theoretical and empirical properties of $L_2$ boosting with kernel regression estimates as weak learners. We show that each step of $L_2$ boosting reduces the bias of the estimate by two orders of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 B. U. Park , Y. K. Lee , S. Ha

We propose two new kernel-type estimators of the mean residual life function $m_X(t)$ of bounded or half-bounded interval supported distributions. Though not as severe as the boundary problems in the kernel density estimation, eliminating…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-29 Rizky Reza Fauzi , Yoshihiko Maesono

Software effort estimation models are typically developed based on an underlying assumption that all data points are equally relevant to the prediction of effort for future projects. The dynamic nature of several aspects of the software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Michael Franklin Bosu , Stephen G. MacDonell , Peter A. Whigham

Estimation of a quadratic functional over parameter spaces that are not quadratically convex is considered. It is shown, in contrast to the theory for quadratically convex parameter spaces, that optimal quadratic rules are often rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

This paper considers the problem of kernel regression and classification with possibly unobservable response variables in the data, where the mechanism that causes the absence of information is unknown and can depend on both predictors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Majid Mojirsheibani , William Pouliot , Andre Shakhbandaryan