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Machine learning has demonstrated remarkable performance over finite datasets, yet whether the scores over the fixed benchmarks can sufficiently indicate the model's performance in the real world is still in discussion. In reality, an ideal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Peiyan Zhang , Haoyang Liu , Chaozhuo Li , Xing Xie , Sunghun Kim , Haohan Wang

Accurate stock market predictions following earnings reports are crucial for investors. Traditional methods, particularly classical machine learning models, struggle with these predictions because they cannot effectively process and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-13 Haowei Ni , Shuchen Meng , Xupeng Chen , Ziqing Zhao , Andi Chen , Panfeng Li , Shiyao Zhang , Qifu Yin , Yuanqing Wang , Yuxi Chan

Software vulnerability detection is generally supported by automated static analysis tools, which have recently been reinforced by deep learning (DL) models. However, despite the superior performance of DL-based approaches over rule-based…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Yanjing Yang , Xin Zhou , Runfeng Mao , Jinwei Xu , Lanxin Yang , Yu Zhangm , Haifeng Shen , He Zhang

We document inverse scaling in LLMs on forecasting problems whose underlying time series exhibit superlinear growth and tail risk of regime change, a structure common in finance and epidemiology. On these tasks, more capable models produce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Nick Merrill , Jaeho Lee , Ezra Karger

Tabular data underpins most high-value prediction problems in science and industry, and TabPFN has driven the foundation model revolution for this modality. Designed with feedback from our users, TabPFN-3 builds on this foundation to scale…

With the volatile and complex nature of financial data influenced by external factors, forecasting the stock market is challenging. Traditional models such as ARIMA and GARCH perform well with linear data but struggle with non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Prashant Pilla , Raji Mekonen

Foundation models have advanced machine learning across various modalities, including images. Recently multiple teams trained foundation models specialized for remote sensing applications. This line of research is motivated by the distinct…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ani Vanyan , Alvard Barseghyan , Hakob Tamazyan , Tigran Galstyan , Vahan Huroyan , Naira Hovakimyan , Hrant Khachatrian

In this paper we compare traditional machine learning and deep learning models trained on a malware dataset when subjected to adversarial attack based on label-flipping. Specifically, we investigate the robustness of Support Vector Machines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Sarvagya Bhargava , Mark Stamp

We present a robust deep incremental learning framework for regression tasks on financial temporal tabular datasets which is built upon the incremental use of commonly available tabular and time series prediction models to adapt to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Thomas Wong , Mauricio Barahona

Short-term load prediction (STLP) is critical for modern power distribution system operations, particularly as demand and generation uncertainties grow with the integration of low-carbon technologies, such as electric vehicles and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-18 Nan Lin , Dong Yun , Weijie Xia , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

Foundation models refer to deep learning models pretrained on large unlabeled datasets through self-supervised algorithms. In the Earth science and remote sensing communities, there is growing interest in transforming the use of Earth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Chuc Man Duc , Hiromichi Fukui

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting for commercial buildings is crucial for smart grid operations. While smart meters and deep learning models enable forecasting using past data from multiple buildings, data heterogeneity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Shourya Bose , Yijiang Li , Amy Van Sant , Yu Zhang , Kibaek Kim

Hallucination remains a critical challenge for deploying Large Language Models (LLMs) in finance. Accurate extraction and precise calculation from tabular data are essential for reliable financial analysis, since even minor numerical errors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Mengao Zhang , Jiayu Fu , Tanya Warrier , Yuwen Wang , Tianhui Tan , Ke-wei Huang

We investigate how large language models (LLMs) fail when operating as autonomous agents with tool-use capabilities. Using the Kamiwaza Agentic Merit Index (KAMI) v0.1 benchmark, we analyze 900 execution traces from three representative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-10 JV Roig

Generative modelling is a demanding test of foundation models, because it requires robust, holistic representation learning for a given data modality, rather than optimisation for a supervised prediction target alone. While recent work on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xiangjian Jiang , Mingxuan Liu , Nikola Simidjievski , Tassilo Klein , Mateja Jamnik

XGBoost, a scalable tree boosting algorithm, has proven effective for many prediction tasks of practical interest, especially using tabular datasets. Hyperparameter tuning can further improve the predictive performance, but unlike neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sanyam Kapoor , Valerio Perrone

Tabular foundation models, such as TabPFNv2 and TabICL, have recently dethroned gradient-boosted trees at the top of predictive benchmarks, demonstrating the value of in-context learning for tabular data. We introduce TabICLv2, a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jingang Qu , David Holzmüller , Gaël Varoquaux , Marine Le Morvan

We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

Large language models (LLMs) are being rapidly integrated into decision-support tools, automation workflows, and AI-enabled software systems. However, their behavior in production environments remains poorly understood, and their failure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Vaishali Vinay
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