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We propose a structural framework for the geometry of financial order books in which liquidity, supply, and demand are treated as emergent observables rather than primitive economic variables. The market is modeled as an inflationary…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 João P. da Cruz

Across domains, metrics and measurements are fundamental to identifying challenges, informing decisions, and resolving conflicts. Despite the abundance of data available in this information age, not only can it be challenging for a single…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Ti-Chung Cheng , Carmen Badea , Christian Bird , Thomas Zimmermann , Robert DeLine , Nicole Forsgren , Denae Ford

The quantum geometric tensor (QGT) characterizes the Hilbert space geometry of the eigenstates of a parameter-dependent Hamiltonian. In recent years, the QGT and related quantities have found extensive theoretical and experimental utility,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-20 Rustem Sharipov , Anastasiia Tiutiakina , Alexander Gorsky , Vladimir Gritsev , Anatoli Polkovnikov

We propose a model that forecasts market correlation structure from link- and node-based financial network features using machine learning. For such, market structure is modeled as a dynamic asset network by quantifying time-dependent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-25 Douglas Castilho , Tharsis T. P. Souza , Soong Moon Kang , João Gama , André C. P. L. F. de Carvalho

We exploit a recent computational framework to model and detect financial crises in stock markets, as well as shock events in cryptocurrency markets, which are characterized by a sudden or severe drop in prices. Our method manages to detect…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Apostolos Chalkis , Emmanouil Christoforou , Theodore Dalamagkas , Ioannis Z. Emiris

The modeling and uncertainty quantification of closed curves is an important problem in the field of shape analysis, and can have significant ramifications for subsequent statistical tasks. Many of these tasks involve collections of closed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-15 Hengrui Luo , Justin D. Strait

Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) in domains such as manufacturing and energy distribution generate complex time series data crucial for Prognostics and Health Management (PHM). While Deep Learning (DL) methods have demonstrated strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Alexander Windmann , Henrik Steude , Daniel Boschmann , Oliver Niggemann

Geometric problem solving constitutes a critical branch of mathematical reasoning, requiring precise analysis of shapes and spatial relationships. Current evaluations of geometric reasoning in vision-language models (VLMs) face limitations,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Yuan Feng , Yue Yang , Xiaohan He , Jiatong Zhao , Jianlong Chen , Zijun Chen , Daocheng Fu , Qi Liu , Renqiu Xia , Bo Zhang , Junchi Yan

In this paper and a companion paper, we show how the framework of information geometry, a geometry of discrete probability distributions, can form the basis of a derivation of the quantum formalism. The derivation rests upon a few…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-02-14 Philip Goyal

Financial markets typically exhibit dynamically complex properties as they undergo continuous interactions with economic and environmental factors. The Efficient Market Hypothesis indicates a rich difference in the structural complexity of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-06 Hongjian Xiao , Yao Lei Xu , Danilo P. Mandic

This research introduces a novel quantitative methodology tailored for quantitative finance applications, enabling banks, stockbrokers, and investors to predict economic regimes and market signals in emerging markets, specifically Sri…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-24 Linuk Perera

We explore the statistical and economic importance of restrictions on the dynamics of risk compensation from the perspective of a real-time Bayesian learner who predicts bond excess returns using dynamic term structure models (DTSMs). The…

With the deep integration of the travel and energy industries, cross-industry supply chain finance has gradually become a high-risk field of hidden money laundering incidents. For this reason, this work proposes a graph-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Rong Liu , Xiaojun Xiao , Zhanqing Su

Geometrical methods in quantum information are very promising for both providing technical tools and intuition into difficult control or optimization problems. Moreover, they are of fundamental importance in connecting pure geometrical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-21 Daniele Iannotti , Alioscia Hamma

Knowledge Graphs (KGs) enable applications in various domains such as semantic search, recommendation systems, and natural language processing. KGs are often incomplete, missing entities and relations, an issue addressed by Knowledge Graph…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Haji Gul , Abul Ghani Naim , Ajaz Ahmad Bhat

Quantum phase estimation is one of the most powerful quantum primitives. This work proposes a new approach for the problem of multiple eigenvalue estimation: Quantum Multiple Eigenvalue Gaussian filtered Search (QMEGS). QMEGS leverages the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-02 Zhiyan Ding , Haoya Li , Lin Lin , HongKang Ni , Lexing Ying , Ruizhe Zhang

One of the most important features of financial time series data is volatility. There are often structural changes in volatility over time, and an accurate estimation of the volatility of financial time series requires careful…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Huaiyu Hu , Ashis Gangopadhyay

Financial time-series forecasting is a high-stakes problem where regime shifts and shocks make point-accurate yet overconfident models dangerous. We propose Uncertainty-Gated Generative Modeling (UGGM), which treats uncertainty as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Xingrui Gu , Haixi Zhang

We consider detection and localization of an abrupt break in the covariance structure of high-dimensional random data. The paper proposes a novel testing procedure for this problem. Due to its nature, the approach requires a properly chosen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Valeriy Avanesov

Time Series forecasting is critical in diverse domains such as weather forecasting, financial investment, and traffic management. While traditional numerical metrics like mean squared error (MSE) can quantify point-wise accuracy, they fail…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Mingyang Yu , Xiahui Guo , Peng chen , Zhenkai Li , Yang Shu