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This paper demonstrates how principle component analysis can be used to determine the distinct factors that house the terms that explain the variance among the co-dependent variables and how non-response analysis can be applied to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-28 Rebecca D. Wooten , J. D'Andrea

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Power systems with high renewable energy penetration are highly influenced by weather conditions, often facing significant challenges such as persistent power shortages and severe power fluctuations over long time scales. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Kai Kang , Feng Liu , Yifan Su , Zhaojian Wang

Modeling and predicting solar events, particularly the solar ramping event, is critical for improving situational awareness for solar power generation systems. It has been acknowledged that weather conditions such as temperature, humidity,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Minghe Zhang , Chen Xu , Andy Sun , Feng Qiu , Yao Xie

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

With the increasing frequency of natural disasters, operators must prioritize improvements in the existing electric power grid infrastructure to enhance the resilience of the grid. Resilience to extreme weather events necessitates lowering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Anamika Dubey , Josue Campos do Prado

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

Power grid expansion planning requires making large investment decisions in the present that will impact the future cost and reliability of a system exposed to wide-ranging uncertainties. Extreme temperatures can pose significant challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Ramsey Rossmann , Mihai Anitescu , Julie Bessac , Michael Ferris , Mitchell Krock , James Luedtke , Line Roald

This chapter addresses the increasing vulnerability of coastal regions to typhoons and the consequent power outages, emphasizing the critical role of power transmission systems in disaster resilience. It introduces a framework for assessing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-13 Yang Li

This paper introduces a new approach to quantify the impact of forward propagated demand and weather uncertainty on power system planning and operation models. Recent studies indicate that such sampling uncertainty, originating from demand…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-17 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

A machine learning model is proposed in this paper to help estimate potential nodal load curtailment in response to an extreme event. This is performed through identifying which grid components will fail as a result of an extreme event, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

Understanding the spatial extent of extreme precipitation is necessary for determining flood risk and adequately designing infrastructure (e.g., stormwater pipes) to withstand such hazards. While environmental phenomena typically exhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-25 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Raphaël Huser

Extreme weather events have an enormous impact on society and are expected to become more frequent and severe with climate change. In this context, resilience planning becomes crucial for risk mitigation and coping with these extreme…

For discrete-time linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty described by random variables, we develop a sampling-based Stochastic Model Predictive Control algorithm. Unlike earlier results employing a scenario approximation, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Matthias Lorenzen , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo , Frank Allgöwer

The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

High-dimensional spatially correlated covariates are common in regression models encountered in environmental sciences and other fields. In such models, the regression coefficients often exhibit a sparse structure with spatial dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Zihan Zhu , Xueying Tang , Shuang Zhou