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Bayesian Optimization is a popular approach for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Its key idea is to use a surrogate model to approximate the objective and, importantly, quantify the associated uncertainty that allows a sequential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-05 Haoxian Chen , Henry Lam

We study an optimal control problem in which both the objective function and the dynamic constraint contain an uncertain parameter. Since the distribution of this uncertain parameter is not exactly known, the objective function is taken as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Jianxiong Ye , Lei Wang , Changzhi Wu , Jie Sun , Kok Lay Teo , Xiangyu Wang

We consider the problem of robotic planning under uncertainty in this paper. This problem may be posed as a stochastic optimal control problem, a solution to which is fundamentally intractable owing to the infamous "curse of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-19 Mohamed Naveed Gul Mohamed , Suman Chakravorty , Dylan A. Shell

A systematic and automated framework for developing closed-loop flow control strategies is proposed, integrating suboptimal control theory [Lee et al., J. Fluid Mech. 358, 245 (1998)] with Bayesian optimization. The approach is demonstrated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-08 Yusuke Yugeta , Yosuke Hasegawa

Engineering design is traditionally performed by hand: an expert makes design proposals based on past experience, and these proposals are then tested for compliance with certain target specifications. Testing for compliance is performed…

Cascaded controller tuning is a multi-step iterative procedure that needs to be performed routinely upon maintenance and modification of mechanical systems. An automated data-driven method for cascaded controller tuning based on Bayesian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-19 Mohammad Khosravi , Varsha Behrunani , Roy S. Smith , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

Ensemble systems appear frequently in many engineering applications and, as a result, they have become an important research topic in control theory. These systems are best characterized by the evolution of their underlying state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Guangyu Wu , Panagiotis Tsiotras , Anders Lindquist

The design of an experiment can be always be considered at least implicitly Bayesian, with prior knowledge used informally to aid decisions such as the variables to be studied and the choice of a plausible relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-03 David C. Woods , Antony M. Overstall , Maria Adamou , Timothy W. Waite

We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Timur Takhtaganov , Juliane Müller

A new control method that considers all sources of uncertainty and noises that might affect the time evolutions of quantum physical systems is introduced. Under the proposed approach, the dynamics of quantum systems are characterised by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-01 Randa Herzallah , Abdessamad Belfakir

The optimal control of problems that are constrained by partial differential equations with uncertainties and with uncertain controls is addressed. The Lagrangian that defines the problem is postulated in terms of stochastic functions, with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Eveline Rosseel , Garth N. Wells

Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

We present an optimal control-based strategy to enhance the estimation of impulse-like disturbances in continuously monitored linear classical and quantum systems by exploiting non-equilibrium states. Using optimal estimation techniques for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Kaspar Schmerling , Andreas Kugi , Andreas Deutschmann-Olek

The quality of an estimated nonlinear model highly depends on the data quality that was used for the system identification. By using a Gaussian Process-based optimal input design approach, a so-called space-filling dataset can be generated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-13 Máté Kiss , Maarten Schoukens , Roland Tóth

Inverse optimal control can be used to characterize behavior in sequential decision-making tasks. Most existing work, however, is limited to fully observable or linear systems, or requires the action signals to be known. Here, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Dominik Straub , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

Design of experiments is a fundamental topic in applied statistics with a long history. Yet its application is often limited by the complexity and costliness of constructing experimental designs, which involve searching a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Matthew T. Pratola , C. Devon Lin , Peter F. Craigmile

Designing predictive controllers towards optimal closed-loop performance while maintaining safety and stability is challenging. This work explores closed-loop learning for predictive control parameters under imperfect information while…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-19 Sebastian Hirt , Maik Pfefferkorn , Ali Mesbah , Rolf Findeisen

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems is widely used in practice to infer unknown parameters from noisy observations. In this framework, the ensemble Kalman inversion has been successfully applied for the quantification of uncertainties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Neil K. Chada , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

We consider the problem of designing experiments for the estimation of a target in regression analysis if there is uncertainty about the parametric form of the regression function. A new optimality criterion is proposed, which minimizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Kira Alhorn , Kirsten Schorning , Holger Dette

Without exact knowledge of the true system dynamics, optimal control of non-linear continuous-time systems requires careful treatment under epistemic uncertainty. In this work, we translate a probabilistic interpretation of the Pontryagin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 David Leeftink , Çağatay Yıldız , Steffen Ridderbusch , Max Hinne , Marcel van Gerven