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An understanding of how input parameter uncertainty in the numerical simulation of physical models leads to simulation output uncertainty is a challenging task. Common methods for quantifying output uncertainty, such as performing a grid or…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-09-25 Samuel G. McCallum , James E. Lerpiniére , Kjeld O. Jensen , Alison B. Walker

We review typical design problems encountered in the planning of observational studies and propose a unifying framework that allows us to use the same concepts and notation for different problems. In the framework, the design is defined as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-02 Juha Karvanen , Jarno Vanhatalo , Kari Auranen , Sangita Kulathinal , Samu Mäntyniemi

We consider a dynamical system with finitely many equilibria and perturbed by small noise, in addition to being controlled by an `expensive' control. The controlled process is optimal for an ergodic criterion with a running cost that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Ari Arapostathis , Anup Biswas , Vivek S. Borkar

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny

This research considers the ranking and selection with input uncertainty. The objective is to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting the best alternative under a fixed simulation budget, where each alternative is measured…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Hui Xiao , Zhihong Wei

In this paper, we focus on a method based on optimal control to address the optimization problem. The objective is to find the optimal solution that minimizes the objective function. We transform the optimization problem into optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Yeming Xu , Ziyuan Guo , Hongxia Wang , Huanshui Zhang

Experimental design is crucial for inference where limitations in the data collection procedure are present due to cost or other restrictions. Optimal experimental designs determine parameters that in some appropriate sense make the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-11 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Roger G. Ghanem , Paris Hajali

This work studies optimal control problems of systems with uncertain, probabilistically distributed parameters to optimize average performance. Known as Riemann-Stieltjes, average, or ensemble optimal control, this kind of problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-12 M. Soledad Aronna , Gabriel de Lima Monteiro , Oscar Sierra Fonseca

We propose a performance-based autotuning method for cascade control systems, where the parameters of a linear axis drive motion controller from two control loops are tuned jointly. Using Bayesian optimization as all parameters are tuned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-22 Mohammad Khosravi , Varsha Behrunani , Piotr Myszkorowski , Roy S. Smith , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

Safe Bayesian optimization (BO) with Gaussian processes is an effective tool for tuning control policies in safety-critical real-world systems, specifically due to its sample efficiency and safety guarantees. However, most safe BO…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Abdullah Tokmak , Thomas B. Schön , Dominik Baumann

Control of quantum systems is a central element of high-precision experiments and the development of quantum technological applications. Control pulses that are typically temporally or spatially modulated are often designed based on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-04 Frederic Sauvage , Florian Mintert

Bayesian optimization through Gaussian process regression is an effective method of optimizing an unknown function for which every measurement is expensive. It approximates the objective function and then recommends a new measurement point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-17 Hildo Bijl , Thomas B. Schön , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Michel Verhaegen

In this paper, we study a discrete-time stochastic optimal control problem under distribution uncertainty with convex control domain. By weak convergence method and Sion's minimax theorem, we obtain the variational inequality for cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Mingshang Hu , Shaolin Ji , Xiaojuan Li

The control of ensembles of dynamical systems is an intriguing and challenging problem, arising for example in quantum control. We initiate the investigation of optimal control of ensembles of discrete-time systems, focusing on minimising…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Christian Fiedler , Alessandro Scagliotti

While many advanced statistical methods for the design of experiments exist, it is still typical for physical experiments to be performed adaptively based on human intuition. As a consequence, experimental resources are wasted on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Anton van Beek

We study the problem of causal discovery through targeted interventions. Starting from few observational measurements, we follow a Bayesian active learning approach to perform those experiments which, in expectation with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Julius von Kügelgen , Paul K Rubenstein , Bernhard Schölkopf , Adrian Weller

We consider optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian nonlinear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) under model uncertainty. Specifically, we consider inverse problems in which, in addition to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Alen Alexanderian , Ruanui Nicholson , Noemi Petra

We present a method for computing A-optimal sensor placements for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by PDEs with irreducible model uncertainties. Here, irreducible uncertainties refers to uncertainties in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Karina Koval , Alen Alexanderian , Georg Stadler

Bayesian optimal experimental design has immense potential to inform the collection of data so as to subsequently enhance our understanding of a variety of processes. However, a major impediment is the difficulty in evaluating optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 David J. Price , Nigel G. Bean , Joshua V. Ross , Jonathan Tuke

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient approach for tuning design parameters to optimize expensive-to-evaluate, black-box performance metrics. In many manufacturing processes, the design parameters are subject to random input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Samuel Daulton , Sait Cakmak , Maximilian Balandat , Michael A. Osborne , Enlu Zhou , Eytan Bakshy