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Temporal irreversibility, often referred to as the arrow of time, is a fundamental concept in statistical mechanics. Markers of irreversibility also provide a powerful characterisation of information processing in biological systems.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-11 Andrea I Luppi , Fernando E. Rosas , Gustavo Deco , Morten L. Kringelbach , Pedro A. M. Mediano

Irreversibility and acausality of a sub-system are established in exactly soluble harmonic models with reversible and causal dynamics. It is shown that initial conditions, imposed on some dynamical degrees of freedom may break time reversal…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-05-30 Janos Polonyi

This paper concerns with the time-reversal characteristics of intrinsic normal diffusion in quantum systems. Time-reversible properties are quantified by the time-reversal test; the system evolved in the forward direction for a certain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Hiroaki S. Yamada , Kensuke S. Ikeda

We propose directed time series regression, a new approach to estimating parameters of time-series models for use in certainty equivalent model predictive control. The approach combines merits of least squares regression and empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Yi-Hao Kao , Benjamin Van Roy

Many real-world scientific processes are governed by complex nonlinear dynamic systems that can be represented by differential equations. Recently, there has been increased interest in learning, or discovering, the forms of the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

Complex nonequilibrium systems are often effectively described by a `statistics of a statistics', in short, a `superstatistics'. We describe how to proceed from a given experimental time series to a superstatistical description. We argue…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Christian Beck , Ezechiel G. D. Cohen , Harry L. Swinney

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

Empirically observed time series in physics, biology, or medicine, are commonly generated by some underlying dynamical system (DS) which is the target of scientific interest. There is an increasing interest to harvest machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Daniel Kramer , Philine Lou Bommer , Carlo Tombolini , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

This work proposes a robust data-driven predictive control approach for unknown nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded process and measurement noise. Data-driven reachable sets are employed for the controller design instead of using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Mahsa Farjadnia , Amr Alanwar , Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , Marco Molinari , Karl Henrik Johansson

Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 David Janz , Brooks Paige , Tom Rainforth , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough

The study of correlated time-series is ubiquitous in statistical analysis, and the matrix decomposition of the cross-correlations between time series is a universal tool to extract the principal patterns of behavior in a wide range of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-28 Paolo Barucca , Mario Kieburg , Alexander Ossipov

Invariant measures encode the long-time behaviour of a dynamical system. In this work, we propose an optimization-based method to discover invariant measures directly from data gathered from a system. Our method does not require an explicit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Jason J. Bramburger , Giovanni Fantuzzi

Time reversal invariance can be summarized as follows: no difference can be measured if a sequence of events is run forward or backward in time. Because price time series are dominated by a randomness that hides possible structures and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gilles Zumbach

Data-driven methods that detect anomalies in times series data are ubiquitous in practice, but they are in general unable to provide helpful explanations for the predictions they make. In this work we propose a model-agnostic algorithm that…

Time series are ubiquitous, and a measure to assess their similarity is a core part of many computational systems. In particular, the similarity measure is the most essential ingredient of time series clustering and classification systems.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Joan Serrà , Josep Lluis Arcos

Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

Time series data appears in a variety of applications such as smart transportation and environmental monitoring. One of the fundamental problems for time series analysis is time series forecasting. Despite the success of recent deep time…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Baoyu Jing , Si Zhang , Yada Zhu , Bin Peng , Kaiyu Guan , Andrew Margenot , Hanghang Tong

Multivariate time-series data are used in many classification and regression predictive tasks, and recurrent models have been widely used for such tasks. Most common recurrent models assume that time-series data elements are of equal length…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Mehak Gupta , Rahmatollah Beheshti
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