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Stochastic epidemic models (SEMs) fit to incidence data are critical to elucidating outbreak dynamics, shaping response strategies, and preparing for future epidemics. SEMs typically represent counts of individuals in discrete infection…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-02 Jonathan Fintzi , Jon Wakefield , Vladimir N. Minin

Novel radio map estimation in optical wireless communications is proposed based on ML prediction rather than simulation techniques. ML training is performed on simulation and experimentally generated synthetic data and in both cases,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-05 Helena Serpi , Christina , Politi

Motivated by fundamental issues in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics (NESM), we study the venerable susceptible-infected (SIS) model of disease spreading in an idealized, simple setting. Using Monte Carlo and analytic techniques, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Maxim S. Shkarayev , R. K. P. Zia

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents, and reconnecting those links with the rest of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-07-11 Damian H. Zanette

Methods to detect the emergence of infectious diseases, and approach to the "critical transition" RE = 1, have to potential to avert substantial disease burden by facilitating preemptive actions like vaccination campaigns. Early warning…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-16 Callum R. K. Arnold , Matthew J. Ferrari

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

The beginning of the rainy season and the occurrence of dry spells in West Africa is notoriously difficult to predict, however these are the key indicators farmers use to decide when to plant crops, having a major influence on their overall…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-11 Colin Bobocea , Yves Atchadé

Influenza A viruses (IAVs) evolve antigenically at a pace that requires frequent vaccine updates, yet the haemagglutination inhibition (HI) assays used to quantify antigenicity are labor-intensive and unscalable. As a result, genomic data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Yanhua Xu

Can we improve the modeling of urban land surface processes with machine learning (ML)? A prior comparison of urban land surface models (ULSMs) found that no single model is 'best' at predicting all common surface fluxes. Here, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 David Meyer , Sue Grimmond , Peter Dueben , Robin Hogan , Maarten van Reeuwijk

Epilepsy is a prevalent neurological disorder characterized by recurrent and unpredictable seizures, necessitating accurate prediction for effective management and patient care. Application of machine learning (ML) on electroencephalogram…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-11 Md. Simul Hasan Talukder , Rejwan Bin Sulaiman

The timely detection of disease outbreaks through reliable early warning signals (EWSs) is indispensable for effective public health mitigation strategies. Nevertheless, the intricate dynamics of real-world disease spread, often influenced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Amit K. Chakraborty , Shan Gao , Reza Miry , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner , Mark A. Lewis , Hao Wang

Nowadays mobile communication is growing fast in the 5G communication industry. With the increasing capacity requirements and requirements for quality of experience, mobility prediction has been widely applied to mobile communication and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Donglin Wang , Qiuheng Zhou , Sanket Partani , Anjie Qiu , Hans D. Schotten

We implemented a dynamic agent-based network model to simulate the spread of mpox in a United States-based MSM population. This model allowed us to implement data-informed dynamic network evolution to simulate realistic disease spreading…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-12 Emma G. Crenshaw , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The importance of modeling the spread of epidemics through a population has led to the development of mathematical models for infectious disease propagation. A number of empirical studies have collected and analyzed data on contacts between…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Rehan Ahmad , Kevin S. Xu

Time series forecasting is an important predictive methodology which can be applied to a wide range of problems. Particularly, forecasting the indoor temperature permits an improved utilization of the HVAC (Heating, Ventilating and Air…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-04-22 Juan Pardo , Francisco Zamora-Martinez , Paloma Botella-Rocamora

One of the major issues in the theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to…

This paper studies the probability of error associated with the social machine learning framework, which involves an independent training phase followed by a cooperative decision-making phase over a graph. This framework addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Ping Hu , Virginia Bordignon , Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed

There has been a surge of interest in using machine learning (ML) to automatically detect malware through their dynamic behaviors. These approaches have achieved significant improvement in detection rates and lower false positive rates at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Li Chen , Chih-Yuan Yang , Anindya Paul , Ravi Sahita

Intrusion detection systems are crucial for network security. Verification of these systems is complicated by various factors, including the heterogeneity of network platforms and the continuously changing landscape of cyber threats. In…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Negin Ayoughi , Shiva Nejati , Mehrdad Sabetzadeh , Patricio Saavedra

Weight distribution largely impacts the epidemic spreading taking place on top of networks. This paper studies a susceptible-infected-susceptible model on regular random networks with different kinds of weight distributions. Simulation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-16 Zimo Yang , Tao Zhou