English
Related papers

Related papers: Machine Learning vs. Randomness: Challenges in Pre…

200 papers

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

Ensemble forecasting is, so far, the most successful approach to produce relevant forecasts with an estimation of their uncertainty. The main limitations of ensemble forecasting are the high computational cost and the difficulty to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Juan J. Ruiz , Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Han Gui

The machine learning (ML) techniques to predict unitarity (UNI) and bounded from below (BFB) constraints in multi-scalar models is employed. The effectiveness of this approach is demonstrated by applying it to the two and three Higgs…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-01-18 Darius Jurčiukonis

This paper presents the implementation of an advanced artificial intelligence-based algorithmic trading system specifically designed for the EUR-USD pair within the high-frequency environment of the Forex market. The methodological approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

The prediction of financial markets is a challenging yet important task. In modern electronically-driven markets, traditional time-series econometric methods often appear incapable of capturing the true complexity of the multi-level…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Martin Magris , Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

Algorithms with (machine-learned) predictions is a powerful framework for combining traditional worst-case algorithms with modern machine learning. However, the vast majority of work in this space assumes that the prediction itself is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Aidin Niaparast , Sergei Vassilvitskii

In this work we show that prediction uncertainty estimates gleaned from deep learning models can be useful inputs for influencing the relative allocation of risk capital across trades. In this way, consideration of uncertainty is important…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-03 Trent Spears , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Artificial neural networks will always make a prediction, even when completely uncertain and regardless of the consequences. This obliviousness of uncertainty is a major obstacle towards their adoption in practice. Techniques exist,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

The prediction of foreign exchange rates, such as the US Dollar (USD) to Bangladeshi Taka (BDT), plays a pivotal role in global financial markets, influencing trade, investments, and economic stability. This study leverages historical…

Bitcoin is one of the cryptocurrencies that is gaining more popularity in recent years. Previous studies have shown that closing price alone is not enough to forecast stock market series. We introduce a new set of time series and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Stefano Sossi-Rojas , Gissel Velarde , Damian Zieba

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

Cryptocurrency markets are experiencing rapid growth, but this expansion comes with significant challenges, particularly in predicting cryptocurrency prices for traders in the U.S. In this study, we explore how deep learning and machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Md Zahidul Islam , Md Shafiqur Rahman , Md Sumsuzoha , Babul Sarker , Md Rafiqul Islam , Mahfuz Alam , Sanjib Kumar Shil

In a natural market environment, the price prediction model needs to be updated in real time according to the data obtained by the system to ensure the accuracy of the prediction. In order to improve the user experience of the system, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-14 Zhu Bangyuan

Volatility prediction for financial assets is one of the essential questions for understanding financial risks and quadratic price variation. However, although many novel deep learning models were recently proposed, they still have a "hard…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-24 German Rodikov , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Financial markets are difficult to predict due to its complex systems dynamics. Although there have been some recent studies that use machine learning techniques for financial markets prediction, they do not offer satisfactory performance…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Jia Wang , Tong Sun , Benyuan Liu , Yu Cao , Degang Wang

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

Despite the widespread use of machine learning algorithms to solve problems of technological, economic, and social relevance, provable guarantees on the performance of these data-driven algorithms are critically lacking, especially when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Vaibhav Katewa , Fabio Pasqualetti

Time series forecasting is a key tool in financial markets, helping to predict asset prices and guide investment decisions. In highly volatile markets, such as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), forecasting becomes more…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Mabsur Fatin Bin Hossain , Lubna Zahan Lamia , Md Mahmudur Rahman , Md Mosaddek Khan