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As the global HIV pandemic enters its fourth decade, increasing numbers of surveillance sites have been established which allows countries to look into the epidemics at a finer scale, e.g. at sub-national level. However, the epidemic models…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-18 Le Bao , Mary Mahy , Xiaoyue Niu , Tim Brown , Peter Ghys

Understanding the prevalence of key demographic and health indicators in small geographic areas and domains is of global interest, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where vital registration data is sparse and household…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-24 Qianyu Dong , Yunhan Wu , Zehang Richard Li , Jon Wakefield

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

Small area estimation (SAE) is a common endeavor and is used in a variety of disciplines. In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), in which household surveys provide the most reliable and timely source of data, SAE is vital for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Jon Wakefield , Jitong Jiang , Yunhan Wu

Statistical models are used to produce estimates of demographic and global health indicators in populations with limited data. Such models integrate multiple data sources to produce estimates and forecasts with uncertainty based on model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Leontine Alkema , Herbert Susmann , Evan Ray

National surveys of the healthcare system in the United States were conducted to characterize the structure of healthcare system and investigate the impact of evidence-based innovations in healthcare systems on healthcare services.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Seho Park , Brianna L Hardy , A James OMalley

When doing impact evaluation and making causal inferences, it is important to acknowledge the heterogeneity of the treatment effects for different domains (geographic, socio-demographic, or socio-economic). If the domain of interest is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-12 Setareh Ranjbar , Nicola Salvati , Barbara Pacini

This paper presents an approach for predicting the self-rated health of individuals in a future population utilising the individuals' socio-economic characteristics. An open-source microsimulation is used to project Ireland's population…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Seán Caulfield Curley , Karl Mason , Patrick Mannion

Understanding how and why certain communities bear a disproportionate burden of disease is challenging due to the scarcity of data on these communities. Surveys provide a useful avenue for accessing hard-to-reach populations, as many…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-27 Stephanie M. Wu , Briana Joy K. Stephenson

Effective surveillance on the long-term public health impact due to war and terrorist attacks remain limited. Such health issues are commonly under-reported, specifically for a large group of individuals. For this purpose, efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-12 Prajamitra Bhuyan , Kiranmoy Chatterjee

We develop a model-based boosting approach for multivariate distributional regression within the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape. Our approach enables the simultaneous modeling of all distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Annika Strömer , Nadja Klein , Christian Staerk , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

Inadequate dietary micronutrient intake is a significant risk factor for deficiency and remains a major global health challenge. Nutrition programmes and interventions are most effective when targeted to populations at greatest risk.…

Motivated by two case studies using primary care records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, we describe statistical methods that facilitate the analysis of tall data, with very large numbers of observations. Our focus is on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-14 Kirsty Rhodes , Rebecca Turner , Rupert Payne , Ian White

Two-phase sampling designs are frequently employed in epidemiological studies and large-scale health surveys. In such designs, certain variables are exclusively collected within a second-phase random subsample of the initial first-phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-25 Lingxiao Wang

In small area estimation, it is sometimes necessary to use model-based methods to produce estimates in areas with little or no data. In official statistics, we often require that some aggregate of small area estimates agree with a national…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Taylor Okonek , Jon Wakefield

The article contains a methodology for social statistics assessing. The significance of minorities (groups that differ in their attributes from the majority) has grown substantially in the modern postindustrial economy and society. In the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-12 G. K. Kamenev , I. G. Kamenev

We propose a new estimation methodology to address the presence of covariate measurement error by exploiting the availability of spatial data. The approach uses neighboring observations as repeated measurements, after suitably controlling…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-06 Susanne M. Schennach , Vincent Starck

We present a new method in problems where estimates are needed for finite population domains with small or even zero sample sizes. In contrast to known estimation methods, an auxiliary information is used to model sizes of population units…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-23 Andrius Čiginas , Tomas Rudys

Understanding patterns in mortality across subpopulations is essential for local health policy decision making. One of the key challenges of subnational mortality rate estimation is the presence of small populations and zero or near zero…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-16 Ameer Dharamshi , Monica Alexander , Celeste Winant , Magali Barbieri