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We study the problem of post-selection predictive inference in an online fashion. To avoid devoting resources to unimportant units, a preliminary selection of the current individual before reporting its prediction interval is common and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Yajie Bao , Yuyang Huo , Haojie Ren , Changliang Zou

Deploying trustworthy AI systems requires principled uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a widely used framework for constructing prediction sets with distribution-free coverage guarantees. In many practical settings,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Haifeng Wen , Osvaldo Simeone , Hong Xing

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage, assuming exchangeable data. However, real-world scenarios often involve distribution shifts that violate exchangeability, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Shadi Alijani , Homayoun Najjaran

Conformal prediction (CP) is an important tool for distribution-free predictive uncertainty quantification. Yet, a major challenge is to balance computational efficiency and prediction accuracy, particularly for multiple predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-17 Kiljae Lee , Yuan Zhang

Atmospheric wavefront prediction based on previous wavefront sensor measurements can greatly enhance the performance of adaptive optics systems. We propose an optimal linear approach based on the Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF)…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-04 Olivier Guyon , Jared Males

The recently proposed Forgetting Transformer (FoX) incorporates a forget gate into softmax attention and has shown consistently better or on-par performance compared to the standard RoPE-based Transformer. Notably, many attention heads in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Zhixuan Lin , Johan Obando-Ceron , Xu Owen He , Aaron Courville

Time series forecasting is essential for many practical applications, with the adoption of transformer-based models on the rise due to their impressive performance in NLP and CV. Transformers' key feature, the attention mechanism,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 PeiSong Niu , Tian Zhou , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Continual Learning (CL) aims to incrementally acquire new knowledge while mitigating catastrophic forgetting. Within this setting, Online Continual Learning (OCL) focuses on updating models promptly and incrementally from single or small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Giovanni Donghi , Luca Pasa , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi , Nicolò Navarin

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Online Tensor Factorization (OTF) is a fundamental tool in learning low-dimensional interpretable features from streaming multi-modal data. While various algorithmic and theoretical aspects of OTF have been investigated recently, a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Hanbaek Lyu , Christopher Strohmeier , Deanna Needell

Given that machine learning algorithms are increasingly being deployed to aid in high stakes decision-making, uncertainty quantification methods that wrap around these black box models such as conformal prediction have received much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Kayla E. Scharfstein , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Feature selection is the problem of selecting a subset of features for a machine learning model that maximizes model quality subject to a budget constraint. For neural networks, prior methods, including those based on $\ell_1$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Taisuke Yasuda , MohammadHossein Bateni , Lin Chen , Matthew Fahrbach , Gang Fu , Vahab Mirrokni

One-shot prediction enables rapid adaptation of pretrained foundation models to new tasks using only one labeled example, but lacks principled uncertainty quantification. While conformal prediction provides finite-sample coverage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Maja Waldron

We consider the problem of reinforcement learning over episodes of a finite-horizon deterministic system and as a solution propose optimistic constraint propagation (OCP), an algorithm designed to synthesize efficient exploration and value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-08 Zheng Wen , Benjamin Van Roy

Deep neural network predictions are notoriously difficult to interpret. Feature attribution methods aim to explain these predictions by identifying the contribution of each input feature. Faithfulness, often evaluated using the area over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Joakim Edin , Andreas Geert Motzfeldt , Casper L. Christensen , Tuukka Ruotsalo , Lars Maaløe , Maria Maistro

Time series forecasting is of significant importance across various domains. However, it faces significant challenges due to distribution shift. This issue becomes particularly pronounced in online deployment scenarios where data arrives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Xiannan Huang , Shuhan Qiu , Jiayuan Du , Chao Yang

In the current world, OLAP (Online Analytical Processing) is used intensively by modern organizations to perform ad hoc analysis of data, providing insight for better decision making. Thus, the performance for OLAP is crucial; however, it…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Pritom Saha Akash , Wei-Cheng Lai , Po-Wen Lin

The standard content-based attention mechanism typically used in sequence-to-sequence models is computationally expensive as it requires the comparison of large encoder and decoder states at each time step. In this work, we propose an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-07-04 Denny Britz , Melody Y. Guan , Minh-Thang Luong

Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees. While CP yields uncontrolled prediction set sizes, Backward Conformal Prediction (BCP)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Junxian Liu , Hao Zeng , Hongxin Wei

Deep neural networks have achieved remarkable success across a variety of tasks, yet they often suffer from unreliable probability estimates. As a result, they can be overconfident in their predictions. Conformal Prediction (CP) offers a…