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We introduce a simple and intuitive framework that provides quantitative explanations of statistical models through the probabilistic assessment of input feature importance. The core idea comes from utilizing the Dirichlet distribution to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-20 Kamil Adamczewski , Frederik Harder , Mijung Park

When the performance of a machine learning model varies over groups defined by sensitive attributes (e.g., gender or ethnicity), the performance disparity can be expressed in terms of the probability distributions of the input and output…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Hao Wang , Berk Ustun , Flavio P. Calmon

Machine learning models are widely applied in various fields. Stakeholders often use post-hoc feature importance methods to better understand the input features' contribution to the models' predictions. The interpretation of the importance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-19 Bitya Neuhof , Yuval Benjamini

Complex problems may require sophisticated, non-linear learning methods such as kernel machines or deep neural networks to achieve state of the art prediction accuracies. However, high prediction accuracies are not the only objective to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-24 Marina M. -C. Vidovic , Nico Görnitz , Klaus-Robert Müller , Marius Kloft

Feature importance is commonly used to explain machine predictions. While feature importance can be derived from a machine learning model with a variety of methods, the consistency of feature importance via different methods remains…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Vivian Lai , Jon Z. Cai , Chenhao Tan

Counterfactual explanations for black-box models aim to pr ovide insight into an algorithmic decision to its recipient. For a binary classification problem an individual counterfactual details which features might be changed for the model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 James M. Adams , Gesine Reinert , Lukasz Szpruch , Carsten Maple , Andrew Elliott

Counterfactual explanations have been a popular method of post-hoc explainability for a variety of settings in Machine Learning. Such methods focus on explaining classifiers by generating new data points that are similar to a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Joshua Nathaniel Williams , Anurag Katakkar , Hoda Heidari , J. Zico Kolter

Robust local feature representations are essential for spatial intelligence tasks such as robot navigation and augmented reality. Establishing reliable correspondences requires descriptors that provide both high discriminative power and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Haodi Yao , Fenghua He , Ning Hao , Yao Su

Feature importance (FI) estimates are a popular form of explanation, and they are commonly created and evaluated by computing the change in model confidence caused by removing certain input features at test time. For example, in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Peter Hase , Harry Xie , Mohit Bansal

Consider a setting with multiple units (e.g., individuals, cohorts, geographic locations) and outcomes (e.g., treatments, times, items), where the goal is to learn a multivariate distribution for each unit-outcome entry, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Kyuseong Choi , Jacob Feitelberg , Caleb Chin , Anish Agarwal , Raaz Dwivedi

Model transparency is a prerequisite in many domains and an increasingly popular area in machine learning research. In the medical domain, for instance, unveiling the mechanisms behind a disease often has higher priority than the diagnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 João Pereira , Erik S. G. Stroes , Aeilko H. Zwinderman , Evgeni Levin

Gradients have been used to quantify feature importance in machine learning models. Unfortunately, in nonlinear deep networks, not only individual neurons but also the whole network can saturate, and as a result an important input feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Mukund Sundararajan , Ankur Taly , Qiqi Yan

Post-hoc explanations of machine learning models are crucial for people to understand and act on algorithmic predictions. An intriguing class of explanations is through counterfactuals, hypothetical examples that show people how to obtain a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Ramaravind Kommiya Mothilal , Amit Sharma , Chenhao Tan

Accurate and explainable out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is required to use machine learning systems safely. Previous work has shown that feature distance to decision boundaries can be used to identify OOD data effectively. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Maria Stoica , Francesco Leofante , Alessio Lomuscio

In the realm of Artificial Intelligence (AI), the importance of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is increasingly recognized, particularly as AI models become more integral to our lives. One notable single-instance XAI approach is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Yukai Zhang , Ao Xu , Zihao Li , Tieru Wu

When used in the context of decision theory, feature importance expresses how much changing the value of a feature can change the model outcome (or the utility of the outcome), compared to other features. Feature importance should not be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Kary Främling

Causal effects are usually studied in terms of the means of counterfactual distributions, which may be insufficient in many scenarios. Given a class of densities known up to normalizing constants, we propose to model counterfactual…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Edward H. Kennedy

Person re-identification has attracted many researchers' attention for its wide application, but it is still a very challenging task because only part of the image information can be used for personnel matching. Most of current methods uses…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Zhiguang Zhang

Despite the popularity of feature importance (FI) measures in interpretable machine learning, the statistical adequacy of these methods is rarely discussed. From a statistical perspective, a major distinction is between analyzing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-03 Kristin Blesch , David S. Watson , Marvin N. Wright

In a wide variety of applications, including personalization, we want to measure the difference in outcome due to an intervention and thus have to deal with counterfactual inference. The feedback from a customer in any of these situations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-08-24 Abhimanyu Mitra , Kannan Achan , Sushant Kumar
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