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The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

State-space graphical models and the variational autoencoder framework provide a principled apparatus for learning dynamical systems from data. State-of-the-art probabilistic approaches are often able to scale to large problems at the cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Matthew Dowling , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

As the peak of the solar cycle approaches in 2025 and the ability of a single geomagnetic storm to significantly alter the orbit of Resident Space Objects (RSOs), techniques for atmospheric density forecasting are vital for space…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-27 Julia Briden , Peng Mun Siew , Victor Rodriguez-Fernandez , Richard Linares

Though machine learning has achieved notable success in modeling sequential and spatial data for speech recognition and in computer vision, applications to remote sensing and climate science problems are seldom considered. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Yimeng Min , S. Karthik Mukkavilli , Yoshua Bengio

The innovative application of precise geospatial vegetation forecasting holds immense potential across diverse sectors, including agriculture, forestry, humanitarian aid, and carbon accounting. To leverage the vast availability of satellite…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Vitus Benson , Claire Robin , Christian Requena-Mesa , Lazaro Alonso , Nuno Carvalhais , José Cortés , Zhihan Gao , Nora Linscheid , Mélanie Weynants , Markus Reichstein

We present a novel algorithm that predicts the probability that the time derivative of the horizontal component of the ground magnetic field $dB/dt$ exceeds a specified threshold at a given location. This quantity provides important…

Space Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Enrico Camporeale , M. D. Cash , H. J. Singer , C. C. Balch , Z. Huang , G. Toth

Understanding Greenland's subglacial topography is critical for projecting the future mass loss of the ice sheet and its contribution to global sea-level rise. However, the complex and sparse nature of observational data, particularly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Bayu Adhi Tama , Mansa Krishna , Homayra Alam , Mostafa Cham , Omar Faruque , Gong Cheng , Jianwu Wang , Mathieu Morlighem , Vandana Janeja

Precipitation nowcasting (up to a few hours) remains a challenge due to the highly complex local interactions that need to be captured accurately. Convolutional Neural Networks rely on convolutional kernels convolving with grid data and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Shan Zhao , Sudipan Saha , Zhitong Xiong , Niklas Boers , Xiao Xiang Zhu

High-resolution rainfall observations are crucial for weather forecasting, water management, and hazard mitigation. Traditional operational measurements are often biased and low-resolution, limiting their ability to capture local rainfall.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Rafael Pablos Sarabia , Joachim Nyborg , Morten Birk , Ira Assent

Learning from multiple sensors is challenging due to spatio-temporal misalignment and differences in resolution and captured spectra. To that end, we introduce GeoWATCH, a flexible framework for training models on long sequences of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Jon Crall , Connor Greenwell , David Joy , Matthew Leotta , Aashish Chaudhary , Anthony Hoogs

Modern IoT deployments for environmental sensing produce high volume spatiotemporal data to support downstream tasks such as forecasting, typically powered by machine learning models. While existing filtering and strategic deployment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Ragini Gupta , Naman Raina , Bo Chen , Li Chen , Claudiu Danilov , Josh Eckhardt , Keyshla Bernard , Klara Nahrstedt

Time series forecasting can be viewed as a generative problem that requires both semantic understanding over contextual conditions and stochastic modeling of continuous temporal dynamics. Existing approaches typically rely on either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yaguo Liu , Mingyue Cheng , Daoyu Wang , Xiaoyu Tao , Qi Liu

In this paper, we consider the problem of learning prediction models for spatiotemporal physical processes driven by unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). We propose a deep learning framework that learns the underlying dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Priyabrata Saha , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

One key task in environmental science is to map environmental variables continuously in space or even in space and time. Machine learning algorithms are frequently used to learn from local field observations to make spatial predictions by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-11 Hanna Meyer , Marvin Ludwig , Carles Milà , Jan Linnenbrink , Fabian Schumacher

The development of an ecosystem that balances consumer convenience and security is imperative given the expanding market for electric vehicles (EVs). The vast amount of data that EV charging station management systems (EVCSMSs) give is…

Deep learning has significantly improved the accuracy of precipitation nowcasting. However, most existing multimodal models typically use simple channel concatenation or interpolation methods for data fusion, which often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Henan Wang , Shengwu Xiong , Yifang Zhang , Wenjie Yin , Chen Zhou , Yuqiang Zhang , Pengfei Duan

An effective way to oppose global warming and mitigate climate change is to electrify our energy sectors and supply their electric power from renewable wind and solar. Spatio-temporal predictions of electric load become increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Arsam Aryandoust , Anthony Patt , Stefan Pfenninger

The disturbance storm time (Dst) index is an important and useful measurement in space weather research. It has been used to characterize the size and intensity of a geomagnetic storm. A negative Dst value means that the Earth's magnetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang , Prianka Bose , Genwei Zhang , Firas Gerges , Haimin Wang

Oceanographic forecasting impacts various sectors of society by supporting environmental conservation and economic activities. Based on global circulation models, traditional forecasting methods are computationally expensive and slow,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-09 Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez , Ángel Rodríguez-Santana