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Throughout science and technology, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and associated area under the curve (AUC) measures constitute powerful tools for assessing the predictive abilities of features, markers and tests in binary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Tilmann Gneiting , Eva-Maria Walz

Scoring functions are used to evaluate and compare partially probabilistic forecasts. We investigate the use of rank-sum functions such as empirical Area Under the Curve (AUC), a widely-used measure of classification performance, as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Simon Byrne

Objectives: Estimation of areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and their differences is a key task in diagnostic studies. We aimed to derive, evaluate, and implement simple sample size formulas for such studies with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

Selective classification (or classification with a reject option) pairs a classifier with a selection function to determine whether or not a prediction should be accepted. This framework trades off coverage (probability of accepting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Andrea Pugnana , Salvatore Ruggieri

Background: Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used to evaluate the performance of Software Defect Prediction (SDP) models that estimate module fault-proneness, i.e., the probability that a module is faulty. A ROC…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Luigi Lavazza , Gabriele Rotoloni , Sandro Morasca

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a very useful tool for analyzing the diagnostic/classification power of instruments/classification schemes as long as a binary-scale gold standard is available. When the gold standard is…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-10 Zhanfeng Wang , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a widely employed metric in long-tailed classification scenarios. Nevertheless, most existing methods primarily assume that training and testing examples are drawn i.i.d. from the same distribution,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Siran Dai , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

AUC (Area under the ROC curve) is an important performance measure for applications where the data is highly imbalanced. Learning to maximize AUC performance is thus an important research problem. Using a max-margin based surrogate loss…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Vishal Kakkar , Shirish K. Shevade , S Sundararajan , Dinesh Garg

Methods for the evaluation of the predictive accuracy of biomarkers with respect to survival outcomes subject to right censoring have been discussed extensively in the literature. In cancer and other diseases, survival outcomes are commonly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-06 Yuan Wu , Xiaofei Wang , Jiaxing Lin , Beilin Jia , Kouros Owzar

In many applications, monitoring area under the ROC curve (AUC) in a sliding window over a data stream is a natural way of detecting changes in the system. The drawback is that computing AUC in a sliding window is expensive, especially if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Nikolaj Tatti

In this paper, we propose a mean score equation-based approach to estimate the the volume under the receiving operating characteristic (ROC) surface (VUS) of a diagnostic test, under nonignorable (NI) verification bias. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-21 Duc-Khanh To , Gianfranco Adimari , Monica Chiogna

When determining which machine learning model best performs some high impact risk assessment task, practitioners commonly use the Area under the Curve (AUC) to defend and validate their model choices. In this paper, we argue that the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Kweku Kwegyir-Aggrey , Marissa Gerchick , Malika Mohan , Aaron Horowitz , Suresh Venkatasubramanian

In recommendation systems, one is interested in the ranking of the predicted items as opposed to other losses such as the mean squared error. Although a variety of ways to evaluate rankings exist in the literature, here we focus on the Area…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-26 Charanpal Dhanjal , Romaric Gaudel , Stephan Clemencon

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are plots of true positive rate versus false positive rate which are useful for evaluating binary classification models, but difficult to use for learning since the Area Under the Curve (AUC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-06 Jonathan Hillman , Toby Dylan Hocking

In analysis of binary outcomes, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve is heavily used to show the performance of a model or algorithm. The ROC curve is informative about the performance over a series of thresholds and can be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-10 John Muschelli

The ROC curve is the gold standard for measuring the performance of a test/scoring statistic regarding its capacity to discriminate between two statistical populations in a wide variety of applications, ranging from anomaly detection in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Stéphan Clémençon , Myrto Limnios , Nicolas Vayatis

Areas under ROC (AUROC) and precision-recall curves (AUPRC) are common metrics for evaluating classification performance for imbalanced problems. Compared with AUROC, AUPRC is a more appropriate metric for highly imbalanced datasets. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Qi Qi , Youzhi Luo , Zhao Xu , Shuiwang Ji , Tianbao Yang

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a crucial metric for machine learning, which evaluates the average performance over all possible True Positive Rates (TPRs) and False Positive Rates (FPRs). Based on the knowledge that a skillful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Zhiyong Yang , Qianqian Xu , Shilong Bao , Yuan He , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

Predicting the timing and occurrence of events is a major focus of data science applications, especially in the context of biomedical research. Performance for models estimating these outcomes, often referred to as time-to-event or survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Ying Jin , Andrew Leroux

Recent work on privacy-preserving machine learning has considered how data-mining competitions such as Kaggle could potentially be "hacked", either intentionally or inadvertently, by using information from an oracle that reports a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Jacob Whitehill