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Asymptotic equivalence theory developed in the literature so far are only for bounded loss functions. This limits the potential applications of the theory because many commonly used loss functions in statistical inference are unbounded. In…
This paper explores connections between margin-based loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression applications. It is shown that a large class of margin-based loss functions for binary classification/regression…
The total loss function associated with a set of cross-sectional predictions, that is, estimates or forecasts, summarizes the set's overall accuracy. Its arguments are the individual cross-sectional units' loss functions. Under general…
Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…
This paper establishes risk convergence and asymptotic weight matrix alignment --- a form of implicit regularization --- of gradient flow and gradient descent when applied to deep linear networks on linearly separable data. In more detail,…
Asymptotic optimality is a key theoretical property in model averaging. Due to technical difficulties, existing studies rely on restricted weight sets or the assumption that there is no true model with fixed dimensions in the candidate set.…
Asymptotic equivalence in Le Cam's sense for nonparametric regression experiments is extended to the case of non-regular error densities, which have jump discontinuities at their endpoints. We prove asymptotic equivalence of such regression…
Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable…
A new equivalence notion between non-stationary subdivision schemes, termed asymptotical similarity, which is weaker than asymptotical equivalence, is introduced and studied. It is known that asymptotical equivalence between a…
The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures. We analyze a broad class of two-stage procedures that first estimate the treatment effect function,…
Accurately forecasting the probability distribution of phenomena of interest is a classic and ever more widespread goal in statistics and decision theory. In comparison to point forecasts, probabilistic forecasts aim to provide a more…
We study asymptotic behaviors of Bayes type estimators and give sufficient conditions to obtain asymptotic limit distribution of estimation error. We assume polynomial type large deviation inequalities and prove asymptotic equivalence of…
We investigate functions with the property that for every interval, the slope at the midpoint of the interval is the same as the average slope. More generally, we find functions whose average slopes over intervals are given by the slope at…
We study the asymptotics for jump-penalized least squares regression aiming at approximating a regression function by piecewise constant functions. Besides conventional consistency and convergence rates of the estimates in $L^2([0,1))$ our…
M-estimation, aka empirical risk minimization, is at the heart of statistics and machine learning: Classification, regression, location estimation, etc. Asymptotic theory is well understood when the loss satisfies some smoothness…
We consider the value distribution of logarithms of symmetric power L-functions associated with newforms of even weight and prime power level. In the symmetric square case, under certain plausible analytical conditions, we prove that…
Cross-entropy loss is the standard metric used to train classification models in deep learning and gradient boosting. It is well-known that this loss function fails to account for similarities between the different values of the target. We…
We compare classification and regression tasks in an overparameterized linear model with Gaussian features. On the one hand, we show that with sufficient overparameterization all training points are support vectors: solutions obtained by…
Causal machine-learning is about predicting the net-effect (true-lift) of treatments. Given the data of a treatment group and a control group, it is similar to a standard supervised-learning problem. Unfortunately, there is no similarly…
A classical problem in number theory is showing that the mean value of an arithmetic function is asymptotic to its mean value over a short interval or over an arithmetic progression, with the interval as short as possible or the modulus as…