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Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have recently been proposed as a promising way to train tabular foundation models. PFNs are transformers that are pre-trained on synthetic data generated from a prespecified prior distribution and that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Yuchen Ma , Dennis Frauen , Emil Javurek , Stefan Feuerriegel

Motivated by applications in conditional sampling, given a probability measure $\mu$ and a diffeomorphism $\phi$, we consider the problem of simultaneously approximating $\phi$ and the pushforward $\phi_{\#}\mu$ by means of the flow of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Borjan Geshkovski , Domènec Ruiz-Balet

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is the task of estimating the probability of an event conditioned on some inputs. A neural network (NN) can also be used to compute the output distribution for continuous-domain, which can be viewed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Bing Chen , Mazharul Islam , Jisuo Gao , Lin Wang

Guided or controlled data generation with diffusion models\blfootnote{Partial preliminary results of this work appeared in International Conference on Machine Learning 2025 \citep{li2025provable}.} has become a cornerstone of modern…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-05 Yuchen Jiao , Yuxin Chen , Gen Li

Estimation of causal effects is critical to a range of scientific disciplines. Existing methods for this task either require interventional data, knowledge about the ground truth causal graph, or rely on assumptions such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Jake Robertson , Arik Reuter , Siyuan Guo , Noah Hollmann , Frank Hutter , Bernhard Schölkopf

Deep neural network models owe their representational power to the high number of learnable parameters. It is often infeasible to run these largely parametrized deep models in limited resource environments, like mobile phones. Network…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Ufuk Can Biçici , Cem Keskin , Lale Akarun

Any continuous conditional distribution of $Y$ given $X$ can be generated from a transform of a known noise distribution $U$ such as the uniform or normal distribution via $Y = g(X, U)$. This paper provides an estimator of such a generative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jinhang Chai , Jianqing Fan , Yihong Gu

Given a probability distribution $\mu$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$ represented by data, we study in this paper the generative modeling of the corresponding conditional probability distributions on the level-sets of a collective variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Fatima-Zahrae Akhyar , Wei Zhang , Gabriel Stoltz , Christof Schütte

Sliced-Wasserstein Flow (SWF) is a promising approach to nonparametric generative modeling but has not been widely adopted due to its suboptimal generative quality and lack of conditional modeling capabilities. In this work, we make two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Chao Du , Tianbo Li , Tianyu Pang , Shuicheng Yan , Min Lin

Conditional density estimation generalizes regression by modeling a full density f(yjx) rather than only the expected value E(yjx). This is important for many tasks, including handling multi-modality and generating prediction intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Michael P. Holmes , Alexander G. Gray , Charles Lee Isbell

We present a novel, conditional generative probabilistic model of set-valued data with a tractable log density. This model is a continuous normalizing flow governed by permutation equivariant dynamics. These dynamics are driven by a…

In this paper, we propose a general framework for testing the conditional distribution equality in a two-sample problem, which is most relevant to covariate shift and causal discovery. Our framework is built on neural network-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Siming Zheng , Tong Wang , Meifang Lan , Yuanyuan Lin

This paper introduces the kernel mixture network, a new method for nonparametric estimation of conditional probability densities using neural networks. We model arbitrarily complex conditional densities as linear combinations of a family of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-22 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Marcel A. J. van Gerven , Eric Maris

Decision making is often based on Bayesian networks. The building blocks for Bayesian networks are its conditional probability tables (CPTs). These tables are obtained by parameter estimation methods, or they are elicited from subject…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Wolfgang Garn , Panos Louvieris

Several families of continual learning techniques have been proposed to alleviate catastrophic interference in deep neural network training on non-stationary data. However, a comprehensive comparison and analysis of limitations remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Timm Hess , Martin Mundt , Iuliia Pliushch , Visvanathan Ramesh

Accurately characterizing non-linear functional manifolds with singularities is a fundamental challenge in scientific computing. While Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs) dominate, their spectral bias hinders resolving high-curvature features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Chao Wang , Xuancheng Zhou , Ruilin Hou , Xiaoyu Cheng , Ruiyi Ding

In recent years, differentiable penalized likelihood methods have gained popularity, optimizing the causal structure by maximizing its likelihood with respect to the data. However, recent research has shown that errors in likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Mateusz Sypniewski , Mateusz Olko , Mateusz Gajewski , Piotr Miłoś

Planning effective interventions in biological systems requires treatment-effect models that adapt to unseen biological contexts by identifying their specific underlying mechanisms. Yet single-cell perturbation datasets span only a handful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Marvin Sextro , Weronika Kłos , Gabriel Dernbach

Quantifying biomechanical properties of the human vasculature could deepen our understanding of cardiovascular diseases. Standard nonlinear regression in constitutive modeling requires considerable high-quality data and an explicit form of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Minglang Yin , Zongren Zou , Enrui Zhang , Cristina Cavinato , Jay D. Humphrey , George Em Karniadakis

We present a general framework, the coupled compound Poisson factorization (CCPF), to capture the missing-data mechanism in extremely sparse data sets by coupling a hierarchical Poisson factorization with an arbitrary data-generating model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Mehmet E. Basbug , Barbara E. Engelhardt