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The Rashomon effect presents a significant challenge in model selection. It occurs when multiple models achieve similar performance on a dataset but produce different predictions, resulting in predictive multiplicity. This is especially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Mustafa Cavus , Przemyslaw Biecek

Variational inference is an alternative estimation technique for Bayesian models. Recent work shows that variational methods provide consistent estimation via efficient, deterministic algorithms. Other tools, such as model selection using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Mark J. Meyer , Selina Carter , Elizabeth J. Malloy

In this paper, we aim to enhance the robustness of Universal Information Extraction (UIE) by introducing a new benchmark dataset, a comprehensive evaluation, and a feasible solution. Existing robust benchmark datasets have two key…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Jizhao Zhu , Akang Shi , Zixuan Li , Long Bai , Xiaolong Jin , Jiafeng Guo , Xueqi Cheng

The Influence Function (IF) is a widely used technique for assessing the impact of individual training samples on model predictions. However, existing IF methods often fail to provide reliable influence estimates in deep neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Xichen Ye , Yifan Wu , Weizhong Zhang , Cheng Jin , Yifan Chen

Interventional effects have been proposed as a solution to the unidentifiability of natural (in)direct effects under mediator-outcome confounders affected by the exposure. Such confounders are an intrinsic characteristic of studies with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-30 Iván Díaz , Nicholas Williams , Kara E. Rudolph

In the era of Model-as-a-Service, organizations increasingly rely on third-party AI models for rapid deployment. However, the dynamic nature of emerging AI applications, the continual introduction of new datasets, and the growing number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Zihan Zhu , Yanqiu Wu , Qiongkai Xu

Creating models from past observations and ensuring their effectiveness on new data is the essence of machine learning. However, selecting models that generalize well remains a challenging task. Related to this topic, the Rashomon Effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

AI models are often evaluated based on their ability to predict the outcome of interest. However, in many AI for social impact applications, the presence of an intervention that affects the outcome can bias the evaluation. Randomized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Winston Chen , Michael W. Sjoding , Jenna Wiens

Prognostic and diagnostic AI-based medical devices hold immense promise for advancing healthcare, yet their rapid development has outpaced the establishment of appropriate validation methods. Existing approaches often fall short in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Florian Hellmeier , Kay Brosien , Carsten Eickhoff , Alexander Meyer

Predictive models may generate biased predictions when classifying imbalanced datasets. This happens when the model favors the majority class, leading to low performance in accurately predicting the minority class. To address this issue,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

The machine learning modeling process conventionally culminates in selecting a single model that maximizes a selected performance metric. However, this approach leads to abandoning a more profound analysis of slightly inferior models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Katarzyna Kobylińska , Mateusz Krzyziński , Rafał Machowicz , Mariusz Adamek , Przemysław Biecek

Causal inference methods are widely applied in various decision-making domains such as precision medicine, optimal policy and economics. Central to causal inference is the treatment effect estimation of intervention strategies, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Guandong Xu

Instrumental variables (IV) regression is widely used to estimate causal treatment effects in settings where receipt of treatment is not fully random, but there exists an instrument that generates exogenous variation in treatment exposure.…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-10 Stephen Coussens , Jann Spiess

This study explores how the Rashomon effect influences variable importance in the context of student demographics used for academic outcomes prediction. Our research follows the way machine learning algorithms are employed in Educational…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Jakub Kuzilek , Mustafa Çavuş

The Rashomon Effect describes the following phenomenon: for a given dataset there may exist many models with equally good performance but with different solution strategies. The Rashomon Effect has implications for Explainable Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Sebastian Müller , Vanessa Toborek , Katharina Beckh , Matthias Jakobs , Christian Bauckhage , Pascal Welke

Every year, millions of patients pass through emergency departments and intensive care units, where clinicians must make high-stakes decisions under time pressure and uncertainty. Machine learning could support prediction of deterioration,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Yusuf Brima , Marcellin Atemkeng

The growing need for in-depth analysis of predictive models leads to a series of new methods for explaining their local and global properties. Which of these methods is the best? It turns out that this is an ill-posed question. One cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Hubert Baniecki , Dariusz Parzych , Przemyslaw Biecek

Electroencephalography provides a non-invasive and cost-effective approach for analyzing neural patterns associated with alcohol dependence. However, reported classification performance in EEG-based alcoholism studies varies considerably,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Tahir Cetin Akinci , Yuksel Celik , Omer Faruk Ertugrul

With the increasing capabilities of large language models (LLMs), these high-performance models have achieved state-of-the-art results on a wide range of natural language processing (NLP) tasks. However, the models' performance on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Guanting Dong , Jinxu Zhao , Tingfeng Hui , Daichi Guo , Wenlong Wan , Boqi Feng , Yueyan Qiu , Zhuoma Gongque , Keqing He , Zechen Wang , Weiran Xu

Variable importance (VI) methods are often used for hypothesis generation, feature selection, and scientific validation. In the standard VI pipeline, an analyst estimates VI for a single predictive model with only the observed features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Jon Donnelly , Srikar Katta , Emanuele Borgonovo , Cynthia Rudin
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