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Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) and distributionally robust optimization (DRO) are popular approaches for solving stochastic optimization problems that appear in operations management and machine learning. Existing generalization error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

We propose a two-level, learning-based portfolio method (RL-BHRP) that spreads risk across sectors and stocks, and adjusts exposures as market conditions change. Using U.S. Equities from 2012 to mid-2025, we design the model using 2012 to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Shaofeng Kang , Zeying Tian

Standard empirical risk minimization (ERM) training can produce deep neural network (DNN) models that are accurate on average but under-perform in under-represented population subgroups, especially when there are imbalanced group…

Entropy regularization is known to improve exploration in sequential decision-making problems. We show that this same mechanism can also lead to nearly unbiased and lower-variance estimates of the mean reward in the optimize-and-estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Ben Chugg , Peter Henderson , Jacob Goldin , Daniel E. Ho

Portfolio optimization has long been dominated by covariance-based strategies, such as the Markowitz Mean-Variance framework. However, these approaches often fail to ensure a balanced risk structure across assets, leading to concentration…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-07 Biswarup Chakraborty

In this paper, we solve portfolio rebalancing problem when security returns are represented by uncertain variables considering transaction costs. The performance of the proposed model is studied using constant-proportion portfolio insurance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-20 Mostafa Zandieh , Seyed Omid Mohaddesi

The investor is interested in the expected return and he is also concerned about the risk and the uncertainty assumed by the investment. One of the most popular concepts used to measure the risk and the uncertainty is the variance and/or…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Andreia Dionisio , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

This paper introduces a novel methodology for index return forecasting, blending highly correlated stock prices, advanced deep learning techniques, and intricate factor integration. Departing from conventional cap-weighted approaches, our…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-06 Tian Tian , Ricky Cooper , Jiahao Deng , Qingquan Zhang

A popular approach for addressing uncertainty in variational inequality problems is by solving the expected residual minimization (ERM) problem. This avenue necessitates distributional information associated with the uncertainty and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Yue Xie , Uday V. Shanbhag

Covariate balance is a conventional key diagnostic for methods used estimating causal effects from observational studies. Recently, there is an emerging interest in directly incorporating covariate balance in the estimation. We study a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-14 Qingyuan Zhao , Daniel Percival

Sparse index tracking is a prominent passive portfolio management strategy that constructs a sparse portfolio to track a financial index. A sparse portfolio is preferable to a full portfolio in terms of reducing transaction costs and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-19 Eisuke Yamagata , Shunsuke Ono

This paper is concerned with portfolio optimization models for creating high-quality lists of recommended items to balance the accuracy and diversity of recommendations. However, the statistics (i.e., expectation and covariance of ratings)…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tomoya Yanagi , Shunnosuke Ikeda , Yuichi Takano

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

Reasoning ability has become a defining capability of Large Language Models (LLMs), with Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) emerging as a key paradigm to enhance it. However, RLVR training often suffers from policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Xiaoyun Zhang , Xiaojian Yuan , Di Huang , Wang You , Chen Hu , Jingqing Ruan , Ai Jian , Kejiang Chen , Xing Hu

Post-training has become central to improving reasoning and alignment in large language models, where critic-free models enable scalable learning from model-generated outputs but lack principled mechanisms to distinguish informative from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Zheyuan Zhang , Kaiwen Shi , Han Bao , Zehong Wang , Tianyi Ma , Yanfang Ye

This paper proposes a portfolio construction framework designed to remain robust under estimation error, non-stationarity, and realistic trading constraints. The methodology combines dynamic asset eligibility, deterministic rebalancing, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Roberto Garrone

This paper presents a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework for dynamic portfolio optimization under market uncertainty and risk. The proposed model integrates a Sharpe ratio-based reward function with direct risk control mechanisms,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-17 Emmanuel Lwele , Sabuni Emmanuel , Sitali Gabriel Sitali

The optimization of a large random portfolio under the Expected Shortfall risk measure with an $\ell_2$ regularizer is carried out by analytical calculation. The regularizer reins in the large sample fluctuations and the concomitant…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Gábor Papp , Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor

Portfolio optimization involves determining the optimal allocation of portfolio assets in order to maximize a given investment objective. Traditionally, some form of mean-variance optimization is used with the aim of maximizing returns…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Fernando Acero , Parisa Zehtabi , Nicolas Marchesotti , Michael Cashmore , Daniele Magazzeni , Manuela Veloso