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Sampling the collective, dynamical fluctuations that lead to nonequilibrium pattern formation requires probing rare regions of trajectory space. Recent approaches to this problem based on importance sampling, cloning, and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Jiawei Yan , Hugo Touchette , Grant M. Rotskoff

Modeling dynamical systems and unraveling their underlying causal relationships is central to many domains in the natural sciences. Various physical systems, such as those arising in cell biology, are inherently high-dimensional and…

Physically motivated stochastic dynamics are often used to sample from high-dimensional distributions. However such dynamics often get stuck in specific regions of their state space and mix very slowly to the desired stationary state. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Abhijith Jayakumar , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

In simulations of multiscale dynamical systems, not all relevant processes can be resolved explicitly. Taking the effect of the unresolved processes into account is important, which introduces the need for paramerizations. We present a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Daan Crommelin , Wouter Edeling

Critical points separate distinct dynamical regimes of complex systems, often delimiting functional or macroscopic phases in which the system operates. However, the long-term prediction of critical regimes and behaviors is challenging given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-15 Xiangrong Wang , Dan Lu , Zongze Wu , Weina Xu , Hongru Hou , Yanqing Hu , Yamir Moreno

Our study focuses on fractional order compartment models derived from underlying physical stochastic processes, providing a more physically grounded approach compared to models that use the dynamical system approach by simply replacing…

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

A conceptual model for microscopic-macroscopic slow-fast stochastic systems is considered. A dynamical reduction procedure is presented in order to extract effective dynamics for this kind of systems. Under appropriate assumptions, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Jian Ren , Hongbo Fu , Daomin Cao , Jinqiao Duan

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

Recent years have seen a lot of progress in algorithms for learning parameters of spreading dynamics from both full and partial data. Some of the remaining challenges include model selection under the scenarios of unknown network structure,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Mateusz Wilinski , Andrey Y. Lokhov

We analyst in detail a new approach to the monitoring and forecasting of the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems (see Phys. Rev. Lett . vol. 113, 264102 (2014)) by application to the Tangled Nature Model of evolutionary…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-08-03 Duccio Piovani , Jelena Grujic , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

In science, we are often interested in obtaining a generative model of the underlying system dynamics from observed time series. While powerful methods for dynamical systems reconstruction (DSR) exist when data come from a single domain,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Manuel Brenner , Elias Weber , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

We study the dynamics of supervised learning in layered neural networks, in the regime where the size $p$ of the training set is proportional to the number $N$ of inputs. Here the local fields are no longer described by Gaussian probability…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 A. C. C. Coolen , D. Saad

Complex chaotic dynamics, seen in natural and industrial systems like turbulent flows and weather patterns, often span vast spatial domains with interactions across scales. Accurately capturing these features requires a high-dimensional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-03 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

A properly designed controller can help improve the quality of experimental measurements or force a dynamical system to follow a completely new time-evolution path. Recent developments in deep reinforcement learning have made steep advances…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-26 Ruslan Mukhamadiarov