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Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is an essential problem in many fields. Accurate forecasting results can effectively help decision-making. To date, many MTS forecasting methods have been proposed and widely applied. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yida Huang , Jie Feng , Yueyang Wang

Data-driven societal event forecasting methods exploit relevant historical information to predict future events. These methods rely on historical labeled data and cannot accurately predict events when data are limited or of poor quality.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Songgaojun Deng , Huzefa Rangwala , Yue Ning

Temporal knowledge graphs, representing the dynamic relationships and interactions between entities over time, have been identified as a promising approach for event forecasting. However, a limitation of most temporal knowledge graph…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Yi Xu , Junjie Ou , Hui Xu , Luoyi Fu , Lei Zhou , Xinbing Wang , Chenghu Zhou

Understanding causality between real-world events from social media is essential for situational awareness, yet existing causal discovery methods often overlook the interplay between semantic, spatial, and temporal contexts. We propose…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Hieu Duong , Eugene Levin , Todd Gary , Long Nguyen

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of deep-learning-based, graph-neural-network-based forecasting methods for modern intelligent transportation systems. However, most existing work focuses exclusively on capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Lixiang Fan , Bohao Li , Tao Zou , Junchen Ye , Bowen Du

Urban spatio-temporal prediction under extreme conditions (e.g., heavy rain) is challenging due to event rarity and dynamics. Existing data-driven approaches that incorporate weather as auxiliary input often rely on coarse-grained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Qian Hong , Siyuan Chang , Xiao Zhou

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is foundational to pervasive computing and financial analysis, yet existing multi-scale paradigms are often constrained by suboptimal representation fidelity. We identify two critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Fan Zhang , Yating Cui , Hua Wang

Predictive Business Process Monitoring (PBPM) aims to forecast future events in ongoing cases based on historical event logs. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are well suited to capture structural dependencies in process data, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Fang Wang , Ernesto Damiani

Traffic prediction is pivotal for rational transportation supply scheduling and allocation. Existing researches into short-term traffic prediction, however, face challenges in adequately addressing exceptional circumstances and integrating…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Xiannan Huang

Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated great potential in various data mining tasks, such as knowledge question answering, mathematical reasoning, and commonsense reasoning. However, the reasoning capability of LLMs on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-22 He Chang , Chenchen Ye , Zhulin Tao , Jie Wu , Zhengmao Yang , Yunshan Ma , Xianglin Huang , Tat-Seng Chua

Causality is essential for understanding complex systems, such as the economy, the brain, and the climate. Constructing causal graphs often relies on either data-driven or expert-driven approaches, both fraught with challenges. The former…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kai-Hendrik Cohrs , Gherardo Varando , Emiliano Diaz , Vasileios Sitokonstantinou , Gustau Camps-Valls

Event detection and text reasoning have become critical applications across various domains. While LLMs have recently demonstrated impressive progress in reasoning abilities, they often struggle with event detection, particularly due to the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Mazal Bethany , Emet Bethany , Brandon Wherry , Cho-Yu Chiang , Nishant Vishwamitra , Anthony Rios , Peyman Najafirad

Traffic forecasting is a challenging problem due to complex road networks and sudden speed changes caused by various events on roads. A number of models have been proposed to solve this challenging problem with a focus on learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Hyunwook Lee , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Hongkyu Lim , Sungahn Ko

The efficient exchange of information is an essential aspect of intelligent collective behavior. Event-triggered control and estimation achieve some efficiency by replacing continuous data exchange between agents with intermittent, or…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-04-30 Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Causal structure learning (CSL) refers to the task of learning causal relationships from data. Advances in CSL now allow learning of causal graphs in diverse application domains, which has the potential to facilitate data-driven causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-09 Luka Kovačević , Izzy Newsham , Sach Mukherjee , John Whittaker

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as powerful representation learning tools for capturing complex dependencies within diverse graph-structured data. Despite their success in a wide range of graph mining tasks, GNNs have raised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Wenzhao Jiang , Hao Liu , Hui Xiong

Streamflow plays an essential role in the sustainable planning and management of national water resources. Traditional hydrologic modeling approaches simulate streamflow by establishing connections across multiple physical processes, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Shu Wan , Reepal Shah , Qi Deng , John Sabo , Huan Liu , K. Selçuk

This study examines the feasibility of applying large language models (LLMs) for forecasting the impact of traffic incidents on the traffic flow. The use of LLMs for this task has several advantages over existing machine learning-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-08 George Jagadeesh , Srikrishna Iyer , Michal Polanowski , Kai Xin Thia

Although existing machine learning-based methods for traffic accident analysis can provide good quality results to downstream tasks, they lack interpretability which is crucial for this critical problem. This paper proposes an interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Tong Yuan , Jian Yang , Zeyi Wen

The exploration of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for processing graph-structured data has expanded, particularly their potential for causal analysis due to their universal approximation capabilities. Anticipated to significantly enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Simi Job , Xiaohui Tao , Taotao Cai , Lin Li , Haoran Xie , Jianming Yong