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We consider panel data models where coefficients change smoothly over time and follow a latent group structure, being homogeneous within but heterogeneous across groups. To jointly estimate the group membership and group-specific…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-19 Paul Haimerl , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

Panel data analysis is an important topic in statistics and econometrics. Traditionally, in panel data analysis, all individuals are assumed to share the same unknown parameters, e.g. the same coefficients of covariates when the linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Heng Lian , Xinghao Qiao , Wenyang Zhang

Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-05 Erniel B. Barrios , Paolo Victor T. Redondo

This paper considers the inference of trends in multiple, nonstationary time series. To test whether trends are parallel to each other, we use a parallelism index based on the L2-distances between nonparametric trend estimators and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 David Degras , Zhiwei Xu , Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

A recent literature in econometrics models unobserved cross-sectional heterogeneity in panel data by assigning each cross-sectional unit a one-dimensional, discrete latent type. Such models have been shown to allow estimation and inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-31 Max Cytrynbaum

We review recent developments in detecting and estimating multiple change-points in time series models with exogenous and endogenous regressors, panel data models, and factor models. This review differs from others in multiple ways: (1) it…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Otilia Boldea , Alastair R. Hall

We study stochastic particle systems made up of heterogeneous units. We introduce a general framework suitable to analytically study this kind of systems and apply it to two particular models of interest in economy and epidemiology. We show…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-02-06 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

This paper introduces unit-specific heterogeneity in panel data threshold regression. We develop the asymptotic theory for models with heterogeneous thresholds, heterogeneous slope coefficients, and interactive fixed effects. The estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Marco Barassi , Yiannis Karavias , Chongxian Zhu

Modelling and forecasting homogeneous age-specific mortality rates of multiple countries could lead to improvements in long-term forecasting. Data fed into joint models are often grouped according to nominal attributes, such as geographic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-05 Chen Tang , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

This paper studies new tests for the number of latent factors in a large cross-sectional factor model with small time dimension. These tests are based on the eigenvalues of variance-covariance matrices of (possibly weighted) asset returns,…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-31 Alain-Philippe Fortin , Patrick Gagliardini , Olivier Scaillet

We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive performance of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and empirical Bayes estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-30 M. Hashem Pesaran , Andreas Pick , Allan Timmermann

We propose a change-point detection method for large scale multiple testing problems with data having clustered signals. Unlike the classic change-point setup, the signals can vary in size within a cluster. The clustering structure on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Hongyuan Cao , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper we consider a Lagrange Multiplier-type test (LM) to detect change in the mean of time series with heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We derive the limiting distribution under the null, and prove the consistency of the test…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-02 Mohamed Boutahar

This paper studies semiparametric identification of substitution and complementarity patterns between two goods using a panel multinomial choice model with bundles. The model allows the two goods to be either substitutes or complements and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-04 Rui Wang

This paper proposes a model-free approach to analyze panel data with heterogeneous dynamic structures across observational units. We first compute the sample mean, autocovariances, and autocorrelations for each unit, and then estimate the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-16 Ryo Okui , Takahide Yanagi

Consider a panel data setting where repeated observations on individuals are available. Often it is reasonable to assume that there exist groups of individuals that share similar effects of observed characteristics, but the grouping is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Lu Yu , Jiaying Gu , Stanislav Volgushev

Clustering methods such as k-means have found widespread use in a variety of applications. This paper proposes a formal testing procedure to determine whether a null hypothesis of a single cluster, indicating homogeneity of the data, can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-18 Andrew J. Patton , Brian M. Weller

In this paper we examine the existence of heterogeneity within a group, in panels with latent grouping structure. The assumption of within group homogeneity is prevalent in this literature, implying that the formation of groups alleviates…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-30 Katerina Chrysikou , George Kapetanios

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

In this paper, we propose a class of low-rank panel quantile regression models which allow for unobserved slope heterogeneity over both individuals and time. We estimate the heterogeneous intercept and slope matrices via nuclear norm…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-21 Yiren Wang , Liangjun Su , Yichong Zhang