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Stochastic differential equations play an important role in various applications when modeling systems that have either random perturbations or chaotic dynamics at faster time scales. The time evolution of the probability distribution of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Yao Li , Caleb Meredith

Computing the invariant probability measure of a randomly perturbed dynamical system usually means solving the stationary Fokker-Planck equation. This paper studies several key properties of a novel data-driven solver for low-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Matthew Dobson , Yao Li , Jiayu Zhai

We propose a data-driven approach for propagating uncertainty in stochastic power grid simulations and apply it to the estimation of transmission line failure probabilities. A reduced-order equation governing the evolution of the observed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Hongli Zhao , Tyler E. Maltba , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Inferring the driving equations of a dynamical system from population or time-course data is important in several scientific fields such as biochemistry, epidemiology, financial mathematics and many others. Despite the existence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Anastasios Tsourtis , Yannis Pantazis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

The time evolution of the probability distribution of a stochastic differential equation follows the Fokker-Planck equation, which usually has an unbounded, high-dimensional domain. Inspired by our early study in \cite{li2018data}, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Jiayu Zhai , Matthew Dobson , Yao Li

Periodically driven flows are fundamental models of chaotic behavior and the study of their transport properties is an active area of research. A well-known analytic construction is the augmentation of phase space with an additional time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-06 Gary Froyland , Péter Koltai

In this paper, a data-driven nonparametric approach is presented for forecasting the probability density evolution of stochastic dynamical systems. The method is based on stochastic Koopman operator and extended dynamic mode decomposition…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Meng Zhao , Lijian Jiang

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

The method of choice for integrating the time-dependent Fokker-Planck equation in high-dimension is to generate samples from the solution via integration of the associated stochastic differential equation. Here, we study an alternative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

This work recasts time-dependent optimal control problems governed by partial differential equations in a Dynamic Mode Decomposition with control framework. Indeed, since the numerical solution of such problems requires a lot of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Eleonora Donadini , Maria Strazzullo , Marco Tezzele , Gianluigi Rozza

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

Periodic measures are the time-periodic counterpart to invariant measures for dynamical systems and can be used to characterise the long-term periodic behaviour of stochastic systems. This paper gives sufficient conditions for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Chunrong Feng , Huaizhong Zhao , Johnny Zhong

We present a model-based output-only method for identifying from time series the parameters governing the dynamics of stochastically forced oscillators. In this context, suitable models of the oscillator's damping and stiffness properties…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-04 Edouard Boujo , Nicolas Noiray

The Fokker-Planck equations describe time evolution of probability densities of stochastic dynamical systems and are thus widely used to quantify random phenomena such as uncertainty propagation. For dynamical systems driven by non-Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Xu Sun , Jinqiao Duan

Many stochastic optimization problems include chance constraints that enforce constraint satisfaction with a specific probability; however, solving an optimization problem with chance constraints assumes that the solver has access to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Joshua Comden , Ahmed S. Zamzam , Andrey Bernstein

Statistical (machine learning) tools for equation discovery require large amounts of data that are typically computer generated rather than experimentally observed. Multiscale modeling and stochastic simulations are two areas where learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Joseph Bakarji , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

This paper studies computational methods for quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs). We first proposed a data-driven solver that solves Fokker-Planck equations for QSDs. Similar as the case of Fokker-Planck equations for invariant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Yao Li , Yaping Yuan

Time-resolved single-cell omics data offers high-throughput, genome-wide measurements of cellular states, which are instrumental to reverse-engineer the processes underpinning cell fate. Such technologies are inherently destructive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Stephen Zhang , Suryanarayana Maddu , Xiaojie Qiu , Victor Chardès

The probability density function of stochastic differential equations is governed by the Fokker-Planck (FP) equation. A novel machine learning method is developed to solve the general FP equations based on deep neural networks. The proposed…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-19 Yong Xu , Hao Zhang , Yongge Li , Kuang Zhou , Qi Liu , Jürgen Kurths
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