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In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting observations generated online by an unknown, partially observed linear system, which is driven by stochastic noise. For such systems the optimal predictor in the mean square sense is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Anastasios Tsiamis , George Pappas

We consider the problem of online prediction in a marginally stable linear dynamical system subject to bounded adversarial or (non-isotropic) stochastic perturbations. This poses two challenges. Firstly, the system is in general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Udaya Ghai , Holden Lee , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang , Yi Zhang

We study optimal regret bounds for control in linear dynamical systems under adversarially changing strongly convex cost functions, given the knowledge of transition dynamics. This includes several well studied and fundamental frameworks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Naman Agarwal , Elad Hazan , Karan Singh

We study online prediction for marginally stable, partially observed linear dynamical systems under nonstochastic disturbances. Our objective is to minimize the cumulative squared prediction loss and compete with the best-in-hindsight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Chih-Fan Pai , Yang Zheng

We consider the problem of online prediction for an unknown, non-explosive linear stochastic system. With a known system model, the optimal predictor is the celebrated Kalman filter. In the case of unknown systems, existing approaches based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

In this paper, we study the problem of learning Kalman filtering with unknown system model in partially observed linear dynamical systems. We propose a unified algorithmic framework based on online optimization that can be used to solve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Lintao Ye , Ankang Zhang , Ming Chi , Bin Du , Jianghai Hu

We introduce a new algorithm for online linear-quadratic control in a known system subject to adversarial disturbances. Existing regret bounds for this setting scale as $\sqrt{T}$ unless strong stochastic assumptions are imposed on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Dylan J. Foster , Max Simchowitz

The problem of regret minimization for online adaptive control of linear-quadratic systems is studied. In this problem, the true system transition parameters (matrices $A$ and $B$) are unknown, and the objective is to design and analyze…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Mohammad Akbari , Bahman Gharesifard , Tamas Linder

We study the decades-old problem of online portfolio management and propose the first algorithm with logarithmic regret that is not based on Cover's Universal Portfolio algorithm and admits much faster implementation. Specifically Universal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Haipeng Luo , Chen-Yu Wei , Kai Zheng

We consider the problem of online learning in Linear Quadratic Control systems whose state transition and state-action transition matrices $A$ and $B$ may be initially unknown. We devise an online learning algorithm and provide guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

An online policy learning problem of linear control systems is studied. In this problem, the control system is known and linear, and a sequence of quadratic cost functions is revealed to the controller in hindsight, and the controller…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Mohammad Akbari , Bahman Gharesifard , Tamas Linder

We consider the problem of learning in Linear Quadratic Control systems whose transition parameters are initially unknown. Recent results in this setting have demonstrated efficient learning algorithms with regret growing with the square…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Asaf Cassel , Alon Cohen , Tomer Koren

A natural goal when designing online learning algorithms for non-stationary environments is to bound the regret of the algorithm in terms of the temporal variation of the input sequence. Intuitively, when the variation is small, it should…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Gautam Goel , Babak Hassibi

For each of $T$ time steps, $m$ experts report probability distributions over $n$ outcomes; we wish to learn to aggregate these forecasts in a way that attains a no-regret guarantee. We focus on the fundamental and practical aggregation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Eric Neyman , Tim Roughgarden

In online learning the performance of an algorithm is typically compared to the performance of a fixed function from some class, with a quantity called regret. Forster proposed a last-step min-max algorithm which was somewhat simpler than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-28 Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

We consider the setting of online logistic regression and consider the regret with respect to the 2-ball of radius B. It is known (see [Hazan et al., 2014]) that any proper algorithm which has logarithmic regret in the number of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Rémi Jézéquel , Pierre Gaillard , Alessandro Rudi

This paper studies the online optimal control problem with time-varying convex stage costs for a time-invariant linear dynamical system, where a finite lookahead window of accurate predictions of the stage costs are available at each time.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Yingying Li , Xin Chen , Na Li

We consider the problem of online linear regression in the stochastic setting. We derive high probability regret bounds for online ridge regression and the forward algorithm. This enables us to compare online regression algorithms more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Reda Ouhamma , Odalric Maillard , Vianney Perchet

We investigate the problem of online learning, which has gained significant attention in recent years due to its applicability in a wide range of fields from machine learning to game theory. Specifically, we study the online optimization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

We study nonstationary Online Linear Programming (OLP), where $n$ orders arrive sequentially with reward-resource consumption pairs that form a sequence of independent, but not necessarily identically distributed, random vectors. At the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Haoran Xu , Owen Shen , Peter Glynn , Yinyu Ye , Patrick Jaillet
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