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We consider a fundamental open problem in parametric Bayesian theory, namely the validity of the formal Edgeworth expansion of the posterior density. While the study of valid asymptotic expansions for posterior distributions constitutes a…
The empirical Wasserstein projection (WP) distance quantifies the Wasserstein distance from the empirical distribution to a set of probability measures satisfying given expectation constraints. The WP is a powerful tool because it mitigates…
We prove that certain asymptotic moments exist for some random distance expanding dynamical systems and Markov chains in random dynamical environment, and compute them in terms of the derivatives at the $0$ of an appropriate pressure…
We present a maximal class of analytic functions, elements of which are in one-to-one correspondence with their asymptotic expansions. In recent decades it has been realized (B. Malgrange, J. Ecalle, J.-P. Ramis, Y. Sibuya et al.), that the…
We extend the empirical likelihood of Owen [Ann. Statist. 18 (1990) 90-120] by partitioning its domain into the collection of its contours and mapping the contours through a continuous sequence of similarity transformations onto the full…
As an application of Stein's method for Poisson approximation, we prove rates of convergence for the tail probabilities of two scan statistics that have been suggested for detecting local signals in sequences of independent random variables…
We obtain Stein approximation bounds for stochastic integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure over ${\Bbb R}^d$, $d\geq 2$. This approach relies on third cumulant Edgeworth-type expansions based on derivation operators defined by…
Let $\boldsymbol{\xi}=(\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_m)$ be a negatively associated mean zero random vector with components that obey the bound $|\xi_i| \le B, i=1,\ldots,m$, and whose sum $W = \sum_{i=1}^m \xi_i$ has variance 1, the bound \[…
Let $\{X_i\}_{i=-\infty}^{\infty}$ be a sequence of random vectors and $Y_{in}=f_{in}(\mathcal{X}_{i,\ell})$ be zero mean block-variables where $\mathcal{X}_{i,\ell}=(X_i,...,X_{i+\ell-1}),i\geq 1$, are overlapping blocks of length $\ell$…
This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…
Since the introduction of Stein's method in the early 1970s, much research has been done in extending and strengthening it; however, there does not exist a version of Stein's original method of exchangeable pairs for multivariate normal…
It has become standard for empirical studies to conduct inference robust to cluster dependence and heterogeneity. With a small number of clusters, the normal approximation for the $t$-statistics of regression coefficients may be poor. This…
This article proposes an improved version of the Spearman rank correlation based on using Wilcoxon rank score function. A smoothed empirical cumulative distribution function (ecdf)computes the smoothed ranks and replaces the regular ranks…
The question of testing for equality in distribution between two linear models, each consisting of sums of distinct discrete independent random variables with unequal numbers of observations, has emerged from the biological research. In…
We extend the celebrated Stone's theorem to the framework of distributional regression. More precisely, we prove that weighted empirical distribution with local probability weights satisfying the conditions of Stone's theorem provide…
Testing equality of mean vectors is a very commonly used criterion when comparing two multivariate random variables. Traditional tests such as Hotelling's T-squared become either unusable or output small power when the number of variables…
We apply the methods of ergodic theory to both simplify and significantly extend some classical results due to Stewart, Tijdeman, and Ruzsa. One of the notable features of our approach is the utilization of pointwise ergodic theory.
A statistical method for the elicitation of priors in Bayesian generalised linear models (GLMs) and extensions is proposed. Probabilistic predictions are elicited from the expert to parametrise a multivariate t prior distribution for the…
We consider random walk among iid, uniformly elliptic conductances on $\mathbb Z^d$, and prove the Einstein relation (see Theorem 1). It says that the derivative of the velocity of a biased walk as a function of the bias equals the…
This paper presents a procedure for testing the hypothesis that the underlying distribution of the data is elliptical when using robust location and scatter estimators instead of the sample mean and covariance matrix. Under mild assumptions…