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Learning with rejection is an important framework that can refrain from making predictions to avoid critical mispredictions by balancing between prediction and rejection. Previous studies on cost-based rejection only focused on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Xin Cheng , Yuzhou Cao , Haobo Wang , Hongxin Wei , Bo An , Lei Feng

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

Datasets are rarely a realistic approximation of the target population. Say, prevalence is misrepresented, image quality is above clinical standards, etc. This mismatch is known as sampling bias. Sampling biases are a major hindrance for…

Conditions ensuring optimal parameter estimation in the presence of missing data are well established in inference, typically relying on the Missing-at-Random (MAR) assumption. In prediction, similar principles are often assumed to apply.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Pierre Catoire , Robin Genuer , Cecile Proust-Lima

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

We propose a structural equation model, which reduces to a multidimensional latent class item response theory model, for the analysis of binary item responses with non-ignorable missingness. The missingness mechanism is driven by two sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-21 Silvia Bacci , Francesco Bartolucci

Covariate adjustment can improve precision in analyzing randomized experiments. With fully observed data, regression adjustment and propensity score weighting are asymptotically equivalent in improving efficiency over unadjusted analysis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-06 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding , Fan Li

Predictive mean matching (PMM) is a popular imputation strategy that imputes missing values by borrowing observed values from other cases with similar expectations. We show that, unlike other imputation strategies, PMM is not guaranteed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Paul T. von Hippel

Case-control sampling is a commonly used retrospective sampling design to alleviate imbalanced structure of binary data. When fitting the logistic regression model with case-control data, although the slope parameter of the model can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-03 Hengchao Shi , Xinyi Liu , Ming Zheng , Wen Yu

Longitudinal studies of a binary outcome are common in the health, social, and behavioral sciences. In general, a feature of random effects logistic regression models for longitudinal binary data is that the marginal functional form, when…

Methods to correct class imbalance, i.e. imbalance between the frequency of outcome events and non-events, are receiving increasing interest for developing prediction models. We examined the effect of imbalance correction on the performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-21 Ruben van den Goorbergh , Maarten van Smeden , Dirk Timmerman , Ben Van Calster

Missing values are unavoidable in many applications of machine learning and present challenges both during training and at test time. When variables are missing in recurring patterns, fitting separate pattern submodels have been proposed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Lena Stempfle , Ashkan Panahi , Fredrik D. Johansson

Biomedical studies have a common interest in assessing relationships between multiple related health outcomes and high-dimensional predictors. For example, in reproductive epidemiology, one may collect pregnancy outcomes such as length of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-11-24 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson , Allison E. Ashley-Koch

By recasting indirect inference estimation as a prediction rather than a minimization and by using regularized regressions, we can bypass the three major problems of estimation: selecting the summary statistics, defining the distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-04 Ernesto Carrella , Richard M. Bailey , Jens Koed Madsen

Missing data is a common problem in medical research, and is commonly addressed using multiple imputation. Although traditional imputation methods allow for valid statistical inference when data are missing at random (MAR), their…

Should prediction models always deliver a prediction? In the pursuit of maximum predictive performance, critical considerations of reliability and fairness are often overshadowed, particularly when it comes to the role of uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Anna Sokol , Nuno Moniz , Nitesh Chawla

We consider the problem of online learning with non-convex losses. In terms of feedback, we assume that the learner observes - or otherwise constructs - an inexact model for the loss function encountered at each stage, and we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Amélie Héliou , Matthieu Martin , Panayotis Mertikopoulos , Thibaud Rahier

The standard linear and logistic regression models assume that the response variables are independent, but share the same linear relationship to their corresponding vectors of covariates. The assumption that the response variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Ioannis Panageas

External information, such as prior information or expert opinions, can play an important role in the design, analysis and interpretation of clinical trials. However, little attention has been devoted thus far to incorporating external…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-24 Minge Xie , Regina Y. Liu , C. V. Damaraju , William H. Olson

Collider bias occurs when conditioning on a common effect (collider) of two variables $X, Y$. In this manuscript, we quantify the collider bias in the estimated association between exposure $X$ and outcome $Y$ induced by selecting on one…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Apostolos Gkatzionis , Shaun R. Seaman , Rachael A. Hughes , Kate Tilling