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We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

Partial Least Squares (PLS) is a widely used method for data integration, designed to extract latent components shared across paired high-dimensional datasets. Despite decades of practical success, a precise theoretical understanding of its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-18 Victor Léger , Florent Chatelain

Partial Least Squares (PLS) learns shared structure from paired data via the top singular vectors of the empirical cross-covariance (PLS-SVD), but multimodal datasets often have missing entries in both views. We study PLS-SVD under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Anders Gjølbye , Ida Kargaard , Emma Kargaard , Lina Skerath , Lars Kai Hansen

Regression with a spherical response is challenging due to the absence of linear structure, making standard regression models inadequate. Existing methods, mainly parametric, lack the flexibility to capture the complex relationship induced…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Houren Hong , Janice L. Scealy , Andrew T. A. Wood , Yanrong Yang

This paper considers a multi-environment linear regression model in which data from multiple experimental settings are collected. The joint distribution of the response variable and covariates may vary across different environments, yet the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Jianqing Fan , Cong Fang , Yihong Gu , Tong Zhang

In fields such as hydrology and climatology, modelling the entire distribution of positive data is essential, as stakeholders require insights into the full range of values, from low to extreme. Traditional approaches often segment the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Carlo Gaetan , Philippe Naveau

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

The partial least squares algorithm for dependent data realisations is considered. Consequences of ignoring the dependence for the algorithm performance are studied both theoretically and in simulations. It is shown that ignoring certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Marco Singer , Tatyana Krivobokova , Bert L. de Groot , Axel Munk

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Partial Least Squares (PLS) refer to a class of dimension-reduction techniques aiming at the identification of two sets of components with maximal covariance, to model the relationship between two sets of observed variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-23 Lola Etievant , Vivian Viallon

Statistical modeling of high dimensional extremes remains challenging and has generally been limited to moderate dimensions. Understanding structural relationships among variables at their extreme levels is crucial both for constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Mihyun Kim , Jeongjin Lee

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

We provide a rigorous random matrix theory analysis of spiked cross-covariance models where the signals across two high-dimensional data channels are partially aligned. These models are motivated by multi-modal learning and form the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Pierre Mergny , Lenka Zdeborová

A nonlinear model with response variable missing at random is studied. In order to improve the coverage accuracy, the empirical likelihood ratio (EL) method is considered. The asymptotic distribution of EL statistic and also of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-19 Gabriela Ciuperca

Supervised learning by extreme learning machines resp. neural networks with random weights is studied under a non-stationary spatial-temporal sampling design which especially addresses settings where an autonomous object moving in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-02 Ansgar Steland

Expected Shortfall (ES) is a coherent measure of tail risk that captures the average loss beyond a quantile threshold. Despite the growing literature on ES regression conditional on covariates, no existing work considers ES modeling in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Yujie Hou , Xinbing Kong , Yalin Wang , Bin Wu

This paper presents a novel semiparametric method to study the effects of extreme events on binary outcomes and subsequently forecast future outcomes. Our approach, based on Bayes' theorem and regularly varying (RV) functions, facilitates a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Laura Liu , Yulong Wang

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of continuous variable models can be very challenging in high dimensions, due to potentially complex probability distributions. The existence of multiple interdependencies among variables can make it very…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser