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The goal of nonparametric regression is to recover an underlying regression function from noisy observations, under the assumption that the regression function belongs to a pre-specified infinite dimensional function space. In the online…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Tianyu Zhang , Noah Simon

We present online prediction methods for time series that let us explicitly handle nonstationary artifacts (e.g. trend and seasonality) present in most real time series. Specifically, we show that applying appropriate transformations to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-28 Christopher Xie , Avleen Bijral , Juan Lavista Ferres

We propose a method for constructing sparse high-frequency volatility estimators that are robust against change points in the spot volatility process. The estimators we propose are $\ell_1$-regularized versions of existing volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-02 Greeshma Balabhadra , El Mehdi Ainasse , Pawel Polak

We propose a novel spectral generative modeling framework for natural language processing that jointly learns a global time varying Fourier dictionary and per token mixing coefficients, replacing the ubiquitous self attention mechanism in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Andrew Kiruluta

Decomposing a complex time series into trend, seasonality, and remainder components is an important primitive that facilitates time series anomaly detection, change point detection, and forecasting. Although numerous batch algorithms are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Abhinav Mishra , Ram Sriharsha , Sichen Zhong

This paper proposes a novel memory-based online video representation that is efficient, accurate and predictive. This is in contrast to prior works that often rely on computationally heavy 3D convolutions, ignore actual motion when aligning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Tuan-Hung Vu , Wongun Choi , Samuel Schulter , Manmohan Chandraker

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

We introduce a model of online algorithms subject to strict constraints on data retention. An online learning algorithm encounters a stream of data points, one per round, generated by some stationary process. Crucially, each data point can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier , Markus Mobius , James Siderius

A central challenge in continual learning is forgetting, the loss of performance on previously learned tasks induced by sequential adaptation to new ones. While forgetting has been extensively studied empirically, rigorous theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Zonghuan Xu , Xingjun Ma

We propose a novel approach for density estimation called histogram trend filtering. Our estimator arises from looking at surrogate Poisson model for counts of observations in a partition of the support of the data. We begin by showing…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-09 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

It is crucially important to estimate unknown parameters in earth system models by integrating observation and numerical simulation. For many applications in earth system sciences, an optimization method which allows parameters to…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Yohei Sawada

We develop an online gradient algorithm for optimizing the performance of product-form networks through online adjustment of control parameters. The use of standard algorithms for finding optimal parameter settings is hampered by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Jaron Sanders , Sem C. Borst , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

We introduce a new method for high-dimensional, online changepoint detection in settings where a $p$-variate Gaussian data stream may undergo a change in mean. The procedure works by performing likelihood ratio tests against simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Yudong Chen , Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

We study an online linear regression setting in which the observed feature vectors are corrupted by noise and the learner can pay to reduce the noise level. In practice, this may happen for several reasons: for example, because features can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Nadav Merlis , Kyoungseok Jang , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

Many real-life dynamical systems change abruptly followed by almost stationary periods. In this paper, we consider streams of data with such abrupt behavior and investigate the problem of tracking their statistical properties in an online…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-16 Hugo Lewi Hammer , Anis Yazidi

The ability to promptly respond to environmental changes is crucial for the perception system of autonomous driving. Recently, a new task called streaming perception was proposed. It jointly evaluate the latency and accuracy into a single…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Changcai Li , Zonghua Gu , Gang Chen , Libo Huang , Wei Zhang , Huihui Zhou

In the flourishing live streaming industry, accurate recognition of streamers' emotions has become a critical research focus, with profound implications for audience engagement and content optimization. However, precise emotion coding…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Ziqian Lin , Danyang Huang , Ziyu Xiong , Hansheng Wang

Computing the approximate quantiles or ranks of a stream is a fundamental task in data monitoring. Given a stream of elements $x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n$ and a query $x$, a relative-error quantile estimation algorithm can estimate the rank of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Elena Gribelyuk , Pachara Sawettamalya , Hongxun Wu , Huacheng Yu

This paper considers a class of real-time stochastic optimization problems dependent on an unknown probability distribution. In the considered scenario, data is streaming frequently while trying to reach a decision. Thus, we aim to devise a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martinez

We introduce an online outlier detection algorithm to detect outliers in a sequentially observed data stream. For this purpose, we use a two-stage filtering and hedging approach. In the first stage, we construct a multi-modal probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-13 Mohammadreza Mohaghegh Neyshabouri , Suleyman Serdar Kozat