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Estimation of large covariance matrices has drawn considerable recent attention, and the theoretical focus so far has mainly been on developing a minimax theory over a fixed parameter space. In this paper, we consider adaptive covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-05 T. Tony Cai , Ming Yuan

Urban street networks of unplanned or self-organized cities typically exhibit astonishing scale-free patterns. This scale-freeness can be shown, within the maximum entropy formalism (MaxEnt), as the manifestation of a fluctuating system…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-04 Jerome Benoit , Saif Eddin Jabari

We consider in this paper the problem of optimal experiment design where a decision maker can choose which points to sample to obtain an estimate $\hat{\beta}$ of the hidden parameter $\beta^{\star}$ of an underlying linear model. The key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-01 Xavier Fontaine , Pierre Perrault , Michal Valko , Vianney Perchet

Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a versatile algorithm for sampling from target distributions which are not easy to evaluate point-wise. However, pmMH requires good proposal distributions to sample efficiently from the target,…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-30 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

Network representation learning (NRL) technique has been successfully adopted in various data mining and machine learning applications. Random walk based NRL is one popular paradigm, which uses a set of random walks to capture the network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Xingyu Yao , Yingxia Shao , Bin Cui , Lei Chen

The independence sampler is one of the most commonly used MCMC algorithms usually as a component of a Metropolis-within-Gibbs algorithm. The common focus for the independence sampler is on the choice of proposal distribution to obtain an as…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-04 Peter Neal , Clement Lee

To minimize the mean squared error (MSE) in global average treatment effect (GATE) estimation under network interference, a popular approach is to use a cluster-randomized design. However, in the presence of homophily, which is common in…

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, such as the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, are widely used for Bayesian inference. One of the most important issues for any MCMC method is the convergence of the Markov chain, which depends…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-20 Luca Martino , Jesse Read , David Luengo

We construct a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method on finite states with optimal choices of acceptance-rejection ratio functions. We prove that the constructed continuous time Markov jumping process has a global in-time convergence rate in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Wuchen Li , Linyuan Lu

We study the problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a high-dimensional distribution when a small constant fraction of the samples can be arbitrarily corrupted. Recent work gave the first polynomial time algorithms for this problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rong Ge , David Woodruff

The design of experiments involves a compromise between covariate balance and robustness. This paper provides a formalization of this trade-off and describes an experimental design that allows experimenters to navigate it. The design is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-16 Christopher Harshaw , Fredrik Sävje , Daniel Spielman , Peng Zhang

Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation is a powerful tool for studying the equilibrium properties of matter. In complex condensed-phase systems, however, it is difficult to design Monte Carlo moves with high acceptance probabilities that also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Gavin E. Crooks , David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

We study properties of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations of classical spin models with local updates. We derive analytic expressions for the mean value of the acceptance rate of single-spin-flip algorithms for the one-dimensional Ising…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-18 Evgeni Burovski , Wolfhard Janke , Maria Guskova , Lev Shchur

We present a detailed circuit implementation of Szegedy's quantization of the Metropolis-Hastings walk. This quantum walk is usually defined with respect to an oracle. We find that a direct implementation of this oracle requires costly…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-07-01 Jessica Lemieux , Bettina Heim , David Poulin , Krysta Svore , Matthias Troyer

Diffusion limits of MCMC methods in high dimensions provide a useful theoretical tool for studying computational complexity. In particular, they lead directly to precise estimates of the number of steps required to explore the target…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-05 Jonathan C. Mattingly , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew M. Stuart

Estimation of high dimensional covariance matrices is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we propose a dynamic structure and develop an estimation procedure for high dimensional covariance matrices. Asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-05 Shaojun Guo , John Box , Wenyang Zhang

It has been shown that the nonreversible overdamped Langevin dynamics enjoy better convergence properties in terms of spectral gap and asymptotic variance than the reversible one. In this article we propose a variance reduction method for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Romain Poncet

Our article is concerned with adaptive sampling schemes for Bayesian inference that update the proposal densities using previous iterates. We introduce a copula based proposal density which is made more efficient by combining it with…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-26 Ralph Silva , Robert Kohn , Paolo Giordani , Xiuyan Mun

We perform Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian inference of the GJR-GARCH model which is one of asymmetric GARCH models. The adaptive construction scheme is used for the construction of the proposal density in the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-30 Tetsuya Takaishi

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten