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The occurrence of large-scale power outages induced by natural disasters has been on the rise in a changing climate. Such power outages often last extended durations, causing substantial financial losses and socioeconomic impacts to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji , Anwar Walid , Scott Ganz

Extreme weather events, such as severe storms, hurricanes, snowstorms, and ice storms, which are exacerbated by climate change, frequently cause widespread power outages. These outages halt industrial operations, impact communities, damage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xuyang Shen , Zijie Pan , Diego Cerrai , Xinxuan Zhang , Christopher Colorio , Emmanouil N. Anagnostou , Dongjin Song

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

In recent years, increasingly unpredictable and severe global weather patterns have frequently caused long-lasting power outages. Building resilience, the ability to withstand, adapt to, and recover from major disruptions, has become…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu

This paper presents a novel learning based framework for predicting power outages caused by extreme events. The proposed approach targets low-probability high-consequence outage scenarios and leverages a comprehensive set of features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Nina Fatehi , Antar Kumar Biswas , Masoud H. Nazari

Major disasters such as wildfire, tornado, hurricane, tropical storm, flooding cause disruptions in infrastructure systems such as power outage, disruption to water supply system, wastewater management, telecommunication failures, and…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-24 Tasnuba Binte Jamal , Samiul Hasan

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

This paper addresses the problem of predicting duration of unplanned power outages, using historical outage records to train a series of neural network predictors. The initial duration prediction is made based on environmental factors, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Aaron Jaech , Baosen Zhang , Mari Ostendorf , Daniel S. Kirschen

Extreme weather events are increasingly common due to climate change, posing significant risks. To mitigate further damage, a shift towards renewable energy is imperative. Unfortunately, underrepresented communities that are most affected…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Alejandro Aparcedo , Christian Lopez , Abhinav Kotta , Mengjie Li

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for hourly power outage probability prediction within census tracts encompassing a utility company's service territory. Two distinct deep learning models, conditional Multi-Layer Perceptron…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Xuesong Wang , Nina Fatehi , Caisheng Wang , Masoud H. Nazari

Climate-driven power outages pose a growing threat to U.S. grid reliability, yet empirical outage studies and interdependency-based resilience analyses are rarely integrated. This paper presents a data-driven framework that integrates…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yoneke Graham , Gelila Webster , Tina Tran , Sohini Roy

Reliable and accurate wind speed prediction has significant impact in many industrial sectors such as economic, business and management among others. This paper presents a new model for wind speed prediction based on Graph Attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Dogan Aykas , Siamak Mehrkanoon

This paper presents a data-driven approach for quantifying the resilience of distribution power grids to extreme weather events using two key metrics: (a) the number of outages and (b) restoration time. The method leverages historical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Dingwei Wang , Salish Maharjan , Junyuan Zheng , Liming Liu , Zhaoyu Wang

Power outages caused by extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, can significantly disrupt essential services and delay recovery efforts, underscoring the importance of enhancing our infrastructure's resilience. This study investigates…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Avishek Bose , Sangkeun Lee , Narayan Bhusal , Supriya Chinthavali

During major power system disturbances, when multiple component outages occur in rapid succession, it becomes crucial to quickly identify the transmission interconnections that have limited power transfer capability. Understanding the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-04 Reetam Sen Biswas , Anamitra Pal , Trevor Werho , Vijay Vittal

It is estimated that over one-fourth of US households experienced a power outage in 2023, costing on average US $\$150$ Bn annually, with $87\%$ of outages caused by natural hazards. Indeed, numerous studies have examined the macroeconomic…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-29 Matthew Sprintson , Edward Oughton

Recent years have seen a notable increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. With a rising number of power outages caused by these events, accurate prediction of power line outages is essential for safe and reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Xiaolin Chen , Qiuhua Huang , Yuqi Zhou

We consider the problem of predicting power outages in an electrical power grid due to hazards produced by convective storms. These storms produce extreme weather phenomena such as intense wind, tornadoes and lightning over a small area. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung

Almost 90% of the major power outages in the US are caused due to hurricanes. Due to the highly uncertain nature of hurricanes in both spatial and temporal dimensions, it is essential to quantify the effect of such hurricanes on a power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Vishnu Iyengar , Diego Garcia-Camargo , Anamika Dubey

Prediction of power outages caused by convective storms which are highly localised in space and time is of crucial importance to power grid operators. We propose a new machine learning approach to predict the damage caused by storms. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-03 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung
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