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Time series data appears in a variety of applications such as smart transportation and environmental monitoring. One of the fundamental problems for time series analysis is time series forecasting. Despite the success of recent deep time…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Baoyu Jing , Si Zhang , Yada Zhu , Bin Peng , Kaiyu Guan , Andrew Margenot , Hanghang Tong

This study presents a comparative analysis of two objective functions, Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Softmax Cross-Entropy (SCE) for neural network classification tasks. While SCE combined with softmax activation is the conventional choice…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Kanishka Tyagi , Chinmay Rane , Ketaki Vaidya , Jeshwanth Challgundla , Soumitro Swapan Auddy , Michael Manry

Despite significant advancements in time series forecasting, accurate modeling of time series with strong heterogeneity in magnitude and/or sparsity patterns remains challenging for state-of-the-art deep learning architectures. We identify…

LiDAR point cloud compression is vital for autonomous systems to handle massive data from high-resolution sensors. While learned entropy modeling built upon octree structures yields high compression gains, it faces two critical bottlenecks:…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Jiahao Zhu , Kang You , Dandan Ding , Zhan Ma

Off-Policy evaluation (OPE) is concerned with evaluating a new target policy using offline data generated by a potentially different behavior policy. It is critical in a number of sequential decision making problems ranging from healthcare…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Yang Xu , Chengchun Shi , Shikai Luo , Lan Wang , Rui Song

Anomalous sound detection systems must detect unknown, atypical sounds using only normal audio data. Conventional methods use the serial method, a combination of outlier exposure (OE), which classifies normal and pseudo-anomalous data and…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Ibuki Kuroyanagi , Tomoki Hayashi , Kazuya Takeda , Tomoki Toda

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

AutoEncoders (AEs) are commonly used for machine learning tasks due to their intrinsic learning ability. This unique characteristic can be capitalized for Outlier Detection (OD). However conventional AE-based methods face the issue of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Xu Tan , Jiawei Yang , Junqi Chen , Sylwan Rahardja , Susanto Rahardja

We propose a new method to combine adaptive processes with a class of entropy estimators for the case of streams of data. Starting from a first estimation obtained from a batch of initial data, model parameters are estimated at each step by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-15 Mario Angelelli , Enrico Ciavolino , Paola Pasca

Time series forecasting holds significant value in various domains such as economics, traffic, energy, and AIOps, as accurate predictions facilitate informed decision-making. However, the existing Mean Squared Error (MSE) loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xvyuan Liu , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Consistency Models (CM) (Song et al., 2023) accelerate score-based diffusion model sampling at the cost of sample quality but lack a natural way to trade-off quality for speed. To address this limitation, we propose Consistency Trajectory…

Modeling the dynamics of probability distributions from time-dependent data samples is a fundamental problem in many fields, including digital health. The goal is to analyze how the distribution of a biomarker, such as glucose, changes over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-18 Antonio Álvarez-López , Marcos Matabuena

The neural ordinary differential equation (neural ODE) model has attracted increasing attention in time series analysis for its capability to process irregular time steps, i.e., data are not observed over equally-spaced time intervals. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Mingyuan Bai , S. T. Boris Choy , Junping Zhang , Junbin Gao

Deep neural networks have achieved great success in classification tasks during the last years. However, one major problem to the path towards artificial intelligence is the inability of neural networks to accurately detect samples from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Aristotelis-Angelos Papadopoulos , Mohammad Reza Rajati , Nazim Shaikh , Jiamian Wang

Chance-constrained optimization has emerged as a promising framework for managing uncertainties in power systems. This work advances its application to the DC Optimal Power Flow (DC-OPF) model, developing a novel approach to uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Tianyang Yi , D. Adrian Maldonado , Anirudh Subramanyam

We present a new distribution-free conformal prediction algorithm for sequential data (e.g., time series), called the \textit{sequential predictive conformal inference} (\texttt{SPCI}). We specifically account for the nature that time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Previous work shows that adversarially robust generalization requires larger sample complexity, and the same dataset, e.g., CIFAR-10, which enables good standard accuracy may not suffice to train robust models. Since collecting new training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-21 Tianyu Pang , Kun Xu , Yinpeng Dong , Chao Du , Ning Chen , Jun Zhu

Forecasts of product demand are essential for short- and long-term optimization of logistics and production. Thus, the most accurate prediction possible is desirable. In order to optimally train predictive models, the deviation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Dominik Martin , Philipp Spitzer , Niklas Kühl

Predictive clustering trees (PCTs) are a well established generalization of standard decision trees, which can be used to solve a variety of predictive modeling tasks, including structured output prediction. Combining them into ensembles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Tomaž Stepišnik , Dragi Kocev

In this paper, a safe and learning-based control framework for model predictive control (MPC) is proposed to optimize nonlinear systems with a non-differentiable objective function under uncertain environmental disturbances. The control…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Lei Zheng , Rui Yang , Zhixuan Wu , Jiesen Pan , Hui Cheng
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