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Invoking the manifold assumption in machine learning requires knowledge of the manifold's geometry and dimension, and theory dictates how many samples are required. However, in applications data are limited, sampling may not be uniform, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Luciano Dyballa , Steven W. Zucker

Phase retrieval can be expressed as one non-convex constrained optimization problem to identify one phase minimizer in the primal space. Many iterative transform techniques have been proposed to identify the minimizer, e.g., relaxed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Pengwen Chen

We investigate the problem of statistical inference for logistic regression with high-dimensional covariates in settings where dependence among individuals is induced by an underlying Markov random field. Going beyond the pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Josh Miles , Sohom Bhattacharya

An important problem in the field of bioinformatics is to identify interactive effects among profiled variables for outcome prediction. In this paper, a logistic regression model with pairwise interactions among a set of binary covariates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Easton Li Xu , Xiaoning Qian , Tie Liu , Shuguang Cui

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

Most machine learning methods assume fixed probability distributions, limiting their applicability in nonstationary real-world scenarios. While continual learning methods address this issue, current approaches often rely on black-box models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Yan V. G. Ferreira , Igor B. Lima , Pedro H. G. Mapa S. , Felipe V. Campos , Antonio P. Braga

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

Existing causal inference (CI) models are often restricted to data with low-dimensional confounders and singleton actions. We propose an autoregressive (AR) CI framework capable of handling complex confounders and sequential actions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Daniel Jiwoong Im , Kevin Zhang , Nakul Verma , Kyunghyun Cho

There has been an enormous interest in analysing and modelling periodic time series. The research on periodically integrated autoregressive (PIAR) models which capture the periodic structure and the presence of unit roots is widely applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Yueyun Zhu , Georgi N. Boshnakov

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

Most time-series models assume that the data come from observations that are equally spaced in time. However, this assumption does not hold in many diverse scientific fields, such as astronomy, finance, and climatology, among others. There…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-17 Felipe Elorrieta , Susana Eyheramendy , Wilfredo Palma

Classical geostatistical methods face serious computational challenges if they are confronted with large sets of spatially distributed data. We present a simplified stochastic local interaction (SLI) model for computationally efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Dionissios T. Hristopulos , Andreas Pavlides , Vasiliki D. Agou , Panagiota Gkafa

We are interested in parallelizing the Least Angle Regression (LARS) algorithm for fitting linear regression models to high-dimensional data. We consider two parallel and communication avoiding versions of the basic LARS algorithm. The two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 S. Das , J. Demmel , K. Fountoulakis , L. Grigori , M. W. Mahoney , S. Yang

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is introduced. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex networked system. This new formulation allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

Modeling high-dimensional time series with simple structures is a challenging problem. This paper proposes a network double autoregression (NDAR) model, which combines the advantages of network structure and the double autoregression (DAR)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Tingting Li , Hao Wang

The asymptotic behavior of estimates and information criteria in linear models are studied in the context of hierarchically correlated sampling units. The work is motivated by biological data collected on species where autocorrelation is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Cécile Ané

A locally iterative learning (LIL) rule is adapted to a model of the associative memory based on the evolving recurrent-type neural networks composed of growing neurons. There exist extremely different scale parameters of time, the…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 Sh. Fujita , H. Nishimura

Many areas of research are characterised by the deluge of large-scale highly-dimensional time-series data. However, using the data available for prediction and decision making is hampered by the current lag in our ability to uncover and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Zina Ibrahim , Honghan Wu , Richard Dobson

We study low-rank matrix regression in settings where matrix-valued predictors and scalar responses are observed across multiple individuals. Rather than assuming a fully homogeneous coefficient matrices across individuals, we accommodate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Wenyang Zhang