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We propose two robust methods for testing hypotheses on unknown parameters of predictive regression models under heterogeneous and persistent volatility as well as endogenous, persistent and/or fat-tailed regressors and errors. The proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-25 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

We propose a residual randomization procedure designed for robust Lasso-based inference in the high-dimensional setting. Compared to earlier work that focuses on sub-Gaussian errors, the proposed procedure is designed to work robustly in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 Y. Samuel Wang , Si Kai Lee , Panos Toulis , Mladen Kolar

High-dimensional data subject to heavy-tailed phenomena and heterogeneity are commonly encountered in various scientific fields and bring new challenges to the classical statistical methods. In this paper, we combine the asymmetric square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

This paper presents robust inference methods for general linear hypotheses in linear panel data models with latent group structure in the coefficients. We employ a selective conditional inference approach, deriving the conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Oguzhan Akgun , Ryo Okui

Robust regression aims to develop methods for estimating an unknown regression function in the presence of outliers, heavy-tailed distributions, or contaminated data, which can severely impact performance. Most existing theoretical results…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-27 Hongwei Wen , Annika Betken , Wouter Koolen

Testing high-dimensional quantile regression coefficients is crucial, as tail quantiles often reveal more than the mean in many practical applications. Nevertheless, the sparsity pattern of the alternative hypothesis is typically unknown in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Ping Zhao , Zhenyu Liu , Dan Zhuang

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) provide a powerful framework for modeling dynamic systems arising in a wide range of scientific domains. However, most existing ODE methods focus on a single system, and do not adequately address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Shuoxun Xu , Zijian Guo , Brooke R. Staveland , Robert T. Knight , Lexin Li

Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is well-known to be susceptible to outliers. Robust process regression models based on t-process or other heavy-tailed processes have been developed to address the problem. However, due to the nature…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Wang Zhanfeng , Noh Maengseok , Lee Youngjo , Shi Jianqing

We propose statistically robust and computationally efficient linear learning methods in the high-dimensional batch setting, where the number of features $d$ may exceed the sample size $n$. We employ, in a generic learning setting, two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Ibrahim Merad , Stéphane Gaïffas

Linear regression with the classical normality assumption for the error distribution may lead to an undesirable posterior inference of regression coefficients due to the potential outliers. This paper considers the finite mixture of two…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Empirical analyses on income and wealth inequality and those in other fields in economics and finance often face the difficulty that the data is heterogeneous, heavy-tailed or correlated in some unknown fashion. The paper focuses on…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Rustam Ibragimov , Paul Kattuman , Anton Skrobotov

We consider (robust) inference in the context of a factor model for tensor-valued sequences. We study the consistency of the estimated common factors and loadings space when using estimators based on minimising quadratic loss functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

This paper introduces a flexible framework for the estimation of the conditional tail index of heavy tailed distributions. In this framework, the tail index is computed from an auxiliary linear regression model that facilitates estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-23 João Nicolau , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

We consider Wald type statistics designed for joint predictability and structural break testing based on the instrumentation method of Phillips and Magdalinos (2009). We show that under the assumption of nonstationary predictors: (i) the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-31 Christis Katsouris

Tensor regression is an important tool for tensor data analysis, but existing works have not considered the impact of outliers, making them potentially sensitive to such data points. This paper proposes a low tubal rank robust regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Zihao Song , Jicai Liu , Heng Lian , Weihua Zhao

Statistical inference as a formal scientific method to covert experience to knowledge has proven to be elusively difficult. While frequentist and Bayesian methodologies have been accepted in the contemporary era as two dominant schools of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Chuanhai Liu , Ryan Martin

A comprehensive convergence and stability analysis of some probabilistic numerical methods designed to solve Cauchy-type inverse problems is performed in this study. Such inverse problems aim at solving an elliptic partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Iulian Cîmpean , Andreea Grecu , Liviu Marin

High-dimensional linear regression under heavy-tailed noise or outlier corruption is challenging, both computationally and statistically. Convex approaches have been proven statistically optimal but suffer from high computational costs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Yinan Shen , Jingyang Li , Jian-Feng Cai , Dong Xia

Rare events, and more general risk-sensitive quantities-of-interest (QoIs), are significantly impacted by uncertainty in the tail behavior of a distribution. Uncertainty in the tail can take many different forms, each of which leads to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-22 Jeremiah Birrell , Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Jie Wang

Datasets with extreme observations and/or heavy-tailed error distributions are commonly encountered and should be analyzed with careful consideration of these features from a statistical perspective. Small deviations from an assumed model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke
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