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Rare events arising in nonlinear atmospheric dynamics remain hard to predict and attribute. We address the problem of forecasting rare events in a prototypical example, Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs). Approximately once every other…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-15 Justin Finkel , Robert J. Webber , Dorian S. Abbot , Edwin P. Gerber , Jonathan Weare

We study the problem of traffic forecasting, aiming to predict the inflow and outflow of a region in the subsequent time slot. The problem is complex due to the intricate spatial and temporal interdependence among regions. Prior works study…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Zheng Chenghong , Zongyin Deng , Liu Cheng , Xiong Simin , Di Deshi , Li Guanyao

Shallow water equations (SWEs) are the backbone of most hydrodynamics models for flood prediction, river engineering, and many other water resources applications. The estimation of flow resistance, i.e., the Manning's roughness coefficient…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-12 Xiaofeng Liu , Yalan Song

Multivariate geo-sensory time series prediction is challenging because of the complex spatial and temporal correlation. In urban water distribution systems (WDS), numerous spatial-correlated sensors have been deployed to continuously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Ziqing Ma , Shuming Liu , Guancheng Guo , Xipeng Yu

The interface between data-driven learning methods and classical simulation poses an interesting field offering a multitude of new applications. In this work, we build on the notion of physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and employ…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-04 Raphael Leiteritz , Marcel Hurler , Dirk Pflüger

In this paper, we consider the problem of learning prediction models for spatiotemporal physical processes driven by unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). We propose a deep learning framework that learns the underlying dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Priyabrata Saha , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

Accurate runoff forecasting is crucial for reservoir operators as it allows optimized water management, flood control and hydropower generation. Land surface models in mountainous regions depend on climatic inputs such as precipitation,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-10 Sami A. Malek , Alexandre M. Bayen , Steven D. Glaser

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

Coastal flooding poses increasing threats to communities worldwide, necessitating accurate and hyper-local inundation forecasting for effective emergency response. However, real-world deployment of forecasting systems is often constrained…

The challenges in operational flood forecasting lie in producing reliable forecasts given constrained computational resources and within processing times that are compatible with near-real-time forecasting. Flood hydrodynamic models exploit…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Quentin Bonassies , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Santiago Peña Luque , Kevin Marlis , Cédric David

The Shallow Water Moment Equations (SWME) are an extension of the Shallow Water Equations (SWE) for improved modelling of free-surface flows. In contrast to the SWE, the SWME incorporate vertical velocity profile information. The SWME…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Mieke Daemen , Julio Careaga , Zhenning Cai , Julian Koellermeier

Accurate reconstruction of global Sea surface temperature (SST), which dominates the air-sea coupling and global climate variability, underpins climate monitoring and prediction. Existing SST reconstruction products primarily provide one…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Haijie Li , Ya Wang , Kai Yang , Gang Huang , Xiangao Xia , Ziming Chen , Weichen Tao , Chenglin Lyu , Lin Chen , Miao Zhang , Kaiming Hu , Hainan Gong , Disong Fu , Lin Wang

Data-driven weather models have recently achieved state-of-the-art performance, yet progress has plateaued in recent years. This paper introduces a Mixture of Experts (MoWE) approach as a novel paradigm to overcome these limitations, not by…

Extreme weather events have significant consequences, dominating the impact of climate on society. While high-resolution weather models can forecast many types of extreme events on synoptic timescales, long-term climatological risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-25 Justin Finkel , Edwin P. Gerber , Dorian S. Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Spatial-temporal forecasting plays an important role in many real-world applications, such as traffic forecasting, air pollutant forecasting, crowd-flow forecasting, and so on. State-of-the-art spatial-temporal forecasting models take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Xinyu Su , Jianzhong Qi , Egemen Tanin , Yanchuan Chang , Majid Sarvi

Both the current trends in technology such as smartphones, general mobile devices, stationary sensors, and satellites as well as a new user mentality of using this technology to voluntarily share enriched location information produces a…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Andreas Zuefle

Weather forecasting is usually solved through numerical weather prediction (NWP), which can sometimes lead to unsatisfactory performance due to inappropriate setting of the initial states. In this paper, we design a data-driven method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Bin Wang , Jie Lu , Zheng Yan , Huaishao Luo , Tianrui Li , Yu Zheng , Guangquan Zhang

Estimating associations between spatial covariates and responses - rather than merely predicting responses - is central to environmental science, epidemiology, and economics. For instance, public health officials might be interested in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Stephen Bates , Tamara Broderick

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang