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We study wide Bayesian neural networks focusing on the rare but statistically dominant fluctuations that govern posterior concentration, beyond Gaussian-process limits. Large-deviation theory provides explicit variational objectives-rate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Katerina Papagiannouli , Dario Trevisan , Giuseppe Pio Zitto

Ensemble learning has been a focal point of machine learning research due to its potential to improve predictive performance. This study revisits the foundational work on ensemble error decomposition, historically confined to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 João Mendes-Moreira , Tiago Mendes-Neves

The family of f-divergences is ubiquitously applied to generative modeling in order to adapt the distribution of the model to that of the data. Well-definedness of f-divergences, however, requires the distributions of the data and model to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-04 Akash Srivastava , Kristjan Greenewald , Farzaneh Mirzazadeh

We study the variational inference problem of minimizing a regularized R\'enyi divergence over an exponential family. We propose to solve this problem with a Bregman proximal gradient algorithm. We propose a sampling-based algorithm to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Thomas Guilmeau , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

This work is about understanding the impact of invariance and equivariance on generalisation in supervised learning. We use the perspective afforded by an averaging operator to show that for any predictor that is not equivariant, there is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Hayder Elesedy

A learned generative model often produces biased statistics relative to the underlying data distribution. A standard technique to correct this bias is importance sampling, where samples from the model are weighted by the likelihood ratio…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Aditya Grover , Jiaming Song , Alekh Agarwal , Kenneth Tran , Ashish Kapoor , Eric Horvitz , Stefano Ermon

Machine learning (ML) approaches to data analysis are now widely adopted in many fields including epidemiology and medicine. To apply these approaches, confounds must first be removed as is commonly done by featurewise removal of their…

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

A general challenge in statistics is prediction in the presence of multiple candidate models or learning algorithms. Model aggregation tries to combine all predictive distributions from individual models, which is more stable and flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Yuling Yao

Machine learning models have achieved widespread success but often inherit and amplify historical biases, resulting in unfair outcomes. Traditional fairness methods typically impose constraints at the prediction level, without addressing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Enze Shi , Pankaj Bhagwat , Zhixian Yang , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

The Kitagawa-Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition splits the difference in means between two groups into an explained part, due to observable factors, and an unexplained part. In this paper, we reformulate this framework using potential outcomes,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Emmanuel Flachaire , Bertille Picard

Construction of ambiguity set in robust optimization relies on the choice of divergences between probability distributions. In distribution learning, choosing appropriate probability distributions based on observed data is critical for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-24 Xin Guo , Johnny Hong , Nan Yang

Finding the optimal model complexity that minimizes the generalization error (GE) is a key issue of machine learning. For the conventional supervised learning, this task typically involves the bias-variance tradeoff: lowering the bias by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-13 Gilhan Kim , Hojun Lee , Junghyo Jo , Yongjoo Baek

One of the fundamental steps toward understanding a complex system is identifying variation at the scale of the system's components that is most relevant to behavior on a macroscopic scale. Mutual information provides a natural means of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Kieran A. Murphy , Dani S. Bassett

Estimation of the $\phi$-divergence between two unknown probability distributions using empirical data is a fundamental problem in information theory and statistical learning. We consider a multi-variate generalization of the data dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

This manuscript develops the theory of agglomerative clustering with Bregman divergences. Geometric smoothing techniques are developed to deal with degenerate clusters. To allow for cluster models based on exponential families with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Matus Telgarsky , Sanjoy Dasgupta

We formulate em algorithm in the framework of Bregman divergence, which is a general problem setting of information geometry. That is, we address the minimization problem of the Bregman divergence between an exponential subfamily and a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Masahito Hayashi

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

A Bayesian approach is used to estimate the covariance matrix of Gaussian data. Ideas from Gaussian graphical models and model selection are used to construct a prior for the covariance matrix that is a mixture over all decomposable graphs.…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-06-12 Helen Armstrong , Christopher K. Carter , Kevin F. Wong , Robert Kohn

The aim of this paper is to provide an overview of recent development related to Bregman distances outside its native areas of optimization and statistics. We discuss approaches in inverse problems and image processing based on Bregman…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Martin Burger