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A high-resolution wave climate projection for the northwestern Atlantic Ocean has been conducted to help assess possible regional impacts due to global climate change. The spectral wave model NOAA WAVEWATCH III is utilized with three…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-10 Adrean Webb , Tomoya Shimura , Nobuhito Mori

Tropical regions may experience periodic extreme precipitation and suffer from associated periodic deluges in a warmer climate. Recent studies conducted small-domain (around 100 km x 100 km) atmospheric model simulations and found that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-26 Heng Quan , Yi Zhang , Guy Dagan , Stephan Fueglistaler

This study develops and evaluates a novel hybridWavelet SARIMA Transformer, WST framework to forecast using monthly rainfall across five meteorological subdivisions of Northeast India over the 1971 to 2023 period. The approach employs the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Junmoni Saikia , Kuldeep Goswami , Sarat C. Kakaty

Global surface temperature records (e.g. HadCRUT4) since 1850 are characterized by climatic oscillations synchronous with specific solar, planetary and lunar harmonics superimposed on a background warming modulation. The latter is related…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-16 Nicola Scafetta

Based on nonlinear prediction and information theory, vertical heterogeneity of predictability and information loss rate was obtained over the Northern Hemisphere. In seasonal to interannual time scales, the predictability is low in lower…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-05-05 A. X. Feng , Z. Q. Gong , Q. G. Wang , G. L. Feng

We formulate and study a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model with an emphasis on the impact of radiative and heat fluxes and of the frictional coupling between the two components. This model version extends a previous…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-08-28 Stéphane Vannitsem , Jonathan Demaeyer , Lesley De Cruz , Michael Ghil

Tropical monsoons play a critical role in shaping regional and global climate systems, with profound ecological and socio-economic impacts. However, their long-term prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay of regional…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-24 Guanghao Ran , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Monitoring the dynamics of global land-ocean cover is fundamental for regulating the Earth's climate and sustaining terrestrial and marine ecosystems. However, existing datasets and research often exhibit limitations in temporal resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Lixing Wang , Tao Li , Xinyu Dou , Zhu Liu

We review recent results on the appearance of long-term persistence in climatic records and their relevance for the evaluation of global climate models and rare events.The persistence can be characterized, for example, by the correlation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Armin Bunde , Jan Eichner , Rathinaswamy Govindan , Shlomo Havlin , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Diego Rybski , Dmitry Vjushin

Quantitative helio- and asteroseismology require very precise measurements of the frequencies, amplitudes, and lifetimes of the global modes of stellar oscillation. It is common knowledge that the precision of these measurements depends on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Thorsten Stahn , Laurent Gizon

The skill of the statistical as well as physics-based coupled climate models in predicting the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is limited by their inability to represent the observed ENSO nonlinearity. A promising alternative, namely…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-11 Shivsai Ajit Dixit , B N Goswami

The frontal structure of the Southern Ocean is investigated using a sophisticated frontal detection methodology, the Wavelet/Higher Order Statistics Enhancement (WHOSE) method, introduced in \cite{Chapman2014}. This methodology is applied…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-03 Christopher C. Chapman

Decomposing oceanic and atmospheric flow fields into their slowly evolving balanced components and fast evolving wave components is essential for understanding processes like spontaneous wave emission. To study these processes, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-22 Silvano Gordian Rosenau , Manita Chouksey , Carsten Eden

We demonstrate an alternative correlation between the El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global temperature variation to that shown by McLean et al. [2009]. We show 50% of the variation in RATPAC-A tropospheric temperature (and 54%…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-14 David R. B. Stockwell , Anthony Cox

We consider a highly idealized model for El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability, as introduced in an earlier paper. The model is governed by a delay differential equation for sea surface temperature in the Tropical Pacific, and it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-01-13 Ilya Zaliapin , Michael Ghil

The shape and tails of partial distribution functions (PDF) for a climatological signal, i.e. the El Nino SOI and the turbulent nature of the ocean-atmosphere variability are linked through a model encompassing Tsallis nonextensive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-25 M. Ausloos , F. Petroni

We consider a delay differential equation (DDE) model for El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability. The model combines two key mechanisms that participate in ENSO dynamics: delayed negative feedback and seasonal forcing. We perform…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-29 Michael Ghil , Ilya Zaliapin , Sylvester Thompson

In recent years extensive studies on the Earth's climate system have been carried out by means of advanced complex network statistics. The great majority of these studies, however, have been focusing on investigating correlation structures…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-20 Marc Wiedermann , Jonathan F. Donges , Dörthe Handorf , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

This paper develops a harmonic-domain framework for systems with variable fundamental frequency. A variable-frequency sliding Fourier decomposition is introduced in the phase domain, together with necessary and sufficient conditions for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-05 Maxime Grosso , Pierre Riedinger , Jamal Daafouz , Serge Pierfederici , Hicham Janati Idrissi , Blaise Lapôtre

In this paper Fourier Transform and Wavelet Transform are applied in case of recent 300 years of sunspot numbers to explain the solar cycles. Here basically parallel study of Fourier and Wavelet analysis are done and we have observed that…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-12-11 Sabyasachi Mukhopadhyay , Debadatta Dash , Asish Mitra , Prasanta K. Panigrahi